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Expert Rocket Mortgage Classic PGA DFS Picks This Week for DraftKings & FanDuel | Monday, June 28, 2021

Jason Rouslin

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Awesemo's expert ZOZO Championship data deep dive with PGA DFS picks including Hideki Matsuyama for DraftKings & FanDuel optimal lineups.

PGA DFS is filled with tons of useful information, but at times it can be overwhelming. If this is your first time visiting the article, this statistical overview will focus on recent form, course history, strokes gained, and old-school statistics. I will provide notes and a data sheet with to help with your PGA DFS picks this week for DraftKings and FanDuel daily fantasy golf contests in each category. This week the focus is on the Rocket Mortgage Classic at Detroit Golf club.

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PGA DFS Picks This Week: The Rocket Mortgage Classic

With only a couple of years of course history to work off of, it will be important to develop a profile of who has played well here and who is playing well right now.

Positive Recent Form

The run of four top-10s starting 11 weeks ago fell off for Garrick Higgo, but he remains the only golfer in the field with more than four top-10s in the last 11 weeks. However, he has missed the cut in each of the last two weeks. Troy Merritt is the only other golfer with at least three top-10s. Then a pack of golfers check in with multiple top-10s over the last 11 weeks, including Doc Redman, Keegan Bradley, Emiliano Grillo, Max Homa and Patton Kizzire. However, combined over the last three weeks, there have been zero top-10s and six missed cuts among them. Just Doc Redman made the cut last week, but he came in 61st.

Patrick Reed has struggled to find the winning form over this dataset, but when he played the weekend, which has been five out of the last seven times, he has come in the top 25. That is decent upside, especially if he makes an eagle or two and a couple birdie streaks. Charley Hoffman continues to earn paychecks as well, making the cut in all eight appearances over the last 11 weeks. He is one of only four golfers in the field with more than three starts to earn this feat. The other three are Bryson DeChambeau, Austin Eckroat and Hideki Matsuyama. 

Beau Hossler is the only golfer other than Reed that has come in the top 25 in each of their last two starts.

Negative Recent Form

James Hahn had a nice stretch of golf in the beginning of the year, competing at the Waste Management and a few weeks later at the Genesis Invitational. But since then, it has been seven straight missed cuts. Richy Werenski, Cameron Champ, Tyler McCumber, Luke List and Patton Kizzire are the only other golfers that are coming into the week with at least three straight missed cuts.

Click here to view in Google Sheets.

Top PGA DFS Picks Based on Recent Form

  1. Patrick Reed ($10,900)
  2. Charley Hoffman ($8,800)
  3. Beau Hossler ($7,000)
  4. Austin Eckroat ($6,700)

Course History at Detroit Golf Club 

Forty-eight golfers this week will be teeing it up for the third time at Detroit Golf Club, with 14 of them missing the cut in each of the first two years. Just 11 of the 48 have made the cut in both years, leaving 23 that have made one cut and missed one cut. Three of those 48 have come in the top 25 both times: Redman, Matsuyama and Sepp Straka.

Only 19 of the golfers playing this week have earned a top-10 in the first two years here. Others that have include DeChambeau, Webb Simpson and Joaquin Niemann, all of whom have a top-10 in their one start here. Other notables that have been able to earn a top-10 over the last two years here include Matthew Wolff, Kevin Kisner, Cameron Tringale, Ryan Armour, Ted Potter Jr. and Merritt.

Negative

Bubba Watson hasn’t found any success here in the last two years, missing the cut both times. Other big names that haven’t had any success here include Cameron Davis, Sebastian Munoz, Matt Jones and Kizzire. A couple of other names that have been playing well lately but have also missed the cut twice here include Hossler, Hank Lebioda and Sam Ryder. 

Click here for the google sheet link

Top PGA DFS Picks Based on Course History

  1. Hideki Matsuyama ($10,400)
  2. Doc Redman ($7,800)
  3. Sepp Straka ($7,700)

Strokes Gained

This is a bomber-heavy course, one that can yield a ton of birdies with a hot putter. Of course, a good approach game won’t hurt anything, but around the green is the least important statistic this week.


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Strokes Gained Tee to Green

  1. Bryson DeChambeau
  2. Will Zalatoris
  3. Keegan Bradley
  4. Hideki Matsuyama
  5. Charley Hoffman
  6. Doug Ghim
  7. Joaquin Niemann
  8. Patrick Reed
  9. Webb Simpson
  10. Si Woo Kim
  11. Harold Varner III

Strokes Gained Off Tee

  1. Bryson DeChambeau
  2. Bubba Watson
  3. Cameron Champ
  4. Joaquin Niemann
  5. Luke List
  6. Sungjae Im
  7. Charles Howell III
  8. Jason Day
  9. Jason Kokrak
  10. Cameron Davis

Strokes Gained On Approach

  1. Will Zalatoris
  2. Keegan Bradley
  3. Emiliano Grillo
  4. Matthew NeSmith
  5. Charley Hoffman
  6. Hideki Matsuyama
  7. Doug Ghim
  8. Matthew Wolff
  9. Cameron Percy
  10. Chez Reavie

Strokes Gained Around Green

  1. Fabian Gomez
  2. Danny Willett
  3. Byeong Hun An
  4. Rickie Fowler
  5. Webb Simpson
  6. Patrick Reed
  7. Dylan Frittelli
  8. Matt Jones
  9. Si Woo Kim
  10. Chris Kirk

Strokes Gained Putting

  1. Brendon Todd
  2. Jason Kokrak
  3. Patrick Reed
  4. Chesson Hadley
  5. Kris Ventura
  6. Patton Kizzire
  7. Rhein Gibson
  8. Ben Taylor
  9. Webb Simpson
  10. Cameron Tringale

For the yearly strokes gained ranks, Click here.

Top PGA DFS Picks Based on Strokes Gained

  1. Bryson DeChambeau ($11,400)
  2. Jason Kokrak ($9,500)
  3. Sungjae Im ($9,300)

Old School Statistics

If bombing is the narrative, then driving distance and total driving will be important this week. With a lot of wedges, putting from 15 to 20 feet will also prove to a vital component. Also, those that are consistently making birdie or better should be a major focus.

Total Driving 

  1. Keegan Bradley
  2. Jason Kokrak
  3. Sungjae Im
  4. James Hahn
  5. Martin Laird
  6. Emiliano Grillo
  7. Joaquin Niemann
  8. Jason Day
  9. Cameron Champ
  10. Matthew NeSmith
  11. Henrik Norlander

Driving Distance

  1. Bryson DeChambeau
  2. Ryan Brehm
  3. Cameron Champ
  4. Matthew Wolff
  5. Luke List
  6. Joaquin Niemann
  7. Will Gordon
  8. Patrick Rodgers
  9. Dylan Frittelli
  10. Joseph Bramlett
  11. Brandon Hagy

Proximity 

  1. Emiliano Grillo
  2. Vaughn Taylor
  3. Kyle Stanley
  4. Doug Ghim
  5. Chez Reavie
  6. Hank Lebioda
  7. Russell Knox
  8. Chris Kirk
  9. Cameron Percy
  10. Jason Dufner
  11. Charley Hoffman

Birdie Or Better

  1. Bryson DeChambeau
  2. Jason Kokrak
  3. Joaquin Niemann
  4. Patrick Reed
  5. Patton Kizzire
  6. Webb Simpson
  7. Charley Hoffman
  8. Matthew Wolff
  9. Cameron Tringale
  10. Cameron Davis
  11. Emiliano Grillo

Putting from 15-20 feet

  1. Martin Laird
  2. Rafael Campos
  3. Aaron Baddeley
  4. Brendon Todd
  5. Patrick Reed
  6. Matthew Wolff
  7. Alex Noren
  8. Brandt Snedeker
  9. Robby Shelton
  10. Ryan Armour
  11. Cameron Tringale

Click here to view in Google Sheets.

Top PGA DFS Picks Based on Statistical Analysis

  1. Matthew Wolff ($9,100)
  2. Joaquin Niemann ($9,800)
  3. Cameron Davis ($7,200)

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Looking for more PGA DFS picks content? We have loads of articles daily fantasy golf, data, DraftKings and FanDuel cheat sheets and more on the Awesemo PGA DFS home page.

Jason established his roots in the littlest state that could...Rhode Island. But after 29 years of bitter cold, and only being able to play golf 4 months a year, upended those roots and moved to Florida. Now two years later, Jason is a husband to Sarah and father of James as well as two Labradors (Choco and Bella) and he dedicates his time to serve as the lead of PGA content at Awesemo.com. In the time he is not diving into the PGA stats and covering this week's current tournament, you can find him researching and trading stocks, on the golf course, or somewhere hopefully lost in nature with his dogs guiding him along the way. Want to chat? Have a question about Golf/Stocks or anything else? Hop on twitter and give him a message @dfsgolfer23. You can also contact Jason by emailing [email protected].

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