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MMA

UFC DFS Picks for SuperDraft | UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez

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Mark Stine gives out his fight breakdown + UFC DFS picks for UFC 253. Fight Island, Abu Dhaib.Israel Adesanya vs. Paulo Costa,

Hello UFC fans. This weekend, we have a 12-card in Abu Dhabi, including a main event between Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Joseph Benavidez The main GPP has $150,000 going to first place with a total of 600,000 being paid out. Here I will offer the fighters I feel have the most upside and value. Let’s dig into some UFC DFS picks analysis.


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Champion Picks

Roman Dolidze | Multiplier x1.75

Dolidze looks to be a strong grappler and on the feet, he throws bombs with power. But he does not throw enough volume most of the time, although  he still has nice upside due to his power. Dolidze should have several openings to land his power shot, due to Ibragimov having visible holes in his game and being susceptible too punches.  He is worth some exposure if your making twenty plus lineups. Awesemo’s fighter projections have Dolidze, projected as the fourth highest fighter on the slate in the champion spot.

Deiveson Figueiredo | Multiplier x1.65

Figueiredo was able to disrupt Benavidez’s rhythm with his hard counterpunching. In their first meeting, Figueiredo was able to land a takedown and almost secured an armbar, so I feel he will start fast and try and take Benavidez to the mat. Although I also can see him standing and trading with Benavidez, which could lead to another finish via knockout. Figueiredo also  happens to be Awesemo’s highest projected fighter on the slate in the champion spot, with 66% win odds.

Joseph Benavidez | Multiplier x2.20

Benavidez could be significantly less popular in the champion spot, considering how confident people are in Figueiredo. This could be a nice leverage play on the field,  not saying he will be way overlooked, but Benavidez could have significantly less ownership than Figueiredo. And Benavidez happens to be Awesemo’s second highest projected fighter in the champion spot.


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Super Flex Picks

Rafael Fiziev | Multiplier x1.35

Fiziev UFC debut, was not too impressive, losing via knockout in less than two minutes too Magomed Mustafaev. Fiziev has solid technique and power in his hands, he has five knockouts and all but two have ended in the first round. I think he is a live dog and could get that first round knockout. Awesemo’s projections give Fiziev 41% win odds.

Carlos Felipe | Multiplier x1.35

Felipe has six wins by knockout, he has fast hands and lands with power. His two year suspension by the USADA is finally over , Felipe was flagged for a doping violation before making  his UFC debut, at UFC Fight Night 119. So, the lengthy layoff does concern me, this is a risky play  but also is high reward with a first round knockout.  Awesemo’s fighter projections give him a 42% win odds, and a 32% chance for a knockout.

Grant Dawson | Multiplier x1.05

Dawson has eight submission wins, and seven of them via rear naked choke. He is an aggressive grappler, and will have a clear advantage on the mat. Although Narimani is a black belt in jiu-jitsu, which he could hold his own on the mat with Dawson. I foresee Dawson securing a takedown and locking in a rear naked choke late second round.  Dawson is Awesemo’s  second highest projected fighter on the slate, with 71% win odds

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