The Asian Swing has ended and we have the rarest off week for the PGA tour. However that doesn’t mean there is no fantasy golf to be played as the Euro tour still has an event with the Turkish Airlines Open. This isn’t a well-known event, but it still is a regular stop on the Euro tour as their season winds down. The field has some big names in it thanks to there being nowhere else to play this week, so it’s not nearly as bad as things like the Bermuda Open that we saw last week. Continue to keep an eye on when this tournament locks, since we are still not back in America. Let’s dig into some DraftKings and FanDuel picks.
We get a change in venue from the last three years as Montgomerie Maxx Royal is back in business. This coastal track located in Antalya was designed by Colin Montgomerie himself, and was the host of the event from 2013-2015. Keep this in mind if you are looking over past performances, but at least we do have some inclination of what the players will be dealing with this week.
Layout wise this track is a par 72 measure out around 7100 yards. The other aspect that is unique is players will have five Par 5’s to attack so scoring on those is going to be important. Furthermore each Par 5 is under 600 yards so in the right conditions guys will be able to attack these pins. Keep an eye on the weather closer to lock as that will determine exactly how difficult this course may play.
Overall in terms of skill sets not a ton stands out that this course really demands outside the norm. You want to keep it in play like always and if you do you’ll have chances to attack these greens. From what I can gather the real defense besides the weather is that the rough has sometimes been penal and that will demand a little more accuracy off the tee. Like most courses there is a risk reward element to how much you want to pull driver here, but its certainly a strategy some will go to. The way the course is set up relative to par I think is the most unique aspect with the five par 5’s and even a few more gettable par 4’s for the players to deal with.
The three winning scores that we had when this hosted were -22, -17, and -24 so under the right conditions these guys can really go low.
** Don’t forget to check out the daily shows throughout the week where we touch on various topics from Sports Betting, Week in Review, and plenty of PGA tour golf breakdowns. You can find all my shows during the week on the Awesemo.com YouTube homepage. **
Since this is an off week for the PGA tour a few guys decided to make the trip on their way back from China. This does give the event a boost and it actually makes this field one worth breaking down. To get things started we have back to back defending champ in Justin Rose, followed by Patrick Reed, Shane Lowry, and Ty Hatton. After that we still have a ton of Euro names that you will recognize and who have plenty of experience over in the states and in top end tournaments.
The changeover to the Euro tour really starts to be felt as we start to work down to the mid and lower price points. There we will find a lot of Euro only names and that makes them probably lower owned on a macro level. Also again keep in mind this tournament hasn’t been played at this venue in a few years so some of the newer players may not be familiar with this track at all. Still a lot of guys usually have this stop in Turkey on the schedule and I have certainly seen a lot of Euro tour fields that are worse than this.
** If you aren’t yet a member here at Awesemo.com and thinking about giving us a try use the Promo Code “JAZZRAZ” on the Awesemo sign-up page and it will get you will get 50% off your first month of any package.**
Top Priced Golf DFS Picks
Patrick Reed $11.2k DraftKings
Clearly Justin Rose is in play right at the top as he won b2b (different course) and was third here back in 2013 at this track. However Rose is going to be a lightning rod when people see this tournament history and I will look to Patrick Reed, who is playing quality golf.
Reed comes in off a solid 8th place finish at the WGC in China, and stretching back towards the FedEx cup it’s one of the better stretches of golf Reed has shown in some time. He has four straight top 20’s including a 4th and last week 8th so we know the game is in a good spot. This is a tournament where talent wise he is obviously towards the top of the list and I see no issue with why this course would cause him trouble. Reed has plenty of experience playing outside the States, is a timely scrambler which can be useful, and again probably isn’t the top priority for most people up top. I will look to him to start some of my lineups and hope that I can survive without Rose on those teams.
Matthias Schwab $9.6k DraftKings
Schwab was fantastic last week and helped out a lot of people who played the WGC-China DFS contests. He ended up finishing fourth in a field loaded with top talent and it adds to the impressive run he has shown over the last few months. This is a guy I have been on for awhile and despite the price hike I have interest once again.
Schwab isn’t going to wow you with his OTT game, but he is effective enough and can get dialed in with the irons at any time. He is a staple of the Euro tour so he is used to these type of layouts and still isn’t a household name despite the run of form. Putting can and still is an issue at times, but we talk every week how that can change on the fly. Since he is a young player he hasn’t seen this course in competition, but I will piggyback off his showing last week and use him in this upper mid-range once again this week.
Mid-Range Golf DFS Picks
Thomas Pieters $8.9k DraftKings
If you have played Euro golf or honestly a lot of PGA golf then you know by now that Pieters is a Wildman. He is incredibly talented, but he also cannot seem to avoid some blowup holes which limit the quality finishes. The form lately has started to become a bit more consistent and this is a spot he easily can get in the mix. He played this event in 2015 and finished 26th, but that doesn’t tell the whole story.
Looking over Pieters showing last time here we see that he scored plenty, but over the four days he had a double, triple , and quadruple bogey on the card which limited the finish. In addition he had a few bogeys on par 5’s which is understandable, but still shows he left a lot of strokes out there. As I said Pieters struggles sometimes with avoiding the big number, but that type of boom bust is exactly what we want in a wide open field like this. I will look to Pieters and hope he can limit the mistakes because he should take apart all these Par 5 opportunities.
Tom Lewis $8.1k DraftKings
As you can see I’m taking a very aggressive line on some of my midrange plays. Its important to consider lineup construction when looking at guys like Pieters and Lewis as too much aggression rarely works out. Tom Lewis is someone we get to see more of stateside after his out of nowhere win during the Korn Ferry playoffs.
Looking over Lewis’ recent form we see exactly how aggressive he can be. Over his last seven starts Lewis has a Win , a 5th and an 8th place finish. The other four were all MC’s and that speaks to the ridiculous range of outcomes this guy has. The form comes and goes seemingly at random, but when you are talking Top 5 and win equity he has to be discussed. This is a guy you want to use as someone who can outscore their placement and possibly surround with some stability as he brings the upside. Your guess is as good as mine as to which version we see of Tom Lewis, but having some exposure I believe is warranted.
Lower Priced Golf DFS Picks
Andy Sullivan $7.5k DraftKings
Very nice price tag on the Englishmen, who at times would be I think 1k + more expensive in this field. The form has kept that from happening as Sullivan hasn’t had the best stretch of golf to close out 2019. He still comes in off a 23rd and 8th in recent weeks and has found the weekend in five straight Turkish Opens, even if a lot of that came elsewhere.
Though Sullivan isn’t the longest hitter in the world, but this course doesn’t demand length as much as it demands just gaining OTT. He should be a nice change of pace from some of the bombers that you may want to use and with the price decrease he isn’t going to cost you much. If you are looking for a different type of player then Thomas Detry may be for you as the young Belgian is uber talented and the same price tag. I will mix and match both of these guys in the mid 7k range and hope we get the best versions of their game.
Justin Walters $6.5k DraftKings
The South African hasn’t had the best 2019, but a string of form lately has me interested. The price is in the basement and Walters is a guy who when on possesses loads of talent to compete in Europe. Looking over his game we see that he struggles with accuracy off the tee, and that could be an issue at this course.
What caught my eye though is that Walters seems to have decided to sacrifice some distance for increased accuracy OTT and the recent form shows it may be working. In 2019 he has his best Driving Accuracy numbers dating back to 2013 and if that continues it will pay dividends. He still hits it plenty far, but he has taken a step back from the 17th ranked DD that we saw last season. The next step for Walters is translating more fairways into more GIR so he can give himself more chances to hole some putts. Im not saying this guy is magically about to turn a corner, but with five straight made cuts including a runner up in Portugal he is a solid last man in.
If you have any questions find me in the Awesemo.com premium slack chat or @JazzrazDFS on twitter.