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Wells Fargo Championship 2022 One and Done Picks: Expert PGA Golf Predictions This Week

Ben Rasa

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The Wells Fargo Championship is next up on the schedule, but this year there is a slight twist to a staple of the PGA Tour season. Normally this event is played at Quail Hollow, but due to that being the Presidents Cup venue, they get the boot this week. Instead the tour heads to TPC Potomac, which has occasionally been a PGA Tour stop over the years. The field has some of the elites in play, and this is a tricky situation to navigate for Wells Fargo Championship One and Done picks.

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PGA One and Done Picks: Wells Fargo Championship 2022

What is a One and Done Pool?

A One and Done pool has some similarities with NFL survivor pools except that players cannot be eliminated early for making a poor pick. Each week players have to select one golfer, and their prize money earned that week becomes points for the player. The same player cannot be used twice, just like an NFL survivor contest, so strategy and knowing when to save a top-tier player can make the difference. At the end of the season, the team with the most cumulative earning earns a strong payoff. Pools will pay several spots, depending on it is size, similar to a GPP structure from DFS golf.

The Mexico Open 2022 One and Done Recap

Tony Finau

Despite having some awful putting performances, Tony Finau was among the leaders come Sunday. Although he never threatened to win, he tied for second, which was $552,000 for One and Done. The lack of wins for Finau continues to be a pain point, but this season has to be viewed as a positive rather than a disappointing effort.

Jon Rahm

Jon Rahm was a huge favorite relative to most fields last week, and for that reason it wasn’t crazy to consider burning him in that spot. The opportunity cost was massive, but seeing a golfer be 4-1 in the outright market is a rarity. Rahm converted the win and brought home $1.3 million for One and Done backers. Now they have to sweat the rest of the season and hope that Rahm doesn’t bring home any majors or high-end tournaments that would earn even bigger purses.

Aaron Wise

Aaron Wise was a solid punt option to avoid playing high-end names, and his ball striking has been fantastic. The putting has kept him out of contention in most tournaments, but Wise performed well last week, finishing in a tie for sixth. The $238,000 payout isn’t going to move the needle, but it did not lose much ground either.

Wells Fargo Championship 2022 PGA One and Done Picks

Tyrrell Hatton

This is a tricky One and Done week with options up and down the card. Tyrrell Hatton at 33-1 in the outright market is surprising, and he is in play across most formats this week, including One and Done. Hatton hasn’t missed a cut on tour this season, and outside Augusta he has been inside the top 30 in every start. The combination of positive strokes gained with the irons and putter in four straight events (that have strokes gained data) shows he has the right skillset to tackle this course. Most people probably still have him available, and in a field like this it’s a reasonable spot to deploy him.

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Matthew Fitzpatrick

This is a game theory play, as Matthew Fitzpatrick burned a ton of people last time out at RBC Heritage. The missed cut was a massive hit to a lot of people, and he has not played since. That should keep the interest tempered for many people who want to take a wait-and-see approach, but that allows for buying low in a sense. Tee to green Fitzpatrick was still positive at Heritage, so his performance at that tournament may simply be an outlier rather than a long-term problem. Like Hatton, Fitzpatrick should lean on his irons and putting around this track, and if he is available, don’t hesitate to roll the dice while many others look elsewhere.

Sergio Garcia

For a more aggressive shot, take a look at Sergio Garcia this week. He is always strong off the tee, but lately he has found the groove with the putter, gaining in three straight events that have strokes gained data. Garcia hasn’t played a ton on tour this season, but he has cashed a check in every event, so the floor seems somewhat viable. If he can flip the irons, he could be in store for a sneaky top-end finish. Plus, it seems doubtful many other people will hop on the Garcia train this week.

Wells Fargo Championship 2022 One and Done Pick: Sergio Garcia

Garcia’s game is in fine shape, and although he can be frustrating, the strokes gained data is trending in the right direction. He needs some positive regression on the approach, but the strong off-tee game and hot putter should both be huge assets this week. With most of the top-end players unavailable due to having used them previously, this is an eco-type week, and using Garcia offers a lot more room to navigate later in the season.

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Looking for more PGA DFS advice and DFS PGA FanDuel picks? DFS PGA rankings will be posted at least a day in advance of any tournament. The FanDuel DFS PGA projections for this week, the PGA DFS showdown projections and the DFS PGA ownership projections for FanDuel are made and used by Alex Baker, the No. 1 DFS player in the world.

*Ben Rasa (aka Jazzraz)* has been involved with sports and numbers for quite some time dabbling in the poker world , sports wagering and of course finding a home in the DFS world. While he enjoys playing NFL, NCAAF and NBA he has found his best advantage on the links with PGA and the Euro Tour. Jazzraz focuses on GPPs and uses a analytical approach to try and find pricing inefficiencies as well as trying to go against the grain to find those under owned lesser know players that can make the difference in giant field tournaments. You can contact Ben by emailing [email protected].

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