Each week we’re diving into PGA DFS analysis and giving you some of the top PGA DFS picks for SuperDraft with the help of the world’s No.1 DFS player, Alex “Awesemo” Baker, and his SuperDraft Projections (PREMIUM). This week is bit of an outlier, with The Memorial being played at Muirfield Village Country Club — the same course that was played on last week for the Workday Charity Open. The other major differences from last week’s Workday to this week Memorial? The field has been shrunken to 120, the strength of the field is much better and some guy named Tiger Woods is making his first appearance on Tour since the hiatus. Here’s a quick glance behind the curtain at three of his best plays to plug into your lineups for this week’s Memorial Tournament.
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1) Brooks Koepka (1.15x multiplier)
Hot off the heels of letting many people down by missing the cut at Workday a week ago, this might be a spot to jump back on Koepka. Sure, he hasn’t been great since golf returned — or much before that, either — outside of a seventh-place finish at RBC Heritage. But what is intriguing is looking at the back nine card of his Friday round. He started to look like old Kopeka again with the irons and birdied five of his last seven holes, and played a bogey-free back nine to boot. He committed late to The Memorial, which he initially intended to skip, so maybe he found something in Round 2 that gave him optimism he could go out and make a run. Other than Jon Rahm and Tiger, the players that carry the same 1.15x multiplier are nowhere near the ilk of Koepka. Not to mention, Brooks is popping in the Awesemo SuperDraft projections, and is rated out at a better-than 15% chance to finish top six. And if it’s motivation he’s lacking, the PGA Tour did him a favor this week, putting him in a must-watch featured group with Tiger Woods and Rory McIlroy.
2) Daniel Berger (1.25x multiplier)
Berger’s form in the 2020 calendar year has been other-worldly. Dating back to Waste Management on Jan. 30, he hasn’t finished outside of the top 10 in any of the five events he’s played. Not to mention he won the Charles Schwab and followed up his win with a third-place finish at RBC Heritage. Muirfield Village, as we saw last week, doesn’t require someone to gain massive amounts of strokes off the tee to win. It’s more about playing well with the longer irons, which bodes well for Berger, who is 35th on Tour in strokes gained approach this season and seventh overall in strokes gained total. He’s always going to roll it well on the greens, and for the year he is gaining almost 0.7 strokes. So, even with the faster greens this weekend for The Memorial, you know you’re getting a solid putter. Getting Berger with this type of multiplier feels naughty, but it’s something to take advantage of. Should he continue his torrid recent form and good iron play, this could be yet another high-end finish for Berger.
3) Abraham Ancer (1.25 multiplier)
How good Ancer has been may be lost among many, especially this week with so many big names jumping back into the field — namely Tiger Woods, among others. After taking the Rocket Mortgage and Workday off, he returns for The Memorial with three tournaments under his belt where he finished 14th, second and 11th. The Mexico native’s irons have been absolutely on fire, and he leads the PGA Tour in strokes gained on approach since coming back from hiatus. With his immaculate ball striking and ability to stick it to 8 to 10 feet with his irons, he should have ample opportunities to putt for birdie. Will the putter heat up for him this week? That’s a question you can ask about any golfer on a week-to-week basis, but if he rolls it well with the flatstick for a three- or four-day stretch, it could be his week.
SuperDraft Honorable Mentions
- Adam Hadwin (1.35x multiplier)
- Sepp Straka (1.45x multipler)
- Nate Lashley (1.65x multiplier