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Mexico Open 2022 One and Done Picks: Expert PGA Golf Predictions This Week

Ben Rasa



After a one-week hiatus, One and Done competition returns as the PGA Tour heads to Mexico. Last week’s team event allowed a mini breather, but now the Mexico Open 2022 presents the opportunity to find a top-end finisher. This is a new event, so there are a lot of questions and the opportunity to pick up some ground in One and Done pools. Below is a quick recap of the RBC Heritage from a couple weeks back, and a look at the best Mexico Open one and done picks this week.

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PGA One and Done Picks: Mexico Open 2022

What is a One and Done Pool?

A One and Done pool has some similarities with NFL survivor pools except that players cannot be eliminated early for making a poor pick. Each week players have to select one golfer, and their prize money earned that week becomes points for the player. The same player cannot be used twice, just like an NFL survivor contest, so strategy and knowing when to save a top-tier player can make the difference. At the end of the season, the team with the most cumulative earning earns a strong payoff. Pools will pay several spots, depending on it is size, similar to a GPP structure from DFS golf.

The RBC Heritage One and Done Recap

Tommy Fleetwood

Heading into the RBC Heritage, Tommy Fleetwood’s game seemed to be in solid shape. He was a solid play for One and Done and the outright markets, and the 10th place was somewhat rewarding. Fleetwood banked $210,000, and it seems like his game is primed for some big-time finishes during the 2022 season.

Daniel Berger

RBC Heritage was Daniel Berger, and although he found the weekend, there wasn’t much to get excited about. Berger finished 21st for $83,000 and an uneventful week. It’s always better to add some money to the bank instead of the dreaded missed cut, but at the same time, that result has a relatively low impact. Not having Berger available for the rest of the season isn’t ideal, but it’s also not a huge loss given the depth of talent on tour.

Matthew Fitzpatrick

This was the chalk bomb, as Matthew Fitzpatrick set up perfectly heading into this event. It’s a course he seemed to love, and the results in recent years showed it’s the perfect venue for a possible breakthrough win on tour. The results couldn’t be further off, as he shockingly missed the cut and was unable to avoid some crucial mistakes around Harbour Town. However, that can be chalked up to just being off week, but it’s still a tough $0 for any Fitzpatrick backers.

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Mexico Open 2022 PGA One and Done Picks

Jon Rahm

Nobody planned to save Jon Rahm for this moment since this isn’t a tournament with much pedigree. However, he is a massive favorite relative to most tournaments, as his outright price is under 5-1. That is worth taking advantage of if playing the possibility of Rahm underperforming in the majors down the road. He is far and away the best player in the field and might be able to win this without his top-end stuff.

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Tony Finau

Like the rest of the field, the first step is hoping that Rahm doesn’t win, in which case this tournament is wide open. Tony Finau sets up well and is starting to show flashes with three of his last four cuts made, including Augusta. There are some similarities to the buildup with Fleetwood from a couple weeks ago, and Finau could be peaking heading into the summer months. Tee to green his game is in good shape, and his approach numbers have been positive in seven of his last eight events. The course should fit his game, and given the depth of this field, Finau makes sense out of the non-Rahm options available.

Aaron Wise

This seems too aggressive, so do not play Aaron Wise unless in a large pool and very far behind. He is starting to make cuts having found the weekend in three of four, but his putter is still a gigantic liability. This could be a great setup for Wise, as he seemingly loves these types of layouts and has performed well at a lot of the comp courses. If the putter ever flips, Wise has massive upside, and in this field he’s one of the better players. However be prepared for a potential missed cut.

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Mexico Open 2022 One and Done Pick: Tony Finau

To split the difference between the ultra-safe Rahm and the home run Wise, Finau is the Mexico Open One and Done pick this week. The ball-striking numbers are consistently positive, and this field is the type where Finau could possibly add another win. He can attack the par 5’s and the short par 4’s, and if he finds the weekend, he should be in line for a quality paycheck. As it gets further in the year, the limited options at some tournaments will affect who is available, but using Finau is not a major loss at this point in the season. Fire up Finau confidently this week and expect him to be one of the more popular options.

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Looking for more DFS PGA picks and DFS PGA picks? PGA DFS rankings for today will be posted at least a day in advance of any tournament. The Yahoo! PGA DFS projections for today, the PGA DFS showdown projections and the FanDuel DFS PGA ownership projections are made and used by Alex Baker, the No. 1 DFS player in the world.

*Ben Rasa (aka Jazzraz)* has been involved with sports and numbers for quite some time dabbling in the poker world , sports wagering and of course finding a home in the DFS world. While he enjoys playing NFL, NCAAF and NBA he has found his best advantage on the links with PGA and the Euro Tour. Jazzraz focuses on GPPs and uses a analytical approach to try and find pricing inefficiencies as well as trying to go against the grain to find those under owned lesser know players that can make the difference in giant field tournaments. You can contact Ben by emailing [email protected].

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