⛳ PGA One and Done Picks: Top Golfers for The WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play | Jordan Spieth

The Masters is fast approaching, but there are still a few more weeks of golf before Augusta. The PGA Tour departs from the Florida swing and heads to Texas for The WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play from Austin Country Club. This is probably the most unique event on tour, as it uses March Madness style with a 64-man bracket. On the DFS side of things, there is a ton of strategy, so make sure to check out all our content. But since this is a WGC event, everyone gets a paycheck for One and Done. There is $1.8 million going to the winner, while the last-place finisher takes home $35,000 for their effort. This is another opportunity for us to bank a lot of cash, so let’s dive into the Honda Recap and the PGA One and Done picks for this week’s WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play.

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What is a One and Done pool?

A One and Done pool has some similarities with NFL survivor pools except that you cannot be eliminated early for making a poor pick. Each week you have to select one golfer, and their prize money earned that week become your points. You cannot use the same player twice, just like an NFL survivor contest, so strategy and knowing when to save a top-tier player can make the difference. At the end of the season the team with the most cumulative earning is in line for a big payoff. Your pool will pay several spots depending on its size, similar to a GPP structure that we all know from PGA DFS.

The Honda Classic One and Done Recap

Sungjae Im

Im was the tournament favorite after Daniel Berger withdrew, and those who had him available were eager to target him. He was the defending champ and had the game to compete with Honda’s difficult course conditions. His week was pretty uneventful, but Im still managed to climb up the board to a respectable eighth-place finish and $190,000 payoff. It wasn’t a perfect week, but considering the difficulty of navigating the weak field, the six-figure payout did not hurt you much in the standings.

Joaquin Niemann

Niemann was also towards the top of the betting board before the tournament got underway. He has not missed a cut all year and continued that streak, finishing 25th for a $54,000 payout. That was not an ideal showing, but with a leaderboard full of low-owned players, you probably didn’t lose a ton of ground, even with this sub-par effort.

Russell Henley

This was the guy you probably wanted to get to, as Henley made sense before the tournament started and was able to navigate PGA National en route to a third-place finish and a $320,000 payout. The winner, Matt Jones, was the ideal target, but that was a tough guy to land on in a One and Done format. Henley’s ball striking and streaky putting are appealing at shorter, water-filled courses, and he paid off for anyone that took the shot with him last week.


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WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play One and Done Picks

Viktor Hovland

The first thing we need to do is take a look at the tournament groupings, as the golfers need to win their group in order to get any significant earnings in this format. Hovland is in Group 13 with Kevin Streelman, Abraham Ancer and Bernd Wiesberger, which is a solid draw considering the strength of the WGC field. Hovland should be built for the match-play format, as he is an aggressive player who can really score and the punishment for blow-up holes is negated. He has dominated tee to green all season, and even at more technical layouts he is able to lean on the ball striking to be effective. In a field like this, there are loads of options considering the talent pool, so ownership will probably make him an under-the-radar pick.

Jordan Spieth

After a lot of wishful thinking from fans, this time it feels safe to say Spieth has found his form again. That doesn’t mean he is about to win majors on majors, but it does mean he is firmly in play in the best fields and top events on tour. His tee-to-green game has been the catalyst, as Spieth has gained in all six events in 2021. Putting is always his weapon, and when he pairs it up with quality tee-to-green play, it’s a dangerous combo.

As a native Texan, Spieth has plenty of experience at this course, in this state and in this format from various Presidents and Ryder Cup teams. His group consists of Matthew Fitzpatrick, Matthew Wolff and Corey Conners, which is a tough but fair draw. It is a wide-open group with a lot of different types of games, and I think Spieth is live to come out on top. He has a lot of similarities to Kevin Kisner when he has the irons and putter working together, and Kisner showed how dangerous that can be in 2019 when he won this event.

Dustin Johnson

This one is more a game-theory play, as I believe most people have a tournament specifically reserved for the No. 1 player in the world in One and Done. It is hard for me to imagine that anyone will use WGC match play where anything can happen and it’s a different format than stroke play. For this simple reason, if you are behind, I think you could leverage with Johnson, and that is always appealing given how hard it is to do that with a player of this caliber. He is the No. 1 seed in the entire bracket and has an easy pod with Kevin Na, Adam Long and Robert McIntyre. There are much safer spots to roster Johnson during the year, but for that reason it is an interesting, against-the-grain play.

My PGA One and Done Pick: Jordan Spieth

Coming into the season I didn’t expect Spieth to be a name I would use at all in One and Done, never mind at a WGC. It just shows how fast these guys can suddenly turn that corner, even if they have been struggling for extended periods of time. Spieth has the recent form that we are looking for and certainly the motivation, as he still is looking to solidify this return to strong-field events. His group has talent, but none of the names make me overly concerned. The entire landscape of One and Done changes with match play, but that is something we need to embrace this week.


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Author
*Ben Rasa (aka Jazzraz)* has been involved with sports and numbers for quite some time dabbling in the poker world , sports wagering and of course finding a home in the DFS world. While he enjoys playing NFL, NCAAF and NBA he has found his best advantage on the links with PGA and the Euro Tour. Jazzraz focuses on GPPs and uses a analytical approach to try and find pricing inefficiencies as well as trying to go against the grain to find those under owned lesser know players that can make the difference in giant field tournaments. You can contact Ben by emailing [email protected].

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