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Expert Tour Championship PGA DFS Picks & Stats for DraftKings & FanDuel | Dustin Johnson

Jason Rouslin

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Having a variety of viewpoints and data points can be both a curse and a blessing. In this article, I sift through all the data and give you top picks from all four statistical angles that make up PGA DFS. With only 30 golfers left in the season-long FedEx Cup Race, 18 of them will be returning from last year. The course at East Lake has been used as the Tour Championship site for quite a few years now, so there is plenty of data to analyze before we get into making our PGA DFS picks for DraftKings and FanDuel fantasy golf lineups this week.

PGA DFS Picks This Week: The Tour Championship

Recent Form

Everyone is still awaiting word from the Patrick Reed camp if he will be able to tee it up or not. Outside of him, the lowest number of starts over the last 13 weeks has been six. Three golfers hold the lead for most starts, with nine.

Jon Rahm continued his hot play earning his sixth top-10 in his last six starts, but he is probably not happy with the ninth-place finish last week. Collin Morikawa’s back injury seems to be affecting him right now, as he missed the cut at the Northern Trust and came in 63rd last week. Prior to that he had four top-10s in six starts. Dustin Johnson and Erik van Rooyen are going the other way, as they each added their fourth top-10 in the last 13 weeks. Van Rooyen is the biggest Cinderella story of the season. He was at risk of losing his card entering the Barracuda Championship, but he won that and added back-to-back top-10s in the playoff events to get him into East Lake. Scottie Scheffler and last week’s winner Patrick Cantlay each picked up their sixth top-25 in the last 13 weeks, as did Sergio Garcia.

Negative Recent Form

Only two of the 30 golfers playing this week have failed to record a top-25 in the last 13 weeks: Stewart Cink and Billy Horschel.

Click Here for the google sheet link

PGA DFS Picks Based on Recent Form

  1. Jon Rahm ($13,000)
  2. Scottie Scheffler ($6,800)
  3. Erik van Rooyen ($5,000)

Course History

There is plenty of history here at East Lake, and it shows that it tests all parts of the game. Of the 30 competing here this week, only two of teed it up every year since 2015: Johnson and Hideki Matsuyama. Johnson has finished outside of the top 10 only one time, while Matsuyama has only finished in the top 10 twice. Justin Thomas is 5-for-5 finishing in the top 10 since 2016, and Rory McIlroy is the only golfer to have won here twice. He also has two other top-10s in five trips.

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Negative

Daniel Berger and Kevin Na are the only two golfers in this field that have yet to come in the top 10 at the Tour Championship, with a minimum of four starts.

Click here for the google sheet link.

Top PGA DFS Picks Based on Course History

  1. Dustin Johnson ($10,700)
  2. Justin Thomas ($11,000)
  3. Rory McIlroy ($9,300)

Strokes Gained

With only one week left on the schedule, here is how each golfer performed in each of the strokes gained statistics.

Strokes Gained Tee to Green

  1. Jon Rahm
  2. Collin Morikawa
  3. Justin Thomas
  4. Bryson DeChambeau
  5. Patrick Cantlay
  6. Rory McIlroy
  7. Brooks Koepka
  8. Corey Conners
  9. Viktor Hovland
  10. Sergio Garcia
  11. Hideki Matsuyama

Strokes Gained Off the Tee

  1. Bryson DeChambeau
  2. Jon Rahm
  3. Sergio Garcia
  4. Rory McIlroy
  5. Viktor Hovland
  6. Brooks Koepka
  7. Corey Conners
  8. Joaquin Niemann
  9. Patrick Cantlay
  10. Sungjae Im

Strokes Gained on Approach

  1. Collin Morikawa
  2. Justin Thomas
  3. Daniel Berger
  4. Jon Rahm
  5. Corey Conners
  6. Hideki Matsuyama
  7. Xander Schauffele
  8. Viktor Hovland
  9. Sam Burns
  10. Brooks Koepka

Strokes Gained Around the Green

  1. Kevin Na
  2. Jordan Spieth
  3. Patrick Cantlay
  4. Louis Oosthuizen
  5. Tony Finau
  6. Justin Thomas
  7. Cameron Smith
  8. Harris English
  9. Scottie Scheffler
  10. Hideki Matsuyama

Strokes Gained Putting

  1. Louis Oosthuizen
  2. Jason Kokrak
  3. Cameron Smith
  4. Harris English
  5. Sam Burns
  6. Bryson DeChambeau
  7. Xander Schauffele
  8. Patrick Cantlay
  9. Abraham Ancer
  10. Jordan Spieth
  11. Joaquin Niemann

For the yearly strokes gained ranks, Click here.

Top PGA DFS Picks Based on Strokes Gained

  1. Patrick Cantlay ($13,400)
  2. Louis Oosthuizen ($7,600)
  3. Harris English ($8,700)

Old School Statistics

With just about 55% of the greens hit in regulation, scrambling and around the green become much more important. Greens are not overly large either, so the misses should be rather small, in the 10- to 20-yard window.

Greens in Regulation

  1. Jon Rahm
  2. Bryson DeChambeau
  3. Sergio Garcia
  4. Daniel Berger
  5. Collin Morikawa
  6. Jason Kokrak
  7. Patrick Cantlay
  8. Sungjae Im
  9. Viktor Hovland
  10. Stewart Cink

Driving Distance

  1. Bryson DeChambeau
  2. Rory McIlroy
  3. Dustin Johnson
  4. Brooks Koepka
  5. Sergio Garcia
  6. Jon Rahm
  7. Xander Schauffele
  8. Joaquin Niemann
  9. Justin Thomas
  10. Viktor Hovland

Scrambling

  1. Patrick Cantlay
  2. Louis Oosthuizen
  3. Harris English
  4. Abraham Ancer
  5. Kevin Na
  6. Daniel Berger
  7. Cameron Smith
  8. Sungjae Im
  9. Sergio Garcia
  10. Jon Rahm

Scrambling 10-20 Yards

  1. Kevin Na
  2. Harris English
  3. Patrick Cantlay
  4. Sungjae Im
  5. Sergio Garcia
  6. Daniel Berger
  7. Cameron Smith
  8. Corey Conners
  9. Justin Thomas
  10. Jordan Spieth

Putting 15-20 Feet

  1. Harris English
  2. Patrick Cantlay
  3. Kevin Na
  4. Jordan Spieth
  5. Jason Kokrak
  6. Joaquin Niemann
  7. Cameron Smith
  8. Louis Oosthuizen
  9. Scottie Scheffler
  10. Erik van Rooyen

Par 4 Scoring 450-500 Yards

  1. Louis Oosthuizen
  2. Collin Morikawa
  3. Patrick Cantlay
  4. Justin Thomas
  5. Bryson DeChambeau
  6. Jon Rahm
  7. Dustin Johnson
  8. Rory McIlroy
  9. Sungjae Im
  10. Sam Burns

Click here to view in Google Sheets.

Check out today's FREE DFS tool of the day

Top PGA DFS Picks Based on Statistical Analysis

  1. Jordan Spieth ($10,400)
  2. Cameron Smith ($10,100)
  3. Sungjae Im ($7,300)

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The FanDuel DFS PGA projections for this week, the DraftKings DFS PGA showdown projections for today and the PGA DFS ownership projections for FanDuel are made and used by Alex Baker, the No. 1 DFS player in the world. Looking for more Yahoo! PGA DFS picks and PGA DFS picks for FanDuel? FantasyDraft PGA DFS rankings for today will be posted at least a day in advance of any tournament.

Jason established his roots in the littlest state that could...Rhode Island. But after 29 years of bitter cold, and only being able to play golf 4 months a year, upended those roots and moved to Florida. Now two years later, Jason is a husband to Sarah and father of James as well as two Labradors (Choco and Bella) and he dedicates his time to serve as the lead of PGA content at Awesemo.com. In the time he is not diving into the PGA stats and covering this week's current tournament, you can find him researching and trading stocks, on the golf course, or somewhere hopefully lost in nature with his dogs guiding him along the way. Want to chat? Have a question about Golf/Stocks or anything else? Hop on twitter and give him a message @dfsgolfer23. You can also contact Jason by emailing [email protected].

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