PGA DFS Picks for DraftKings & FanDuel

Following the win by Justin Thomas at TPC Sawgrass, the PGA Tour travels South down to the Florida coast at PGA National (par 70, 7,125 yards) in Palm Beach Gardens for the 2021 Honda Classic. PGA DFS has a full slate of high-end GPP plays available for this tournament. Below are some of my favorite PGA DFS picks for both DraftKings and FanDuel.

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PGA Optimizer Fantasy Golf Picks: Honda Classic

Simply put, PGA National is a grueling test of golf. The wind is always a factor, and water is in play at 15 of 18 holes. Avoiding big numbers on the scorecard is pivotal to success, as this par 70 is designed for elite ball strikers. We must prioritize top-tier par-4 players this week. The greens at this venue are Bermuda grass, and there will be the usual top 65/ties cutline after the second round.

Lee Westwood

Awesemo PGA DFS Leverage Scores: DraftKings: 1.6%, FanDuel: 5.5%

Westwood has been magnificent but is still only expected to a carry a modest 10.8% GPP ownership on DraftKings this week. This creates an excellent opportunity to gain leverage with one of the favorites to win this event. Coming off back-to-back runner-up finishes, Westwood sports the fifth-best odds to win this Sunday at the Honda Classic, based on Awesemo’s simulations. Westwood is currently playing some of the best golf of his life, and he checks every box for PGA National in this form. Over his last 12 rounds, he ranks sixth in strokes gained tee to green, sixth in strokes gained on approach, fifth in greens in regulation, 35th in bogeys avoided and first in strokes gained on par 4’s.

As we have seen the last two weeks that Westwood loves playing in the sunshine state, and his record at PGA National certainly solidifies that point. His course resume reads a perfect 8-for-8 record at the demanding par 70, with three top-10s, including a fourth just a year ago. I was shocked to see Westwood projected for so little ownership, but I’m not going to complain and will be aggressively taking advantage of the situation in GPPs.

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Doug Ghim

Awesemo PGA DFS Leverage Scores: DraftKings: 3.5%, FanDuel: 0.8%

After a strong performance in his Players debut last week (29th), Ghim is projected for low ownership levels on both DraftKings and FanDuel. His salary on both sites has reached a new career high, and Ghim did miss the cut in his first start at PGA National last season. Still, Ghim is a promising talent that could easily shine in this weak field, and the low popularity just makes him an even better DFS play.

Advancing to the weekend at TPC Sawgrass last week marked Ghim’s 11th made cut in his past 15 starts and his eighth top-30 during this time. His ball striking was outstanding last week, and Ghim now ranks eighth in strokes gained tee to green, 13th in strokes gained on approach, 15th in greens in regulation and 17th in bogeys avoided across his last 12 rounds. He has moved up 228 spots in the world golf rankings since his first attempt at the Honda Classic, and I am expecting Ghim to post at least a top-30 this time around.

Jim Furyk

Awesemo PGA DFS Leverage Scores: DraftKings: 0.7%, FanDuel: 2.2%

No one has really noticed, but Furyk has been playing some very solid golf as of late. He has made four consecutive cuts at the PGA level, with no finishes worse than 47th. During this run, Furyk has gained strokes tee to green in every start, and over his last 12 rounds he ranks 11th in strokes gained tee to green, 16th in strokes gained on approach, fourth in greens in regulation, second in bogeys avoided and sixth in strokes gained on par fours.

Additionally, when we compare all of these golfer’s last 50 rounds at par 70s with Bermuda greens, no player in this field has gained more total strokes than Furyk. These stats are very encouraging for his outlook at PGA National, where he has made two of his past three cuts, including a ninth-place finish two years ago.

Roger Sloan

Awesemo PGA DFS Leverage Scores: DraftKings: 3.0%, FanDuel: 2.7%

Sloan has been playing on the weekend at three of his past four events, mostly due to some impressive iron play. Over his last 12 rounds, he ranks first in greens in regulation and sixth in ball striking. Sloan has proceeded through the cutline in five of his last six starts on Bermuda grass, and this will be his third crack at PGA National. He failed to make the cut here last season but recorded a solid 30th in 2019.

Given the difficulty of this track and how weak this field is, we are going to see some strange names high on the leaderboard this week, and I love rolling the dice on Sloan in this current form.

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