All of my PGA DFS picks and content is geared toward providing information that will help you with all your DraftKings and FanDuel daily fantasy golf and wagering decisions in the best way possible. This is the last of the week-long written material for The Palmetto Championship, and now it’s FREE!
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I am primarily a GPP PGA DFS player and enjoy making up to 450 different lineups. As such, these allocations are likely not exact, but they are targets for the mass-entry GPPs. If this is your first time reading it, let’s go over what you can find in it.
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- Last week recap
- TV schedule and weather update
- My entire player pool
- Notes on the chalkiest players
The following sections define who will play and what recommended allocation you should play them at:
- Core: We will start with these golfers in every lineup. At least two from my core will be in every one of the lineups.
- PFs: We all have our guys, and these are mine. They will be in the player pool at a minimum of 20%.
- Chalk Zone: These golfers are expected to be the most popular golfers of the week. They are supposed to be widely owned, and so, in a massive GPP, a winning lineup likely won’t have more than one of the guys listed in this area.
- Alternates: On the PGA Tour, alternates are lucky to get in the field each week. However, it happens all the time due to injuries. In this section, we’ll identify a few lineup alternates that can help fill a lineup and still provide some decent upside.
- Recommended Allocation: The percentage of time said golfer should be in your lineups, or at least what we are advocating.
- Projected Ownership: The percentage that the field will have said golfer in their lineups.
- Variance: The difference between Recommended Allocation and Projected Ownership. A favorable variance gives you leverage.
Last Week’s Recap
It was a really tough blow, as my best team had Jon Rahm on it, but overall it was a profitable week, sneaking into the cash in both big dollars and having a rather successful GPP week.
PGA DFS Picks: The Palmetto Championship
With most golfers preparing for next week, only one of the favorites is teeing it up this week, and he’s not even a core favorite: Brian Stuard.
Picks for DraftKings & FanDuel
- Total expected player pool: 53
- Expected number of lineups created: 300
Dustin Johnson ($11,400 DraftKings/$12,300 FanDuel)
Johnson’s worst stretch of golf over the last two years still hasn’t affected his standing as the No. 1 golfer in the world. However, his second straight missed cut at a major, the first time that’s ever happened to a golfer ranked No. 1 in the world, has the fact that he missed on the number a tad bit overshadowed. His putter and driver looked good over the two days, but he could not figure out the wind with his irons. That should change here this week in his native South Carolina, and he will look to get back on track a week before trying to win his third major title and second U.S. Open.
Tyrrell Hatton ($10,200 DraftKings/$11,800 FanDuel)
Hatton started the year scorching hot with a win out on Abu Dhabi and four straight top-25s after that, but he missed the cut at The Players. Since March, he has only competed only three times, making the cut in all three. The lack of play raises some eyebrows a bit given that he’s eligible to play in any event. But he will be well rested and is coming to a course that no one knows that should play like a European Tour course. That could be a perfect fit for Hatton to earn his first top-10 in over three months.
Ian Poulter ($9,200/$10,600)
Quietly, Poulter is putting together one of those stretches that put him on the first or second page of the leaderboard at one point every week. Even at the PGA Championship, Poulter had it going on Friday, getting to 6 under for the round at one point. A couple of poor mistakes coming in cost him one of the best rounds of the tournament, but he has still managed to play solid golf, only missing one cut since The Masters. Over that span, he has also finished in the top 30 in four of six events, with a top-five coming last time out at the Charles Schwab. This pick is betting that wasn’t the pinnacle of this form and that another top-five will come this week at the Palmetto Championship.
Lucas Glover ($9,700 DraftKings /$11,200 FanDuel)
In fields like this, lineups need to include at least a few golfers who are likely to play all four rounds. With that being said, it’s golf, sop anything can happen, but Glover would be on the shortlist of golfers expected to play all four rounds. Since the Puerto Rico Open, he has made 9 of 10 cuts, only missing out on the weekend at the Wells Fargo. He is also one of the event’s ambassadors and has made it clear he has played the course a fair share of times. It has been some time since he has been in the winner’s circle, but he just needs a solid top-20 for a healthy return at these price levels.
Luke List ($7,900 DraftKings/$10,800 FanDuel)
With someone so bad with the flat stick, results will always be variable. If List’s ball striking is not elite, he will struggle to make the cut, like he did last week at The Memorial. But it wasn’t too long ago he put that ball striking to good use, coming in a tie for sixth at the Wells Fargo. That course is a bit more like this week’s than List saw at The Memorial. Add in that he holds — or held — the course record at Congaree, and it should be another good setup for List here this week.
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J.T. Poston ($7,600 DraftKings/$8,800 FanDuel)
Another local golfer, Poston was the first to support the tournament moving to this venue back at the end of March. Since then, it hasn’t been an easy go of it, as he has missed four cuts while only making three since the beginning of April. Coming home to a course he clearly likes and enjoys, riding the high off of qualifying for the U.S. Open and a weak field, all should add up to a solid showing for Poston this week. His FanDuel price is also very appealing.
Erik van Rooyen ($7,500 DraftKings/$8,900 FanDuel)
Van Rooyen is known to ruin a few lineups before Friday afternoon even hits, but that shouldn’t be the only thought about him this week. He’s coming off his best rounds of golf a few days ago to get himself into the U.S. Open next week, but given that he hasn’t seen the weekend or a paycheck in the last four weeks, van Rooyen needs to turn his season around here, and fast, if he wants to keep playing on the PGA Tour.
Both Poston and van Rooyen ranked inside the top five projected points for golfers under $8,000 this week. Click here to view the full field.
Seamus Power ($7,500 DraftKings/$8,700 FanDuel)
While van Rooyen just found form at the U.S. Open qualifier, Power has two top-10s in his last couple of starts and played fairly well at his own qualifier, coming a few shots short. He doesn’t get a ton of starts, but when he does he’s been earning a paycheck and has shown upside with those pair of top-10s in his last four starts.
One of the two will be in the biggest lineup, with the other relegated to the smaller buy-in.
Golfers Below $7,500 in a Big Dollar Lineup
- Nick Taylor — The difference between him and Tom Lewis is consistency, not upside. Taylor worked as a safety factor in bigger-dollar builds and Lewis went in the GPP settings. Taylor also has the highest projected point total of any golfer under $8,000 salary, with 65.6 projected points.
- John Pak — Pak is hard to pass up for his first few starts, especially given that since the U.S. Open at Winged Foot, where he made the cut and came in 51st, he hasn’t finished worse than 12th. He also has come in the top 10 in nine of 10 collegiate events and competed in the Walker Cup and NCAA Team Event. That is reminiscent of another star collegiate player who turned pro two years ago at this exact tournament (The RBC Canadian Open), Collin Morikawa. Staying along the Morikawa path, Pak stayed in college all four years despite setting a school scoring record as a sophomore at 69.59. Polished and more mature than the early departures, Pak should find success quickly on the PGA Tour.
- Hudson Swafford — The gamble of the week, Swafford has at least made each of the last two cuts these past two weeks. Plus, he has played the course much more than others in the field, and given that anyone priced at $6,500 or below is playing very poorly, this seems like an easy roster for those who need to dip down this low after jamming in three studs.
Chalk Zone (Golfers Projected for At Least 10% Ownership)
- Brooks Koepka (E to O)
- Matthew Fitzpatrick (U)
- Harish English (E)
- Sungjae Im (E to O)
- Tommy Fleetwood (E)
- Patton Kizzire (U)
- Alex Noren (E to U)
- Harold Varner (E)
- Brandt Snedeker (E)
- Jhonattan Vegas (E to U)
- Vincent Whaley (E to U)
- Andrew Putnam (E to U)
Fringe PGA DFS Picks (10-15% of Lineups)
- Keith Mitchell
- Kevin Kisner
- Doc Redman
- Ben Martin
- Rafael Cabrera Bello
- Tom Lewis
- Davis Thompson
- Chez Reavie
- Tyler McCumber
Alternates (5-10% of Lineups)
- Garrick Higgo
- Russell Knox
- Scott Stallings
- Pat Perez
- Matthew NeSmith
- David Lipsky
- Wilco Nienaber
- Bronson Burgoon
- Patrick Rodgers
- Will Gordon
Holes in One (1-5% of Lineups)
- Martin Laird
- Bo Hoag
- Kevin Tway
- Sam Ryder
- Chase Seiffert
- Bryson Nimmer
- Lucas Bjerregaard
- Kristoffer Ventura
- John Huh
- J.J. Spaun
Be sure to tune in for PGA DFS Live Before Lock, which airs at 2 p.m. ET!
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