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The Approach: Daily Fantasy Golf Picks & Expert Rankings for the RSM Classic This Week | DraftKings & FanDuel

Geoff Ulrich



Daily Fantasy Golf Picks PGA DFS lineups this week DraftKings FanDuel RSM Classic Adam Scott free expert advice tips strategy best bets advice rankings strategy ownership

The PGA’s 2021-22 fall swing officially comes to an end this week. The RSM Classic is an event that has held a place at the end of this fall schedule since 2010. It has been hosted at Sea Island since inception and is one of a handful of events on tour that use two courses over the first two days of play. Winners have tended to be of the veteran variety as length off the tee is not as important as great average proximity on approach and strong putting. Some courses/events that correlate well with this event include the Sony Open, The Wyndham Championship and the RBC Heritage. All use more classic type setups where driving distance is deemphasized. Looking at past results at these events is a good way to understand the kind of players can thrive at Sea Island for our daily fantasy golf lineups.

The field is composed of 156 players, 17 of which are within the top 50 in the OWGR. The DFS golf advice provided in this article will be of value when making daily fantasy golf picks this week for DraftKings and FanDuel.

Memorial Park Golf Course Stats and Info

  • Par 70, 7,055 yards; Sea Island Seaside Course has been the host for this event since inception.
  • Played as the 16th-easiest at -1.1 strokes under par; average driving distance for the week is usually 7 to 10 yards under the tour average.
  • Greens tend to be easy to hit but tougher to scramble on; the average scramble rate is generally a couple of percentage points under the tour average.

Putting Splits

The green types at Seaside Course and Plantation Course are TifEagle Bermuda. Use caution with these putting splits in fantasy golf picks; they are not the be-all, end-all, but they make for a nice tiebreaker.

Positive Bermuda Putting Splits, Last 50 Rounds

  1. Kevin Kisner: +38 strokes on Bermuda, +7 strokes on all other surfaces
  2. Denny McCarthy: +35 on Bermuda, +5 on all other surfaces
  3. Chesson Hadley: +39 on Bermuda, -3 on all other surfaces

+ equals total strokes gained | – equals strokes lost

Negative Bermuda Putting Splits, Last 50 Rounds

  1. Adam Scott: +4 on Bermuda, +39 on all other surfaces
  2. Wyndham Clark: -8 on Bermuda, +16 on all other surfaces
  3. Talor Gooch: -4 on Bermuda, +10 on all other surfaces

Daily Fantasy Golf Picks: RSM Classic

*Grades are ordered DraftKings, FanDuel. Initial grade indicates a player’s strength of output for the week, with the value grade indicating their strength as a play in relation to their salary.

For a full daily fantasy golf preview of the RSM Classic, check out Jason Rouslin’s PGA DFS First Cut article, where he breaks down all of the pertinent course information, previous year is and more.

Webb Simpson: Grades: A+ | Values: D, C

Webb Simpson comes into this event having already played in three fall series events, and he posted a 14th-place finish his last time out at the CJ Cup. The Sea Island courses in play this week are the exact type that Simpson has destroyed throughout his career. A winner at Hilton Head, TPC Sawgrass and Sedgefield, Simpson’s lack of distance off the tee simply does not hurt him much on these shorter setups where his mid-iron play and great putting/short game more than make up for any lack of distance.

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Simpson has finished top 10 at this event in six of his last 10 visits and ranks first this week in terms of winner probability and point projections in the Awesemo Model. Despite being the second-highest-ranked player on DraftKings, he is a great bargain there at under $11,000 given the projections have him as the elite player with the best chance to post a ceiling week.

The Stats:

  • Has finished runner-up twice at this event, including a playoff loss from 2020; is second in strokes gained total at this event over the last six years.
  • Ranks seventh in strokes gained tee to green and strokes gained around the green over the last 50 rounds.

Projected PGA DFS ownership: DraftKings: 24.1%

Adam Scott: Grades: A | Values: C, C

Adam Scott ranks very well this week in the Awesemo model. He comes in as the highest-projected player under $9,500 on DraftKings this week in point projections and with strong grades in both the value and overall production categories. Scott was a bit of a disappointment last week in Houston where he did end up making the cut but finished 54th. A lot of players had trouble with the setup in Houston, though (which played very tough), and it led to some inflated finishes from good players.

Scott is 10th in strokes gained putting over the last 50 rounds and is also in an uptrend in terms of his overall ball striking, as he is up to 14th in strokes gained ball striking over the last 24 rounds. He has never played at this venue before but has grabbed wins at similar setups like TPC Sawgrass and Colonial. He has already made four fall starts, and with him showcasing the most consistent putting of his career, he could be a huge bounce-back candidate this week.

Scott is also in the top 10 of many of the primary strokes gained categories that Jason Rouslin is targeting as the most important for the RSM Classic in his PGA DFS Data Deep Dive article this week.

The Stats:

  • Fourteenth in strokes gained ball striking over the last 24 rounds; 10th in strokes gained putting over the last 50 rounds.
  • Second at the Wyndham Championship five starts ago (lost in a playoff); has gone 3-for-3 in made cuts in fall swing.

Projected PGA DFS ownership: DraftKings: 17.9%

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Low-Owned Daily Fantasy Golf GPP Flier

Justin Rose

This is an event to target veteran players, and the Awesemo projections also like this setup for Justin Rose. Like Scott, Rose has had a busy fall schedule and posted a solid sixth-place finish in Europe at the competitive BMW PGA Championship in September. Since then he has reeled off a couple of middling finishes, but like many past winners (Mackenzie Hughes, Robert Streb, Kevin Kisner), he can get red hot with his putter and steal events on courses like Sea Island.

Rose is the top player in the projections under $9,000 on DraftKings this week, and his record on courses like Sedgefield — where he finished 10th three months ago — Hilton Head and Colonial does not seem to be respected much in the ownership projections, where he is trending well under 10%. Rostering him at a wide-open event like this one makes plenty of sense given his record and prowess on the greens.

Projected PGA DFS ownership: DraftKings: 7.4%

DraftKings Top two Under 5%

I am targeting two players that will end up under (or close) to 5% ownership in larger DraftKings GPPs. This section is searching for boom/bust players with an almost 100% focus on upside.

Danny Lee ($7,900)

Lee is a streaky player, but he is coming into this week off two very solid top-10 fall finishes. He was great tee to green in his last two starts and typically plays well in tough conditions, and some wind is in the forecast for the week. He is trending under 5% and works for GPPs, as he has shown that can keep his form for more than a few events in the past.

Brian Harman ($7,800)

Harman is not playing that great (54th, missed cut and 72nd in his last three starts), but he is exactly the kind of player to target on these trickier, shorter courses. Harman coming off a year in which he posted four top-10 finishes, and they all came at similar tracks (Colonial, Sawgrass, TPC River Highlands). He is a good low-sentiment play for GPPs.

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The Yahoo! DFS PGA projections for today, the DraftKings PGA DFS showdown projections and the PGA DFS ownership projections for DraftKings are made and used by Alex Baker, the No. 1 DFS player in the world. Looking for more DFS PGA picks and DFS PGA DraftKings picks? DraftKings DFS PGA rankings for today will be posted at least a day in advance of any tournament.
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