The Winning Element: PGA DFS Picks & Ownership Rankings This Week for Travelers Championship | Paul Casey

All of my PGA DFS picks this week and content is geared toward providing information that will help you with all your DraftKings and FanDuel daily fantasy golf and PGA odds and betting decisions in the best way possible. With the help of the Awesemo expert DFS golf projections, this is the last of the week-long written PGA picks material for The Travelers Championship, and as always, it’s FREE!

***Get a SNEAK PEEK with our free premium data, tools, and content of the day, the Awesemo Premium PGA Pro Plays.***

I am primarily a GPP PGA DFS player and enjoy making up to 450 different lineups. As such, these allocations are likely not exact, but they are targets for the mass-entry GPPs. If this is your first time reading it, let’s go over what you can find in it.

Two months of Awesemo+ Platinum FREE
when you make your first deposit and play on Monkey Knife Fight

PLAY NOW

Article Index

• Key/Legend
• Last week recap
• TV schedule and weather update
• My entire player pool
• Notes on the chalkiest players

Key/Legend

The following sections define who will play and what recommended allocation you should play them at:

• Core: We will start with these golfers in every lineup. At least two from my core will be in every one of the lineups.
• PFs: We all have our guys, and these are mine. They will be in the player pool at a minimum of 20%.
• Chalk Zone: These golfers are expected to be the most popular golfers of the week. They are supposed to be widely owned, and so, in a massive GPP, a winning lineup likely won’t have more than one of the guys listed in this area.
• Alternates: On the PGA Tour, alternates are lucky to get in the field each week. However, it happens all the time due to injuries. In this section, we’ll identify a few lineup alternates that can help fill a lineup and still provide some decent upside.
• Recommended Allocation: The percentage of time said golfer should be in your lineups, or at least what we are advocating.
• Projected Ownership: The percentage that the field will have said golfer in their lineups.
• Variance: The difference between Recommended Allocation and Projected Ownership. A favorable variance gives you leverage.

Last Week’s Recap

Typically the largest-investment golfer is the cover boy in the article. Three in weeks in a row, I have landed on the winner or runner-up and have yet to hit big. This week I had the lineup but deemed it too aggressive for my one bigger-dollar lineup on FanDuel and switched to a more conservative stack with Max Homa and Jason Kokrak. That decision will plague me for a while.

Be sure to tune in for PGA DFS Live Before Lock for all of the up-to-date fantasy golf news and best PGA DFS picks this week, which airs at 4 p.m. ET!

PGA DFS Picks This Week | Travelers Championship

The Weather

Thursday looks like an ideal summer day in New England, with no wind and temperatures not quite touching 80 degrees. Friday, though, the players in the morning will tee off with a gusty wind, getting up to 20 mph before settling down a touch in the afternoon. No rain is in the forecast.

The Favorites

Only Patrick Cantlay is playing this week, and he is playing rather well. But with how good the field is and how much variance there is in the game, it is tough to expect a win. At his price of $10,400, it is not worth being that overweight this week, though maybe slightly above the field.

Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel

• Total expected player pool: 53
• Expected number of lineups created: 300

Dustin Johnson ($11,400 DraftKings/$12,100 FanDuel)

The hope is to get a solid week from the two highest-priced golfers on the slate (something inside the top 10), a top-five from Paul Casey and a win from someone down in the low-$7,000 range. That section is loaded with golfers who are playing well and should be a good fit here. The thinking may be a bit backward, but it is better to get the consistency of the top end and play the variance down below.

Bryson DeChambeau ($11,100/$12,400)

It is a bit of a flip-flop in terms of pricing between the two main sites, but the only thing that will get in DeChambeau’s way would be the hangover, if any, from the back nine on Sunday at Torrey Pines. If there is, then maybe he will stumble in Round 1, shoot 1 or 2 under and then find it Thursday night while sleeping. He is a peg higher in terms of variability to Johnson, so that will certainly give the lean to Johnson.

Crush your PGA DFS contests with tools and data from the #1 DFS Player

Sign Up!

Paul Casey ($9,900/$11,600)

This run of great form from Casey either will end in a win or a missed cut. If it does not, he needs to be somewhere inside the top 10 for a solid ROI. Enough can’t be said about how consistent he has been all year and every time he has teed it up at the Travelers Championship. Casey will have the highest ownership on the slate — currently at 24.7% in the Awesemo PGA DFS ownership projections — so hedge appropriately.

Abraham Ancer ($9,100/$11,200) 

There is no other golfer that can consistently gain more than four strokes on his approaches in two rounds and miss cuts; it has happened to Ancer a couple times now this year. Last week he gained six strokes in two rounds — something Louis Oosthuizen couldn’t even do in four rounds — but he lost big time everywhere else. The nice thing about this week, though, is that he won’t be losing strokes off the tee. The course is much shorter, but because Ancer is naturally shorter than everyone else, it doesn’t impact his club choices as much. Now he just needs a decent short game; he should be right there come Sunday for a bounce back.

Aaron Wise ($7,400/$9,00) 

When he is playing well, it doesn’t really matter what course Wise is on. His one win came at an event where the winning score was close to 30 under, but he has had other great finishes at majors and most recently at the Wells Fargo, a very tough event played at Quail Hollow. Another big finish came at OHL Mayakoba, which seems to be a nice comp course for TPC River Highlands. While one is on the Gulf of Mexico and the other in New England, how they play are pretty similar even if they are not similar aesthetically.

• RBC Heritage Preview: Course Breakdown, PGA DFS Model Plays & Much More
• 2024 RBC Heritage DFS Core Plays: Finding Course Fits for Harbour Town, Including Xander Schauffele
• RBC Heritage First Round Leader Picks, Bets & More (2024)
• PGA DFS Picks: Top Values for the RBC Heritage (2024)
• DraftKings Golf Cheat Sheet: Best PGA DFS Sims Picks for the RBC Heritage | Scottie Scheffler
• Stokastic DFS on Youtube

Guido Migliozzi ($7,200/$8,700)

Not every European Tour golfer will come over here and have instant success like Garrick Higgo. For every Higgo, there is a Lucas Bjerregaard, who may have a flash in the pan, but continued success is hard to find. Even for Erik van Rooyen, things haven’t been going superbly this season. In his first full season on the PGA Tour, he ranks 126th. That is outside of the playoffs and wouldn’t qualify him for full-time status next year.

With all of that being said, Migliozzi has all the tools needed to compete on the PGA Tour, including some of the best ball-striking stats on the European Tour, and he’s only 24. With more starts comes more exposure, and more exposure typically leads to bigger endorsements and more access, among many other things. The other great thing is he is only $7,200, as opposed to the $9,000 Higgo was a few weeks ago.

Chez Reavie ($7,000/$8,200)

Ride Reavie until there’s another missed cut. He is a PGA Tour winner with a top-30 iron game , and when he gets confidence with his short game and has a good course fit, results follow. The price is cheap and fits the mold for this week.

Gambles below $7000 this week

Will Gordon ($6,900/$7,300)

This is really more of a FanDuel play than DraftKings, as a Gordon stack with Austin Eckroat, John Pak or Davis Thompson provides the ability to get four studs. The same type of build would have shipped the $555 last week, and that is the same stand to make this week. This might be a bit of a course history lean here, but given that he had his best finish in months at Congaree two weeks ago — a course that is similar to this week — Gordon’s form should continue and at least get him to the weekend. Once that happens, he can score.

Chalk Zone (Golfers Projected for At Least 10% Ownership)

1. Brooks Koepka (E to U)
2. Patrick Reed (E to U)
3. Scottie Scheffler (E)
4. Kevin Streelman(E)
5. Tony Finau (U)
6. Joaquin Niemann (E)
7. Brian Harman (E to slightly U)
8. Charley Hoffman (E to U)
9. Russell Henley (E)
10. Harris English (E)
11. Keegan Bradley (E to slightly U)
12. Garrick Higgo (E)
13. Sam Burns (E)
14. Jason Day (U)
15. Emiliano Grillo (E to O)
16. Carlos Ortiz (E to U)

Fringe PGA DFS Picks (12-17% of Lineups)

1. Bubba Watson
2. Adam Scott
3. Francesco Molinari
4. Doc Redman
5. Ian Poulter
6. Lanto Griffin
7. Talor Gooch
8. David Lipsky

Alternates (6-11% of Lineups)

1. Matthew Wolff
2. Cameron Smith
3. Si Woo Kim
4. Max Homa
5. Chris Kirk
6. Doug Ghim
7. Pat Perez
8. Matthew NeSmith
9. Beau Hossler
10. Hank Lebioda
11. Austin Eckroat
12. John Pak
13. Davis Thompson

Of these, Cameron Smith has the highest projected points at 64.6. Click here to view the full field.

Holes in One (1-5% of Lineups)

1. Justin Rose
2. Brendan Steele
3. Denny McCarthy
4. Vincent Whaley
5. Adam Schenk
6. Tom Lewis
7. Kevin Chappell
8. Kristoffer Ventura
9. Hunter Mahan

Of these golfers that aren’t named Justin Rose, Denny McCarthy has the highest projected point total with 54.3 points.

Thanks for reading to the end of this article! If you appreciate this free content and want to see more of it every day, you can help us out by sharing this article on social media!

[PGAPAGE]