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The First Cut: 3M Open PGA DFS Picks & Preview for DraftKings & FanDuel Fantasy Golf Lineups

Jason Rouslin

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Easier conditions at this past week’s British Open for players should mean golfers have plenty of mental energy still available for this week’s event. A plethora of golfers will be on the charter from England to the Twin Cities for the 3M Open; jet lag could be a bit of an issue. It is now the home stretch of the PGA Tour season with just three tournament weeks left before the playoffs begin. FedEx Cup standings will be a big narrative as golfers try to secure their status in the playoffs and on the tour next year. In the DFS golf realm, we’re going to need to capitalize before the season ends. As always, the First Cut is my initial glance at the upcoming tournament, with some statistical analysis, player breakdown and course preview. Let’s get into the 3M Open field and find some early PGA DFS picks to build our DraftKings and FanDuel fantasy golf lineups around this week.

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In case you are just joining us and trying out PGA DFS for the first time, here is what you can expect to see in this article:

  • Tournament and Format
  • Course Commentary
  • Course Facts and Figures
  • PGA DFS Course Summary and Statistical Comparison
  • PGA DFS Preview, including sweat sheet
  • Player Preview

The 3M Open PGA DFS Preview and Picks

This is the third year of this event. It started with a bang back in 2019 with Matthew Wolff, Collin Morikawa and Bryson DeChambeau battling down to the very last hole. Wolff prevailed with an eagle on the 72nd, beating the others by 1. The second year was not as exciting, as Michael Thompson and Adam Long battled it out on Sunday, with Thompson prevailing. Here are some important notes and features about the course.

TPC Twin Cities Preview

Par and Yardage

  • Par 71: 7,500 yards

Course Difficulty

  • 23/41: -1.54 or 69.948

Hole Dispersion

  • Four Par 3’s: 177, 204, 228, 229
  • 11 Par 4’s: 426, 468, 501, 424, 381, 502, 379, 467, 437, 451, 411
  • Three Par 5’s: 594, 593, 596

Grass Types and Hazards (if available)

  • Grass Type: Bent
  • Average Green Size: 6,500 square feet
  • Water Hazards: 27
  • Bunkers: 73

Designer

  • Arnold Palmer, redesign by Tom Lehman

Facts and Figures (2019 and 2020 numbers)

  • Off the Tee: After being one of the easiest courses to drive on in 2019, TPC Twin Cities was set up slightly harder, with the driving accuracy coming down about 5 points to 62.9%. Still, that is about 6% above the tour average for the year.
  • Approach to the green: The fewer fairways in regulation led to fewer greens in regulation last year, with the field averaging 71.62% last year. That is still much easier than the average PGA Tour course at 65.6%.
  • Around the Green: If a golfer missed the green — which only happened 26% of the time last year — it was rather hard to get up and down from par, only happening 55% of the time. That made it the 10th hardest last year.
  • On the Green: The greens were manageable, finishing inside the top 20 hardest last year.

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PGA DFS Sweat Sheet and Slate Preview

Sweat Sheet

Fantasy Golf Expert PGA DFS Picks DraftKings FanDuel Las Vegas Betting Odds PRedictions 3M Open Dustin Johnson Patrick Reed

There were 52 eagles in 2019 and 39 in 2020. Even though there are only three par 5’s, they are all reachable. The eighth hole also sets up as a drivable par 4 one of the days, which has yielded five eagles in the past two years.

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3M Open PGA DFS Player Preview

A week after a major will always feel like a letdown in terms of the strength of the field, but there are still a few talking points, one of them being  Dustin Johnson. Outside of Friday, Johnson just could not get it going at the British Open. That Friday round and consistent play on the rest would have earned him a back-end top-10. Out of the top 25 players in the field this week, 22 of them played in the British Open. Only Bubba Watson, Matthew Wolff and K.H. Lee did not. Patrick Reed, who missed the cut at his first major in quite a long time, will look to bounce back like he did at the beginning of the year with a win. He and Johnson are the only two ranked in the world’s top 10 scheduled to compete this week.


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Since golf performances are largely uncorrelated between one golfer and the next, aside from weather impacts, a good way to view a PGA DFS lineup is as a parlay, where you have to hit all 6 picks to hit. The Awesemo Top Golfer Tool gives you the probabilities that each golfer will finish top 6, as well as their 25%, 50%,and 75% results as a benchmark for how you can expect each golfer to perform at the tournament.

3M Open Sponsor Exemptions

  1. M.J. Daffue: Daffue has made a name for himself this year by Monday qualifying into a number of events. He does not really have status on any tour, playing a few over in Europe, a few on the PGA Tour and a few on the Korn Ferry Tour. He is rewarded with a sponsor exemption this week as he looks to add on a couple of more FedEx cup points after making the cut at the Barbasol Championship. A few more made cuts and he should qualify for the Korn Ferry Tour Finals.
  2. Austin Eckroat: Eckroat has been a pro for just a few weeks, only getting five starts. Among those five starts he only missed the cut at the Rocket Mortgage. He ranked second on the PGA Tour University rankings, which will give him status on the Korn Ferry Tour.
  3. Quade Cummins: Another product of PGA Tour University, Cummins has been given stats on the Forme Tour. That is this year’s version of the Mackenzie Tour. He is played in two events on that tour, coming in 10th and third, and was 50th on the Korn Ferry Tour in his first start.
  4. Agnus Flanagan: In a very similar spot to Cummins, Flanagan has not been as successful on the Forme tour in his first few starts, missing the cut in both. A product of the University of Minnesota, he will have a few local fans this week.
  5. Ryan Hall: Currently ranked 22nd in the world Amateur rankings, Hall will be looking for some good experiences this week.
  6. Joh Pak: With just one more sponsor exemption left, Pak needs something major to happen here this week. He missed the cut in each of his first four starts, but he been hanging around the cut line in each of the last three weeks.

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FanDuel PGA DFS rankings will be posted at least a day in advance of any tournament. Looking for more PGA DFS and DFS PGA lineups? The Yahoo! PGA DFS projections for today, the DFS PGA showdown projections for today and the FanDuel PGA DFS ownership projections for this week are made and used by Alex Baker, the No. 1 DFS player in the world.

Jason established his roots in the littlest state that could...Rhode Island. But after 29 years of bitter cold, and only being able to play golf 4 months a year, upended those roots and moved to Florida. Now two years later, Jason is a husband to Sarah and father of James as well as two Labradors (Choco and Bella) and he dedicates his time to serve as the lead of PGA content at Awesemo.com. In the time he is not diving into the PGA stats and covering this week's current tournament, you can find him researching and trading stocks, on the golf course, or somewhere hopefully lost in nature with his dogs guiding him along the way. Want to chat? Have a question about Golf/Stocks or anything else? Hop on twitter and give him a message @dfsgolfer23. You can also contact Jason by emailing [email protected].

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