Fantasy Golf: Monkey Knife Fight Picks for the 3M Open

Collin Morikawa took home the Claret Jug this past weekend at Royal St. Georges, and following the season’s last major, the PGA Tour moves to Blaine, Minn., for the 3M Open. TPC Twin Cities (par 71, 7,431 yards) has been the only home of this event since its inception three years ago, and the first two winners were Matthew Wolff (-21) in 2019 and Michael Thompson (-19) in 2020. If you have not already, this week is a perfect time to check out Monkey Knife Fight — a new style of PGA fantasy with a twist on the usual DFS golf this week — with the fantasy site offering some great contests for the 3M Open. Below I will break down some of the best fantasy golf Monkey Knife Fight picks for this week.

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MKF Fantasy Golf Picks | The 3M Open

This Monkey Knife Fight contest is like a prop in that players must choose if each golfer will score more or less of their fantasy line. If both are correct, the payout is 2.5 times the buy-in. It is worth noting that MKF’s fantasy golf scoring system is different compared to other DFS sites. No points are awarded for finishing position or streaks, nor do players lose points for bogeys. Their scoring system is simple:

Eagle or Better: 5

Birdie: 3

Par: 1

More or Less – Pick More/Less for Each Player | Prize: 2.5x

Dustin Johnson: More than 105.5 fantasy points

Tony Finau: More than 104.5 fantasy points

Coming off impressive showings at the British Open, both of these players should surpass their fantasy line at this birdie fest. Johnson carded an eighth-place finish at Royal St. Georges and unsurprisingly is the heavy favorite to win the 3M Open this weekend. Last week was the 21st major top-10 of his career, and Johnson provided 19 birdies in the process, which ranked third for the week at the links course. Now comes a date with an easy par 71 in TPC Twin Cities that Johnson should absolutely dominate. No player in this field has gained more total strokes than Johnson over the last 50 rounds on par 71s. A back injury forced him to withdraw from this event after the first round last season, and another surprise withdrawal is the only thing that could possibly stop Johnson from contending, which seems unlikely with him not competing in the Tokyo Olympics next week.

At Royal St. George’s Finau bounced back after missing his last two cuts, finishing 15th. For the event, he ranked fifth in birdies converted and third in greens found. The strong iron play bodes well for Finau this week at TPC Twin Cities, where the past two champions have ranked inside the top five in strokes gained approach during their victories. Additionally, he has loved making the trip to Blaine the past two years, with a 23rd-place finish in 2019 and a third place a year ago. TPC Twin Cities sports bentgrass greens, and Finau ranks third in total strokes gained over the last 50 rounds on par 71s.

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More or Less – Pick More/Less for Each Player | Prize: 2.5x

Louis Oosthuizen: Less than 19.5 birdies

Patrick Reed: Less than 19.5 birdies

After leading the major following each of the first three rounds, Oosthuizen crumbled Sunday and recorded a 1-over 71 at the British Open, bringing him down to a third-place finish. While this was still a nice payday, not closing out the tournament was devastating for Oosthuizen, who has been extremely close to winning many majors over the last decade. Throughout his career Oosthuizen has notoriously shined at the major level, and not taken regular PGA events as seriously. For his 12 starts this year, he only has one top-10 finish that was not at a major. Furthermore, Oosthuizen has only tallied over 19 birdies at two events. Taking the under on this line is the sharp move with Oosthuizen after his heartbreak at Royal St. George’s.

Reed failed to make the cut at the British Open, which was his first missed weekend at a major in eight starts. His irons have been lackluster, ranking 78th in greens in regulation over his last 12 rounds, and like Oosthuizen, Reed’s game is better suited for difficult courses, not low-scoring environments like the 3M Open. In his last 20 starts, Reed has only produced over 19 birdies at one tournament.

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