All of the PGA DFS content and picks this week are geared toward providing information that will help with your DraftKings and FanDuel daily fantasy golf and PGA odds and betting decisions in the best way possible. With the help of the Awesemo expert , this is the last of the week-long written PGA picks material for DraftKings and FanDuel at the CJ Cup.
PGA DFS Picks: The CJ Cup
If this is your first time joining, I pick 6 to 12 players per week as part of the core, which earns the highest allocation on DFS and is matched with bets across the board. I have a few favorites that, if playing, they are likely to get at least 20% of my allocation, regardless of their form or fit. They are Jordan Spieth, Patrick Cantlay and Collin Morikawa. I omit them from the selected core of players each week given the redundancy in reading about them each time they play.
Last Week’s Recap
I had a solid build that would have been even better had Jason Kokrak made his 10-footer on the ninth hole to make the cut. He failed to do so and likely cost me my first top-10 of the year, as I finished 25th in the large $200 single-entry tournament on DraftKings. Matthew Wolff was the main focal point of a lot of my lineups, as was Aaron Wise. Both proved to be vital to my success last week.
Perfect Vegas weather is expected all four days of the event, with little to no wind and mid- to upper 70s temperatures.
Total expected player pool: 70
Expected number of lineups created: 300+
Top PGA DFS Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel
These golfers will have anywhere between 20% and 50% allocation this week.
Dustin Johnson ($11,300 DraftKings/$12,000 FanDuel)
Quietly, it seems that Johnson is rounding into form. While his putter has been hot, his entire game popped at the Ryder Cup. It just so happens he, along with Spieth and Morikawa, are projected to be the three lowest-owned golfers over $9,000 on DraftKings this week. If the plays in the low to mid-$7,000 range pan out, then there will be room for two golfers priced above $9,500. If so, Johnson, Morikawa and Spieth will be the highest-owned golfers from that price range.
Louis Oosthuizen ($9,300 DraftKings/10,900 FanDuel)
When the strategy shifts from two studs and four mid-priced golfers to a balance build, Oosthuizen will lead off most of those lineups. Even with a below-average putting week last week, he put up over 100 points in a tie for 14th effort, with all four rounds in the 60s. He has played quality golf and has been due for a win for quite some time now. Any withdrawal scares are nullified based on recent past, as he generally withdraws well before the start of the event.
Joaquin Niemann ($7,400 DraftKings/$9,200 FanDuel
Niemann had a dreadful Thursday at the Shriners, losing over three strokes on his approaches and another 0.35 off the tee. It was his worst ball-striking round in the database. He bounced back, though, gaining almost four strokes ball striking in Round 2. Saturday’s round did not go well either, but a good closing round on Sunday should give him confidence heading into this week. At this price, it is hard to pass up the top-10 equity, especially if the course proves to be easy off the tee.
Aaron Wise ($7,900 DraftKings/$9,600 FanDuel)
While the assumption was it would take four good rounds for Wise to end up in the top 10 last week, he only needed three, shooting a combined 17 under while shooting even par on Saturday. Once again one round kept him from big-time finishes, but his game is close, and at this price, gamers do not have to worry about a cut sweat.
Harold Varner III ($7,300 DraftKings/$8,900 FanDuel)
Varner has also been playing some very consistent golf, finishing in the top 16 in four straight events. Two of those events were playoffs as well, featuring most of the best players in the world. That should give him plenty of confidence this week.
Maverick McNealy ($7,300 DraftKings /$8,500 FanDuel)
While the edge may be slight, any edge in PGA DFS is essential. McNealy’s family’s wealth affords him the luxury of belonging to whatever golf course he likes, and this happens to be one of them. He has also been playing solid golf as of late and missed the cut on the number last week while losing over two strokes putting. He will have a guaranteed four rounds to fix that and prove to be a force when it comes to DFS scoring by week’s end.
Talor Gooch ($7,200 DraftKings/$8,300 FanDuel)
Tied for 11th is the worst Gooch could have finished last week, as he was on fire with his irons in almost every round. One round he did not hit them well, but that is more about his off-tee work putting him in terrible positions all day. That should be nullified a bit this week, and now he just needs to flip the putter from 0.8 strokes lost to 0.8 strokes gained, and he should find himself in the top 10 by week’s end given how good his irons are right now.
Russell Henley ($7,100/$8,900 FanDuel)
Charley Hoffman had a bit of an off week last week, so he will not be in as many lineups as the other golfers listed here, but Henley’s outperformance last week gives him the slight nod. Both have been playing well over the last 50 rounds and present values in a 4/2 build. Henley found Shadow Creek to be ideal, earning one of his best finishes of the year, and he will look to translate that success over to Summit Club after a good showing down the street at TPC Summerlin last week.
PGA Picks Under or at $7,000
With no-cut this week, there is a bit more sense of comfort knowing there are four guaranteed rounds for all golfers.
Cam Davis ($6,400 DraftKings/$7,700 FanDuel)
With a breakthrough win at the Rocket Mortgage classic back in July, Davis finally lived up to the hype. Since then he has not enjoyed much success but had a bit of a breakthrough last week, gaining over 5.5 strokes ball striking. While his short game struggled, he gained over 1.5 strokes putting on Sunday, so maybe he found a stroke he likes. If that continues into this week and the ball striking remains, he will end up as one of the best values on the slate.
Keith Mitchell ($6,200/$7,200 FanDuel)
Mitchell’s putter was icy cold last week, losing him about four strokes in two rounds. He missed the cut on the number, and had he matched the field with his putting, he would have been at 8 under heading into the weekend. Everything else looks good, and there will not be a cut sweat this week. Everything seems to be aligning for Mitchell to outperform this week.
K.H. Lee ($6,200 DraftKings/$7,000 FanDuel)
Lee had breakout season last year, winning the AT&T Bryon Nelson for his first PGA Tour win. The subsequent five events after his win did not go so great, as he missed the cut in three and finished outside of the top 60 in the other two, but since the 3M Open it has gotten much better. He made 6 of 7 cuts and had four top 25 finishes. Last week at the Shriners he gained strokes through the bag en route to a tie for 14th. He will be rather popular, however, but with good reason, as Lee looks to continue his good form in an event made for and sponsored by his home country.
PGA DFS Chalk Zone (Projected for 10%+ Ownership)
*This section entails how I plan to attack the expected chalk of the slate.
E = Equal-Weight to projected Ownership
U = Underweight to projected Ownership
O = Overweight to projected Ownership
- Justin Thomas (E to O)
- Xander Schauffele (E)
- Rory McIlroy (E)
- Viktor Hovland (E)
- Sam Burns (E)
- Tony Finau (E)
- Sungjae Im (E)
- Abraham Ancer (U)
- Harris English (U)
- Webb Simpson (E to U)
- Paul Casey (U)
- Justin Rose (U)
- Kevin Na (U)
- Sergio Garcia (U)
- Alex Noren (E to U)
- Cam Tringale (U)
Fringe PGA DFS Picks (12-17% of Lineups)
- Jason Kokrak
- Max Homa
- Si Woo Kim
- Charley Hoffman
- Jon Vegas
- Erik van Rooyen
- Gary Woodland
Alternates (6-11% of Lineups)
- Brooks Koepka
- Hideki Matsuyama
- Tommy Fleetwood
- Marc Leishman
- Tyrrell Hatton
- Shane Lowry
- Adam Scott
- Kevin Streelman
- Rickie Fowler
- Charl Schwartzel
- Mackenzie Hughes
- Sung Kang
- Lucas Glover
- Matt Jones
Holes in One (1-5% of Lineups)
- The rest, other than the KPGA players, outside of Tom Kim.
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