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Today, I’ll be projecting the expected pitches, strikes and strikeouts for Clayton Kershaw tonight against the Oakland As. Kershaw is one of three pitchers (Luis Severino, Mike Clevinger) in the “Awesemo.com Presents: $1,000,000 Perfect Line Bonus + $7,500GTD – Inside Pitch ($2,000 to 1st!)”.
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The matchup for Kershaw is mostly good against the Athletics, as they have a 24.6% K-rate and an 85 wRC+ against lefties in their home stadium in 2018. Kershaw has returned to form as of late, , going at least 6 innings with 5 strikeouts in each of his last 5 starts, and this could be another one where get reaches his averages at the very least.
Kershaw’s averages above are a little misleading, as he’s been flirting with 100 pitches since early July after the Dodgers were very careful with him once he returned from the DL in late June. The leash on Kershaw should be 100+ pitches assuming he avoids an early exit and in a pitcher-friendly park, I would expect him to have a solid outing.
He shouldn’t have trouble throwing strikes, and Kershaw’s Swinging-Strike rate is steadily increasing since mid-season, and while we can’t expect a “Vintage Kershaw” outing, I think this matchup is very good for him, as he’s striking out over 25% of righties in 2018 despite the slow start. My projection for him right now is 106 pitches, 72 strikes, and 6 strikeouts, as I think the pitches and strikes will be much higher than his averages, which hopefully differentiates you from the field.
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