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PGA DFS Picks: Data Driven Analysis for The Wells Fargo Championship | DraftKings & FanDuel Lineups

Jason Rouslin

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DraftKings & FanDUel PGA DFS Picks for Wells Fargo Championship daily fantasy golf lineups with expert projections, ownership and statistical data with Jon Rahm

It is great to have a week a few weeks stretch on the PGA Tour where data is plentiful and the course is known. That was the case with Copperhead last week at the Valspar Championship and again here with Quail Hollow at the Wells Fargo Championship. PGA DFS is filled with tons of useful information, but at times it can be overwhelming. If this is your first time visiting the article, this statistical overview will focus on recent form, course history, strokes gained and old-school statistics. I will provide notes and a data sheet to help with your PGA DFS picks for DraftKings and FanDuel contests in each category. This week the focus is on The Wells Fargo Championship.

For more help building your daily fantasy golf lineups this week, be sure to check out the Awesemo PGA DFS projections, PGA Pro Plays and PGA DFS ownership projections.

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PGA DFS Picks: The Wells Fargo Championship

Recent Form

It has been a crazy nine weeks for Jon Rahm, which includes him becoming a first-time father. He is also one of two golfers in the field with four top-10s in the last nine weeks. He has only competed four times, and he’s 4-for-4. Corey Conners, who added his sixth top-25 last week (most in the field), is the other golfer with four top-10s in the last nine weeks, but he has needed seven starts to do so, while Rahm only needed four.

Keegan Bradley, Brian Harman and Max Homa all have at least four top-25s and two top-10s in the last nine weeks. Other notables with at least three top-25s and two top-10s include Matt Wallace, Camilo Villegas, Will Zalatoris, Cameron Tringale, Shane Lowry, Bubba Watson and Emiliano Grillo. Abraham Ancer is the only other one to note here, having competed six times and finish inside the top 25 all six times, including last week’s fifth at the Valspar.

Austin Cook, Robby Shelton, Peter Malnati, Bo Hoag, C.T. Pan and Andrew Putnam have all really struggled. At most, they’ve only made one cut, and in the last five weeks, there is only one made cut among the six of them. Something has to got to give here in Charlotte this week.

Click here to view in Google Sheets.

Course History at Quail Hollow Golf Club

If there is any spot for a few high-profile golfers to break their run of bad form, it would be here at Quail Hollow. Rory McIlroy and Rickie Fowler have not missed a weekend in their 11 combined starts since 2014, and in those 11 starts, seven have ended with top-10s. Fowler has three and McIlroy has four, and McIlroy also added a win here back in 2015. Only four other golfers have multiple top-10s here since 2014: Phil Mickelson, Justin Thomas, Patrick Reed and Jason Day. 

A couple of names are added to the good history mix when looking at top-25s, including Gary Woodland, who has four since 2014. Others with three include Webb Simpson, Francesco Molinari, Robert Streb, Chesson Hadley and Reed.

Last to note, both Joel Dahmen and Aaron Wise have a second-place finish and another top-20 in their two trips to Quail Hollow.

Click here to view in google sheets.

Strokes Gained

Past winners like Day and McIlroy would suggest that this is a bomber’s course, but Homa showed an all-around game could work out just as well. Do not discount the other statistics this week in favor of strokes gained off the tee solely, but it may be prudent to lean that way if it comes down to one of two golfers.


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Strokes Gained Tee to Green

Bryson DeChambeau (1), Rahm (2), Thomas (2), Tony Finau (5), Viktor Hovland (6), Bradley (7)

Strokes Gained Off Tee

DeChambeau (1), Rahm (3), Hovland (4), McIlroy (5), Sungjae Im (7), Conners (8)

Strokes Gained On Approach

Thomas (2), Zalatoris (4), Russell Henley (5), Bradley (7)

Strokes Gained Around Green

Joseph Bramlett (4), Thomas (11), Brendon Todd (12), Xander Schauffele (13), Adam Hadwin (14), Fowler (15)

Strokes Gained Putting

Reed (1), Brendon Todd (4), Kris Ventura (6), Xander Schauffele (9), Zach Johnson (10)

For the yearly strokes gained ranks, Click here.

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Old School Statistics for PGA DFS Analysis

Keeping the ball in play and elite iron games have been the winning formula at Harbour Town for the past few years. Just look at past winners like Simpson, Pan and Satoshi Kodaira. None of them are even ranked inside the top 150 in driving distance, showcasing brute force cannot overtake this golf course. Let’s focus on stats that aren’t driving distance this week for the first time in a while.

Driving Distance

DeChambeau (1), Ryan Brehm (2), McIlroy (4), Wyndham Clark (9), Keith Mitchell (10), Rahm (11)

Total Driving

Rahm (2), Im (3), Joaquin Niemann (4), Bradley (5), James Hahn (6), Hovland (8)

Greens In Regulation

Rahm (1), DeChambeau (2), Stewart Cink (3), Grillo (5), Matthew NeSmith (6)

Scrambling

Simpson (1), Patrick Cantlay (2), Scott Stallings (3), Henley (4), Ian Poulter (4), Putnam (7)

Putting 15-20 feet

Rafael Campos (3), Harris English (5), Reed (5), Patrick Rodgers (7), Jimmy Walker (8)

Click here to view in Google Sheets.

Data-Driven PGA DFS Picks for The Wells Fargo Championship

That was a lot of information to digest. At the end of each weekly article, I will provide some of the names that appear with positive data in at least two of the four. These should make for good PGA DFS picks on DraftKings and FanDuel.

  • Jon Rahm
  • Keegan Bradley
  • Webb Simpson
  • Patrick Reed

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Jason established his roots in the littlest state that could...Rhode Island. But after 29 years of bitter cold, and only being able to play golf 4 months a year, upended those roots and moved to Florida. Now two years later, Jason is a husband to Sarah and father of James as well as two Labradors (Choco and Bella) and he dedicates his time to serve as the lead of PGA content at Awesemo.com. In the time he is not diving into the PGA stats and covering this week's current tournament, you can find him researching and trading stocks, on the golf course, or somewhere hopefully lost in nature with his dogs guiding him along the way. Want to chat? Have a question about Golf/Stocks or anything else? Hop on twitter and give him a message @dfsgolfer23. You can also contact Jason by emailing support@awesemo.com.

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