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Expert Round 3 British Open PGA DFS Showdown Picks for DraftKings & FanDuel: Jordan Spieth, Dustin Johnson & Marcell Siem

Jason Rouslin

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Expert PGA DFS Picks fantasy golf DraftKings FanDuel British Open Championship Marcel Siem Dustin Johnson Collin Morikawa

Bright, sunny days in England are a rarity — especially at the British Open. But for one 70-degree Friday in July, the wind never blew harder than 20 mph and there was not even a whisker of condensation. Links courses’ primary defense against low scores is weather elements. When those are not there, the course is left for the taking. Much to the benefit of gamers, some of our top PGA DFS picks for the week have taken advantage by posting some incredible DFS golf scores through the first two rounds.

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Yesterday saw a new scoring record for an opening round, and it was broken in Round 2. The field averaged 69.4, and Louis Oosthuizen set the 36-hole British Open Championship record at 129. The weather pattern is supposed to continue for the next few days, giving players a chance to set all kinds of records by the week’s end.

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Be sure to check out Awesemo’s Round 3 British Open expert PGA DFS Showdown projections and ownership.

PGA DFS Showdown Picks: British Open Round 3

Previous Round Recap

Morning Wave

Collin Morikawa looked good from the opening tee shot as some were just waking up to catch early-morning action on the East Coast. At one point everyone thought he was going to set or tie the scoring record at 62, but a few bad drives on pivotal holes had him settling for a brilliant 64. Emiliano Grillo also hit that number with the best round in a major of his career. The story of Marcel Siem keeps getting better; he got in the field just this past Sunday based on his recent play on the Challenge Tour.

Daniel van Tonder also continues his hot form over the last bit, albeit much of it taking place on the Sunshine Tour. Still, he is playing among the best of them this week and sits inside the top 10 heading into the weekend.

Tony Finau, who had no signs of any good form coming into the week, found something on Friday with a 66. Ryan Fox, Corey Conners and Cameron Smith round out the golfers that rank among the 24 that teed off earlier than Group 20 today. There has been a massive edge to the Early/Late wave.

Afternoon Wave

The story was always going to be about Jordan Spieth, Oosthuizen and who would catch Morikawa first. Spieth caught him after the birdie on 12, with a few of the easiest holes left to play. But he did not make another birdie coming in, bogeyed one and settled for 67. Oosthuizen also caught Morikawa after his birdie on 12 but went birdie-eagle in his next two. A careless bogey coming in gave him a 2-shot lead.

Many other big names from this wave made huge moves, including Dustin Johnson and Jon Rahm. The former backed up a 68 with a 65 and sits just 4 back, while Rahm’s struggles in Round 1 were nullified and he tied the tournament low with 64 on Friday. Dylan Frittelli has found a spot of form as well with back-to-back solid rounds of 66 and 67. His playing partners Brian Harman and Mackenzie Hughes would not fare as well as he did today, but both are inside the top 20 heading into the weekend. Scottie Scheffler continues his good form as well, matching Frittelli’s two rounds but in opposite fashion, going 67 in Round 1 and 66 on Friday.


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Round 2 Stat Recap

Strokes gained statistics are not available for the British Open, but some baseline stats are. While these are not nearly as predictive as strokes gained, they can at least provide a look at where golfers perform well and where they do not. Field Average

Driving Accuracy (Field Average 57.5%)

  1. Poom Saksansin
  2. Aaron Rai
  3. Ian Poulter

Greens in Regulation (Field Average 65.6%)

All of the following are hitting 75% or more of their greens through two rounds:

  1. Brandt Snedeker
  2. Richard Mansell
  3. Ryan Fox
  4. Jon Rahm
  5. Jordan Spieth
  6. Louis Oosthuizen
  7. Mackenzie Hughes
  8. Patrick Cantlay
  9. Scottie Scheffler
  10. Lanto Griffin
  11. Brooks Koepka
  12. Chan Kim
  13. Collin Morikawa
  14. Corey Conners
  15. Dustin Johnson
  16. Kevin Streelman
  17. Lee Westwood
  18. Matthias Schmid

Seventeen of these previous 18 golfers made the cut. One did not: No. 8 on that list, Patrick Cantlay. 

Putts Per Green

  1. Collin Morikawa
  2. Justin Rose
  3. Andy Sullivan
  4. Cameron Tringale
  5. Christoffer Bring
  6. Daniel van Tonder
  7. Dylan Frittelli
  8. Ian Poulter
  9. Johannes Veerman
  10. Jonathan Thomson
  11. Justin Harding

Awesemo's Top Golfer Tool is an Ace

Since golf performances are largely uncorrelated between one golfer and the next, aside from weather impacts, a good way to view a PGA DFS lineup is as a parlay, where you have to hit all 6 picks to hit. The Awesemo Top Golfer Tool gives you the probabilities that each golfer will finish top 6, as well as their 25%, 50%,and 75% results as a benchmark for how you can expect each golfer to perform at the tournament.

PGA DFS Showdown Picks: Slate Preview

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  • DraftKings is offering $50,000 to first place and $200,000 guaranteed for the third-round slate.

The British Open PGA DFS Picks

The wind was really a non-factor all day today and even lightened up more as the day progressed. The same weather pattern is expected for the next two days, with beautiful temperatures, sunny skies and low wind. That should not mean Rory McIlroy and Xander Schauffele are taken out of lineups, as those two will be the lowest-owned golfers above $8,500 for tomorrow’s slate.

With so many of the biggest names playing well, there should be plenty of balanced lineups, starting with Johnson and Morikawa. Brooks Koepka’s price has also come down quite significantly, and he will likely be a popular target in Round 3. Starting with those three golfers still leaves plenty of salary and options to choose to build a quality line.

PGA DFS Picks for Round 3 of The British Open

  • Jordan Spieth ($10,400): With no positional points available and the second-highest priced on the board, it is feasible that Spieth and Rahm could come in relatively low owned, at least compared to Johnson.
  • Dustin Johnson ($9,000): The price is just too good to pass up here, very similar to Morikawa’s. They will be very highly owned tomorrow, but for a reason. Johnson looks poised to make a run this weekend, while Morikawa is in full command.
  • Adam Scott ($7,500): A bogey-free 66 got Scott into the weekend at the British Open again. He is packed around other popular plays like Corey Conners and Daniel Berger, so he should not be noticed by too many. He and Sergio Garcia are the best plays in the mid-$7,000s for a balanced approach.

Sneaky Pick for the Round 3 Showdown

  • Marcel Siem ($6,100): In the golfing world there is not a better story out here this week than Siem. He had just one top-10 the entire season before two weeks ago, most of his starts coming on the Challenge Tour. But then something clicked and he finished fifth and then first, earning a spot in this week’s field. He has parlayed that into great success here through two rounds and could be in store for a life-changing weekend.

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Jason established his roots in the littlest state that could...Rhode Island. But after 29 years of bitter cold, and only being able to play golf 4 months a year, upended those roots and moved to Florida. Now two years later, Jason is a husband to Sarah and father of James as well as two Labradors (Choco and Bella) and he dedicates his time to serve as the lead of PGA content at Awesemo.com. In the time he is not diving into the PGA stats and covering this week's current tournament, you can find him researching and trading stocks, on the golf course, or somewhere hopefully lost in nature with his dogs guiding him along the way. Want to chat? Have a question about Golf/Stocks or anything else? Hop on twitter and give him a message @dfsgolfer23. You can also contact Jason by emailing [email protected].

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