After a prolonged stretch on the West Coast, the PGA Tour packs its bags and heads to Florida for a string of high-quality events. We get things started this week at the WGC Workday Championship, which features a smaller field and everyone cashing a check. For PGA One and Done picks, this is a massive money-making opportunity, and finding the winner’s circle here is going to catapult you up the One and Done leaderboard quickly. This is also a new course, as we usually head to Mexico for this WGC, but the tour this year found a new venue for the 72-man field. Last week, Max Homa took down the Genesis Invitational and a massive $1.6 million payday, while Tony Finau also crossed the seven-figure mark with his runner-up finish.
What is a One and Done pool?
A One and Done pool has some similarities with NFL survivor pools, except you cannot be eliminated early for making a poor pick. Each week you have to select one golfer, and their prize money earned that week become your points. You cannot use the same player twice, just like an NFL survivor contest, so strategy and knowing when to save a top-tier player can make the difference. At the end of the season, the team with the most cumulative earning is in line for a big payoff. Your pool will pay several spots, depending on its size, similar to a GPP structure that we all know from PGA DFS.
Genesis Invitational Recap
Johnson came into Genesis playing the best golf in the world, and it was no surprise to see him as the betting favorite last week. The real question was whether or not to burn him or wait until a major or WGC where the stakes are higher. Although Johnson outperformed most other big names in the field, he stumbled on Sunday to an uneventful eighth-place finish. The $262,000 payout isn’t going to kill you, but losing him and not cashing on a big payday wasn’t what you were looking for last week.
The defending champ was a potential target, as Scott loves Riviera and burning him isn’t a big opportunity cost. Scott finished 38th, but more frustrating was that he wasted a great putting performance — a killer from a guy who usually struggles on the green. He gained 4.1 strokes putting but atypically was terrible on approach, which was the cause of the average result. The $40,000 is better than a missed cut, but it was another pretty disappointing choice if you went there.
This was the guy you wanted. Finau pulled in a massive payday despite managing to lose in a playoff. It was another instance of Finau not winning, but you can’t deny how well he played on Sunday by shooting a 64 to force a playoff. The $1 million cash is even bigger considering not many people at all went to the winner in Max Homa, so this was the guy to vault you up the standings in your One and Done pools.
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WGC Workday PGA One and Done Picks
Since this is a new course, we have no history to rely on, but DeChambeau seemed to like the venue during the 2015 NCAA Championships, which he won. That narrative will probably be overblown this week, but regardless, the upside is always there for the style that DeChambeau plays. His showing at the Genesis was somewhat concerning, with a missed cut due to poor play pretty much across the board. He even lost strokes off the tee, which is extremely rare. But all in all, I don’t worry too much about that state of his game. If you want to buy low on a guy with nuclear upside in a spot with four guaranteed rounds, this is possibly the week to deploy the scientist.
I think if you asked golf fans who is the fifth-ranked player in the world, not many of them would respond with Tyrrell Hatton. He quietly has surged up into the top tier of golfers and is a serious threat to win anytime he tees it up. We haven’t seen much of him in 2021, but he was in the Middle East and his game looks to be in solid shape. Hatton won in Abu Dhabi and finished sixth in his last start in Saudi Arabia. He’s in good form heading into a WGC on a course that I believe fits his eye.
Hatton won at Bay Hill last year, so it’s an easy sell on why these conditions could favor him. In addition, he doesn’t play nearly as much on tour, so outside of majors and WGCs, there aren’t a ton of spots to use him. That makes this week a great spot to target a guy who clearly is underrated and is playing some of the best golf in the world.
It’s a very small sample size since Hovland is so young, but so far it doesn’t seem like he loves the Florida swing. Last year, Hovland missed the cut at Honda and was 42nd at the Arnold Palmer, but I am not remotely concerned with just a few starts at these tracks. Hovland comes in playing fantastically, having gained 7.4 strokes tee to green last week at Riviera. His ball striking is going to translate across all different types of courses, and he actually is finding a groove with the putter. The change to Bermuda could disrupt that, but this is another guy who has mega upside, even in a WGC field.
My WGC Workday Championship PGA One and Done Pick: Tyrrell Hatton
I don’t mind using DeChambeau here, but I think ownership will be inflated because of his showing in college over five years ago. Hatton, who hasn’t been playing on the PGA Tour lately, is not on people’s minds, and he has shown he loves these type of courses. Bunkers and water will not bother him, and his ability to get dangerously hot on Bermuda greens helps his upside. With four guaranteed rounds and some big money up for grabs, I love the idea of grabbing a guy who I wasn’t planning on using in the majors but still has serious top-end equity.
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