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PGA One and Done: Expert PGA Picks This Week for The 3M Open

Ben Rasa



Ben Rasa's PGA Tour One and Done expert picks this week for The 3M Open, including Sergio Garcia and Tony Finau based on premium projections.

Though major season is done, there are still some events to leading up to the FedEx Cup playoff. This is the part of the season where players’ tour cards are on the line and the pressure really heats up. This week the PGA Tour heads to Minnesota for the 3M Open with another weaker field. This allows One and Done players to open up the potential picks. Let’s branch off from the usual DFS golf this week and get into One and Done action.

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Last week Collin Morikawa held off Jordan Spieth to claim his second major and a $2 million payday. This tournament does not offer that big of purse, but there is still plenty to break down.

What is a One and Done pool?

A One and Done pool has some similarities with NFL survivor pools except that you cannot be eliminated early for making a poor pick. Each week you have to select one golfer, and their prize money earned that week become your points. You cannot use the same player twice, just like an NFL survivor contest, so strategy and knowing when to save a top-tier player can make the difference. At the end of the season, the team with the most cumulative earning is in line for a big payoff. Your pool will pay several spots, depending on its size, similar to a GPP structure that we all know from PGA DFS.

Be sure to check out today’s PGA Strategy Show with Jason Rouslin and Ben Rasa at 1 p.m. ET where they will be breaking down the best PGA DFS picks for DraftKings and FanDuel.

The British Open Recap

Before getting into the PGA One and Done picks this week, let’s recap last week’s stop at The British Open Championship.

Collin Morikawa

The narrative coming in was Morikawa has not played any links golf and looked lost last week at the Scottish Open. That theme was short lived, as he paired his world-class iron play with an insanely hot putter than landed him first in strokes gained putting for the week. Also, since the wind never materialized, he was able to take control and close the deal without much drama. Morikawa was not popular in One and Done pools, so most likely nobody got that $2 million boost.

Jordan Spieth

It is no surprise that Spieth was a popular DFS and One and Done play for those who had him available. He came in with fantastic 2021 form, and he has a proven track record at links and Open Championship courses. The result was a runner-up finish, which meant a $1.2 million payday. Since Morikawa was not popular, this almost feels like hitting an outright winner with Spieth.

Tyrrell Hatton

It was another major and another disappointment for Hatton. His major resume has not correlated to his overall talent, and this was another opportunity to change that. Hatton was visibly frustrated throughout the tournament and found himself outside the cutline after 36 holes. Add in that majors provide even more opportunities for monster paydays, and Hatton was a landmine. Long term it is going to be interesting to see Hatton’s results in majors, as he has missed five of his last seven major cuts.

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3M Open PGA One and Done Picks This Week

Tony Finau

The majority of people do not have Finau available, but he certainly has to be considered by anyone that does. It has been an up-and-down 2021 campaign, but here at the 3M Open he is among the favorites. Most of the top-tier talent did not want to fly back immediately from England, so Finau is second in the Awesemo premium projection rankings in this field. That has to put him in the conversation, and ownership will not be massive due to most people already using him. Coming off a respectable 15th at The British Open, Finau is worth targeting in all formats.

Sergio Garcia

It has been a pretty uneventful 2021 season for Garcia. This late in the season the options are so limited that golfers with some red flags have to be considered. Garcia is among the best players in this field, and lately his form seems to be coming around. Last week at the British Open he found the weekend with a 19th-place finish and now has four straight made cuts.

Coming to a course like this, Garcia should lean on the driving to give him plenty of opportunities to attack. His putter is a liability, and that prevents upside in a lot of situations, but as Morikawa showed last week, anyone can get hot for a few rounds on the greens. With the ball striking and tee-to-green game in form, Garcia is a relatively comfortable play.

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Kyle Stanley

If looking for a complete punt, then Stanley may be in the mix this week. He is available to most and has made seven straight cuts, so he is cashing checks. However, his putter is broken, and that kills his upside. Stanley has gained strokes putting just once over those seven events, and last time out at John Deere he lost seven strokes on the greens.

Like Garcia, that putting form is manageable since it is a high-variance situation and always live to flip randomly. Stanley will not lead the field in strokes gained putting, but allowing his ball striking to carry him to a top-end finish is in the range of outcomes. In Awesemo premium PGA DFS ownership projections Stanley is around 10% owned this week.

3M Open One and Done Pick: Sergio Garcia

A complete punt like Stanley is not wholly necessary, and most of the elites were unavailable due to using them in past events. This left guys like Rickie Fowler and Garcia, who have the long-term talent but come in with average-at-best 2021 seasons. Garcia still is driving the ball beautifully each week, and if he can avoid all the water, he should have chances to make birdies on this layout. His putter can hold him back, but it also has shown the ability to flip and provide some real upside. This week it makes sense to roll the dice in One and Done to make up some ground on the leaders.

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*Ben Rasa (aka Jazzraz)* has been involved with sports and numbers for quite some time dabbling in the poker world , sports wagering and of course finding a home in the DFS world. While he enjoys playing NFL, NCAAF and NBA he has found his best advantage on the links with PGA and the Euro Tour. Jazzraz focuses on GPPs and uses a analytical approach to try and find pricing inefficiencies as well as trying to go against the grain to find those under owned lesser know players that can make the difference in giant field tournaments. You can contact Ben by emailing [email protected].

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