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PGA DFS Expert Stats & Data Driven Analysis for The PGA Championship | DraftKings & FanDuel Lineups

Jason Rouslin

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PGA DFS is filled with tons of useful information, but at times it can be overwhelming. If this is your first time visiting the article, this statistical overview will focus on recent form, course history, strokes gained and old-school statistics. I will provide notes and a data sheet to help with your PGA DFS picks for DraftKings and FanDuel contests in each category. This week the focus is on The PGA Championship.

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[GOLDRUSH]

PGA DFS Picks: The PGA Championship

Recent Form

Going back 11 weeks covers tournaments up to the Arnold Palmer Invitational on both the European Tour and the PGA Tour. The most anyone golfer has competed is nine times, set by Charl Schwartzel, Sungjae Im, Tom Lewis and Tom Hoge.

In this 11-week sample size, Jordan Spieth is the only golfer of the 156 competing this week to have five top-10s in this timeframe. He has done it in six tries. Garrick Higgo coming over from the European Tour has four top-10s and three other top-25s, giving him seven total, the most in the field. Three others have four top-10s as well: Corey Conners, Dean Burmester and Jon Rahm. Abraham Ancer and Charley Hoffman have six top-25s and two top-10s, and Ancer is working off of back-to-back top-fives. Others in this dataset with at least two top-10s and four top-25s include Keegan Bradley, Matt Wallace, Brian Harman, Chris Kirk, Matthew Fitzpatrick, Sam Horsfield, Cameron Smith, Rahm and Schwartzel.

Click here to view in Google Sheets.

Top PGA DFS Plays Based on Recent Form

  1. Jordan Spieth ($10,100)
  2. Sam Burns ($7,500)
  3. Viktor Hovland ($9,300)
  4. Abraham Ancer ($7,900)
  5. Cameron Smith ($8,900)
  6. Charl Schwartzel ($6,800)

Recent Form in Majors

While no two golf courses are the same, majors tend to be the toughest tests the golfers face all year. Therefore, instead of using course history, which would only give us one year in this case, we will use the last seven majors to spot some trends and over-performers in the biggest events on tour.

Thirty-five golfers have played in all seven, while only seven of those 35 have made the cut in each:

  • Xander Schauffele
  • Cameron Smith
  • Webb Simpson
  • Shane Lowry
  • Paul Casey
  • Louis Oosthuizen
  • Matt Wallace

Of those names, only Schauffele has more than two top-10s, coming in with four. Surprisingly, six other names also come in with four top-10s in the last seven majors: Rahm, Justin Rose, Tony Finau, Dustin Johnson, Rory McIlroy and Brooks Koepka. Spieth is the only other golfer in the field that has at least three top-10s in the last seven majors.

Other golfers with at least two top-10s and two additional top-25s include Justin Thomas, Patrick Reed and Hideki Matsuyama.

Click here to view in google sheets.

Top PGA DFS Plays Based on Recent Major Form

  1. Xander Schauffele ($9,600)
  2. Rory McIlroy ($9,200)
  3. Shane Lowry ($7,800)
  4. Cameron Smith ($8,900)
  5. Jon Rahm ($10,500)

Strokes Gained

The course is measuring almost 8,000 yards, so gamers will immediately jump to off-tee game. But given that the course will also be firm, dry and fast, it should negate driving distance a bit. So here we will cover a wide scope of statistics that will be most important this week.


Latest PGA DFS Content


Strokes Gained Tee to Green

Bryson DeChambeau (1), Collin Morikawa (2), Thomas (3), Rahm (4), Bradley (5)

Strokes Gained Off Tee

DeChambeau (1), Sergio Garcia (2), Rahm (3), Viktor Hovland (4), McIlroy (5)

Strokes Gained On Approach

Morikawa (1), Thomas (2), Will Zalatoris (3), Wallace (4), Russell Henley (5)

Strokes Gained Around Green

Christiaan Bezuidenhout (2), Kevin Na (3), Dylan Frittelli (5), Byeong Huna An (6), Tommy Fleetwood (7), Patrick Cantlay (8)

Strokes Gained Putting

Oosthuizen (1), Reed (20), Brendon Todd (3), J.T. Poston (4), Zach Johnson (5), Jason Kokrak (6)

For the yearly strokes gained ranks, Click here.

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Old School Statistics for PGA DFS Analysis

Good Drive Percentage

Ancer (1), Simpson (3), Morikawa (4), Conners (6), Emiliano Grillo (8)

Total Driving

Scottie Scheffler (1), Rahm (2), Bradley (3), Paul Casey (4), Im (5)

Greens In Regulation

Rahm (1), Morikawa (2). DeChambeau (3), Stewart Cink (4), Simpson (5), Garcia (6)

Scrambling

Simpson (1), Cantlay (2), Ian Poulter (3), Si Woo Kim (7), Russel Henley (8)

Putting 15 to 20 feet

Bezuidenhout (4), Harris English (5), Noren (6), Todd (8), Reed (9)

Click here to view in Google Sheets.

Top PGA DFS Plays Based on Statistical Analysis

  1. Webb Simpson ($9,200)
  2. Patrick Cantlay ($9,000)
  3. Daniel Berger ($8,700)
  4. Joaquin Niemann ($7,800)
  5. Charley Hoffman ($7,300)

Follow us on all of our social channels! Check out our Twitter, Facebook, Instagram and YouTube for more great Awesemo content. Looking for more DFS PGA DraftKings picks and PGA DFS advice? DraftKings DFS PGA rankings for this week will be posted at least a day in advance of any tournament. The DFS PGA projections, the FanDuel DFS PGA showdown projections and the DraftKings PGA DFS ownership projections are made and used by Alex Baker, the No. 1 DFS player in the world.

Jason established his roots in the littlest state that could...Rhode Island. But after 29 years of bitter cold, and only being able to play golf 4 months a year, upended those roots and moved to Florida. Now four years later, Jason is a husband to Sarah and father of two boys, James & Myles. A dog and more specifically Lab lover (Bella), he dedicates his time to serve as the lead of PGA content at Awesemo.com. In the time he is not diving into the PGA stats and covering this week's current tournament, you can find him researching and trading stocks, on the golf course, at Disney World, on a hike, or somewhere in between. Want to chat? Have a question about Golf/Stocks or anything else? Hop on twitter and give him a message @dfsgolfer23. You can also contact Jason by emailing [email protected].

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