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DraftKings

The Approach — WGC-HSBC Champions

Nolan Kelly

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PGA DFS ownership rankings for FanDuel and DraftKings are the most accurate in the industry for daily fantasy basketball players

 

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The Course

We finish off the Asian Swing this week with a WGC event in Shanghai at Sheshan International golf course. Shehan is a 7264 yard par-72 with a narrow fairways, guarded by thick rough and a boatload of water hazards.

With three reachable par-fives and a driveable par-four on the sixteenth, this course gets the reputation as a bombers track, but we’ve also seen some shorter hitters succeed here – Matthew Fitzpatrick, Brian Harman, and Kyle Stanley all finished in the top-ten last year.

If the bombers narrative affects ownership, I’ll make some accuracy/ball-striking lineups to gain an edge on the field.

Remember to get those lineups in – the tournament starts at 9 o’clock EST tonight.

GPP strategy

As is always the case with these small-field, no cut events, chase those birdie makers. For FanDuel, you’re almost always better off fading the insane chalk at the top, but with so many big names this week, there might not be that obvious 40%+ owned player. We’ll have a better idea once Awesemo’s grades come out this afternoon.

Again, we’ve got no shot-tracker, so very little data to go on this week. That’ll mean using weighted round scores, Vegas bargain ratings and ownership, to your advantage.

Fortunately, we’re back to golf normalcy next week, with The Shriners Open in Las Vegas.

FanDuel

Got some bad news for you FanDuelers out there. This isn’t a great week for Awesemo value grades. Not a single player in the field has a value better than a “C” grade. With no obvious values out there, you’re probably better off focusing on ownership, taking lesser-owned players with similar grades and values, as opposed to simply locking a player in because of how high their value is.

DraftKings

The pricing is much softer on DraftKings this week, with a number of players in the high 6000s and low 7000s receiving strong value grades. That implies a more feasible stars and scrubs approach to lineup construction. We’re still not seeing a lot of crossover between value and grade though – only one player has a “B” or higher in both categories.

 
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Basically, we’re dealing with very different pricing structures this week, so take that into account when you’re building lineups on either site.

The plays

Matt Wallace: DraftKings: $6700, Grade: C, Value: A; FanDuel: Grade: C, Value: D

The 28-year-old Englishman has two wins in the last two months on the Euro tour at the BMW Int (three of every four events are sponsored by BMW on the Euro tour) and the Made in Denmark. In between those wins, he had three missed cuts and a 50th place finish. Basically, this is a boom or bust GPP play. If he’s hitting fairways, he can contend with the best of them. He has the highest Vegas bargain rating on DraftKings and the second highest on FanDuel.

The stats:

  • 32 in Birdies per round (euro)
  • 8th in Eagles per round (euro)
  • 153 in driving accuracy (euro)

Thorbjorn Olesen: DraftKings Grade: C, Value: C; FanDuel: Grade: C, Value: C

I challenge you to find one golf writeup that doesn’t call him Thunderbear. And with good reason – it’s far and away the best nickname in golf, maybe even in all of sports. Olesen has quietly put together a fantastic run of form of late, with a win, and six top-20s in his last seven events on the Euro tour, and he’s got two top-20s at this course. Olesen is a better play on FanDuel, where he his is the top priced golfer with a minimum ‘C’ grade. He ranks first in my model, which back-tests metrics that have correlated with success at Sheshan.

The stats

  • 5th in recent bogey avoidance
  • 6th in recent BoB, 15th in LT BoB
  • 6th in recent scrambling
  • First in ST SG:P bentgrass
  • Second in LT SG:P bentgrass
  • 6th in recent GIR

Check back in a little later this afternoon for some ownership numbers, some chalky fades and some low-owned GPP fliers.

As, always, thanks for reading!

I've been obsessed with fantasy sports since as long as I can remember. Back in 1993, while seated in the last row of Mr. MacMillan's math class, I'm fairly certain a few buddies of mine and I invented daily fantasy sports -- popping down our fivers and using nothing more than a newspaper box score, we'd make our NHL player picks for the night's action. Twenty years later I started out playing DFS on DraftStreet, when three-max tourneys with 490 people were a big deal, and I've been hooked ever since. More than anything, I'm interested in using my technical writing skills to articulate and clarify our content in order to help you become a better fantasy sports players player. Armed with Awesemo's grades and the projections from our experts, we're here to help you take the next step. You can contact me by emailing [email protected].

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