PGA One and Done: Expert PGA Golf Picks This Week for the 2022 Players Championship

The PGA Tour season arrives at a premier week as the Players Championship is set to begin. This is known as the strongest field in golf, and the tour puts up a load of cash to make sure every elite player makes the trip. In addition to the strongest field, it is also known as the fifth major, so winning this can be a career-defining moment. It is a massive payday for One and Done as well, so let’s dive into all the One and Done picks for the Players Championship.

PGA One and Done Picks: 2022 Players Championship

What is a One and Done pool?

A One and Done pool has some similarities with NFL survivor pools except that players cannot be eliminated early for making a poor pick. Each week players have to select one golfer, and their prize money earned that week become points for the player. The same player cannot be used twice, just like an NFL survivor contest, so strategy and knowing when to save a top-tier player can make the difference. At the end of the season, the team with the most cumulative earning earns a strong payoff. Pools will pay several spots, depending on it is size, similar to a GPP structure from DFS golf.

Arnold Palmer Invitational One and Done Recap

Matthew Fitzpatrick

There was a lot of buzz surrounding Matthew Fitzpatrick last week, as he had quality course history matched up with excellent recent form. He made for a logical One and Done play, and although he did not contend, he finished tied for ninth and earned a $339,000 payout. Fitzpatrick will not be a huge loss down the road, as he still is searching for his first career PGA Tour win.

Hideki Matsuyama

Hideki Matsuyama had a mini cut sweat at the Arnold Palmer, but he was able to grind it out and get inside the line Friday. The weekend brought absolutely brutal conditions, but his 2-under Sunday score was among the best in the field and launched him up the standings. The net result was a pedestrian $131,000, but it is still better than getting nothing due to a missed cut.

Adam Scott

Adam Scott was another middle-of-the-pack finisher last week. He was able to get in contention, but the brutal conditions over the weekend made him unable to do much of anything. After 72 holes he sat in 26th, which was just $87,000 for One and Done. Not having Scott for the rest of the year is not a huge deal, but it still was not the best effort last week at Bay Hill.


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2022 Players Championship PGA One and Done Picks

Hideki Matsuyama

Hideki Matsuyama was this column’s pick last week, but he makes for a strong One and Done play and may be a little under the radar. People forget that in 2020 Matsuyama absolutely torched TPC Sawgrass to take the opening-round lead until the tournament got canceled due to the pandemic. He has every skillset necessary for this event and just closed with a quality Sunday in the toughest conditions the tour will offer. This could be a great spot for those who have been waiting to deploy Matsuyama.

Justin Thomas

This is the Players Championship, so it makes sense to consider only the world’s best. Justin Thomas has not played during the Florida swing, but it is pretty easy to make a case for him being able to handle this course considering he is the defending champion. Like Jon Rahm, he has to deal with a suspect putter, but Thomas still brings elite approach numbers and upside that rivals anyone on tour. If his putter flips, Thomas could easily be in the hunt again to add another Players Championship.

Jordan Spieth

The Players Championship is not the best spot to get creative, but Jordan Spieth will be low owned across One and Done pools and thus presents an opportunity to vault up the standings. He was fourth here in 2014, and since then Spieth has four missed cuts in six appearances. He has lost strokes putting in five of his last six events here, and that is a major reason for the poor form.

All of those factors are why he is incredibly risky, but there is upside with a guy who could thrive if the weather is truly like the British Open. Spieth is all-world around the green and with his putter, and he is coming off a respectable 26th-place showing at the Genesis. If there are crazy conditions and this turns into a scramble fest, then there is a path for Spieth to surprise and get into the hunt.

Players Championship One and Done Pick: Justin Thomas

Thomas is looking to defend his title from last year. Like everyone in this field, it seems that he will have to outlast what could be awful weather throughout the tournament. His game should translate across rain or wind, and when he is dialed in, his approach game is among the best in the world. Thomas finished sixth at the Genesis and eighth at the Waste Management the last few times out, so his form and game look to be in solid shape. With the prize money so large this week, it is best to go with one of the true elites in the game, and Thomas checks most of those boxes for One and Done.

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Author
*Ben Rasa (aka Jazzraz)* has been involved with sports and numbers for quite some time dabbling in the poker world , sports wagering and of course finding a home in the DFS world. While he enjoys playing NFL, NCAAF and NBA he has found his best advantage on the links with PGA and the Euro Tour. Jazzraz focuses on GPPs and uses a analytical approach to try and find pricing inefficiencies as well as trying to go against the grain to find those under owned lesser know players that can make the difference in giant field tournaments. You can contact Ben by emailing [email protected].

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