PGA DFS: Top 3 SuperDraft Picks for the Workday Charity Open

Each week we’re diving into PGA DFS analysis and giving you some of the top SuperDraft plays with the help of the world’s No.1 DFS player, Alex “Awesemo” Baker, and his SuperDraft Projections (PREMIUM). Here’s a quick glance behind the curtain at three of his best plays to plug into your lineups for this week’s Workday Charity Open.


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1) Patrick Cantlay (1.15x multiplier)

Whoever is in charge of Cantlay’s Tour schedule, we’ll be sending a thank-you card your way after this weekend. Cantlay returns this week for the Workday Charity Open after only playing the Travelers since the PGA returned from hiatus. His lack of a Bryson DeChambeau-like string of continuous weeks played is probably the main reason why he carries a 1.15x multiplier into Dublin, Ohio — so it’s an opportunity to take advantage of. The two most significant strokes gained metrics from a year ago at this course were on the approach and tee to green. Cantlay excels in both, ranking No. 5 and No. 7, respectively, so it’s no surprise he was the winner here in 2019. Only Gary Woodland rates out as a better ball striker on Tour than Cantlay, so you can almost always bank on gaining a few strokes in that facet of the game. According to Alex “Awesemo” Baker’s projections, Cantlay comes in with a top-five winning percentage and one of the best odds to finish inside the top six. Despite him undoubtedly being a popular play across the DFS landscape, the value of getting the No. 8 player in the world with a 1.15 multiplier is too difficult to pass up this week.

2) Viktor Hovland (1.25x multiplier)

I guess I’ll just be penciling in Hovland’s name every week in this article. Or it seems that way at least. Hovland has been swinging a hot club and hasn’t carded an over-par score in any of the 16 rounds since the return at Charles Schwab. His off-the-tee and tee-to-green game is always an area of success, where over the last 30 measured rounds, he’s inside the top 20 in both. His bread and butter, though, is his approach game. The irons have been white hot of late, gaining more than 13 strokes on approach combined at Rocket Mortgage and Travelers. Usually, if Hovland misses with his approach, his around-the-green game is quite shaky, but an encouraging trend could be emerging. In each of the last two tournaments, he’s actually gained strokes around the green. It wasn’t much at Travelers (.543), but the full stroke and a half he gained at Rocket Mortgage was quite impressive. Now putting, on the other hand, is a different story. He has dropped nearly seven full strokes over the last two tournaments. Of course, putting stats are some of the flukiest on Tour, and anyone can catch a hot putter at any time. With the greens allegedly being markedly slower this week at Muirfield, that could be the thing Hovland needs to put every facet of the game together.

3) Adam Hadwin (1.35x multiplier)

Hot off the heels of a top-five at Rocket Mortgage, Hadwin is popping in the Awesemo projections. His recent form with the irons has been carrying him most, gaining strokes on approach week since returning from hiatus. Muirfield has an abundance of holes that fit the par 4’s 450-500 mold, which Hadwin is sneakily near the top of the leaderboard in over his last 36 measured rounds. An area of focus for Workday is strokes gained around the green, where only a handful of courses have more around-the-green importance. Hadwin was 10th in the field around the green a week ago at Rocket Mortgage, which was rather impressive. He’s not overly long off the tee, so not being able to bomb with some of the other guys may hurt him a little. With the added length to two of the par 5’s this week, his hot irons will likely help him make up for a little bit of lost length. However, if he needs to lay up, the positive recent form around the green could help put himself into good scoring positions if he can’t get on in two.

SuperDraft Honorable Mentions

  • Marc Leishman (1.15x multipler)
  • Joaquin Niemann (1.25x multiplier)
  • Kevin Streelman (1.45x multiplier)
  • Scott Stallings (1.60x multiplier)

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I'm a wannabe athlete whose athletic career ended after a long tenure riding the bench through JV baseball. The fantasy sports and sports betting degen side of me blossomed at age 12 when I found fantasy baseball and football, and led to a 12-year submergence into the poker scene -- I started playing "secret" cash games in my parents' basements by age 14. Luckily, I've finally found what I love to do -- write about "fake sports," which my girlfriend refers to it as, though it only took me until age 30. If you decide you like the words I write and follow me on Twitter (@nd_joyce), I apologize in advance for the copious amounts of dog photos you will see.

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