⛳ PGA DFS Picks: Data Driven Analysis for The WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play | DraftKings & FanDuel Lineups

PGA DFS is filled with tons of useful information, but at times it can be overwhelming. The Awesemo golf team created a format to provide one condensed article that will analyze the four most important statistics for daily fantasy golf. This statistical overview will focus on recent form, course history, strokes gained and old-school statistics. I will provide notes and a data sheet to help with your PGA DFS picks for DraftKings and FanDuel contests in each category. This week we’re focusing on The WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play.

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PGA DFS Picks: WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play

Recent Form

Paul Casey’s offseason program has elevated his game tremendously, as he’s the only golfer in the field to have five top-10s in the last 10 weeks, one of which was a win. His ball striking has been impressive and will be tough to overcome this week. Jon Rahm isn’t far behind either, having four top-10s in his last five starts, while Daniel Berger, Viktor Hovland and Tony Finau all check in with four top-10s. Eight others have three, including Jordan Spieth, Bryson DeChambeau, Rory McIlroy and Matthew Fitzpatrick. All of them hit that mark in their last five starts.

Only three golfers out of the 64 competing this week will be searching for their first top-25 in the last 11 weeks: Erik van Rooyen, Matthew Wolff and 2019 runner-up Matt Kuchar. That number extends to 15 golfers when looking at top-10s, as golfers like Bubba Watson, Ian Poulter, Adam Long and Hideki Matsuyama will be looking for their first in the last 11 weeks.

Click here to view in Google Sheets.

Course History at Austin Country Club 

Consistency is one of the hardest things to have in professional golf. Add in the match play variable, and it’s almost impossible to find. In fact, not one golfer in the field has made it through to the Sweet 16 in each of the last four years. Louis Oosthuizen and Kuchar are the only ones to go 3-for-4. Nine others are 2-for-4, while Tyrrell Hatton is 2-for-3 in making it to the Sweet 16. Brian Harman is 1-for-1. Others that are 2-for-4 are McIlroy, Casey, Patrick Reed, Sergio Garcia and Kevin Na. 

Click here to view in google sheets.

Strokes Gained

Peter Dye’s courses always challenge all aspects of the game, but primarily off the tee is vital to set up the second shot. Focusing on that this week should lead to more birdie opportunities, which are more important than ever in match play.


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Strokes Gained Off Tee

DeChambeau (1), Garcia (2), Rahm (3), McIlroy (3), Hovland (5)

Strokes Gained On Approach

Collin Morikawa (1), Justin Thomas (3), Will Zalatoris (4), Russell Henley (5), Hatton (8)

Strokes Gained Around Green

Christiaan Bezuidenhout (1), Na (3), Dylan Frittelli (4), Patrick Cantlay (5), Webb Simpson (8)

Strokes Gained Putting

Fitzpatrick (2), DeChambeau (5), Na (6), Poulter (8), Kuchar (8)

For the yearly strokes gained ranks, Click here.

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Old School Statistics for PGA DFS Analysis

Before strokes gained statistics were invented, the focus was on data like greens in regulation and driving distance/accuracy. The old standards can still help develop a player’s profile further, helping us identify potential strengths and weaknesses. I’ve chosen my five favorite old-school statistics for this week’s WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play. Four of these will come from a corollary statistic to the strokes gained category. I’ve listed each golfer, along with their ranking in the statistical category.

Total Driving

Hatton (3), Rahm (4), Berger (5), Simpson (6), Hovland (7)

Greens In Regulation

Cantlay (2), Corey Conners (4), Rahm (6), McIlroy (8), Xander Schauffele (10)

Around the Green Proximity 

Thomas (4), Tommy Fleetwood (4), McIlroy (6), Matsuyama  (7), Ryan Palmer (9)

Putting Outside 20 Feet

Spieth (1), Billy Horschel (2), Rahm (4), Simpson (4), Jason Kokrak (4), McIlroy (8)

Birdie or Better

Simpson (1), Thomas (2), Cantlay (3), Scottie Scheffler (4), McIlroy (5)

Click here to view in Google Sheets.

Data-Driven PGA DFS Picks for WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play

I know that was a lot of information to digest. At the end of each weekly article, I will provide some of the names that appear with positive data in at least two of the four. These should make for good PGA DFS picks on DraftKings and FanDuel.

  • Paul Casey
  • Bryson DeChambeau
  • Jordan Spieth
  • Sergio Garcia
  • Jon Rahm

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Looking for more fantasy golf and PGA DFS picks content for the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play? We have loads of PGA DFS picks and fantasy golf articles, data, cheat sheets, and more for DraftKings and FanDuel on the Awesemo PGA home page. Just click HERE.

Author
Jason established his roots in the littlest state that could...Rhode Island. But after 29 years of bitter cold, and only being able to play golf 4 months a year, upended those roots and moved to Florida. Now four years later, Jason is a husband to Sarah and father of two boys, James & Myles. A dog and more specifically Lab lover (Bella), he dedicates his time to serve as the lead of PGA content at Awesemo.com. In the time he is not diving into the PGA stats and covering this week's current tournament, you can find him researching and trading stocks, on the golf course, at Disney World, on a hike, or somewhere in between. Want to chat? Have a question about Golf/Stocks or anything else? Hop on twitter and give him a message @dfsgolfer23. You can also contact Jason by emailing [email protected].

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