It seems like every time we do one of these breakdowns, we’re onto a new country’s league, from Mexico to Turkey to Australia. Hopefully this one is able to stick around for a little longer than anticipated. Anyway, this should be very interesting with some quality players on either side of the ball in this league. Enjoy soccer DFS with this beauty of a showdown. Please be financially responsible with your expendable income given our current state.
For those in Slack, you know Jovani (Jv882221). He’s been awesome helping out with the various leagues around the world. He contributed to this particular write-up with the player-picks listed below. A lot of our thoughts are in congruency. Give him a follow on Twitter here. You can also follow me if you have any questions @tristanhoh. I’m here to help!
Melbourne City FC (-210) @ Central Coast Mariners (+525)
Over/Under: 3.0 (-130 over)
Second place Melbourne City heads to Central Coast who are riding an eight match losing streak. Given the separation between the two in the table, it’s surprising Melbourne is not favored more. These A-League matches seem to end up as shootouts a lot of the time, as evidenced by the hefty 3.0 total. I could see that being the case in this one.
Starting with the favorites, set pieces are divided up between Noone ($9,800) and Susaeta ($10,600). The former has much more open play value. Noone has the highest floor on the slate and is likely the highest owned captain. Susaeta on the other hand surprisingly hasn’t had much goal involvement, with just a goal and zero assists through seven starts. In my opinion, his luck will soon turn. He’s a strong GPP play, but maybe not for those of you playing cash games. There’s really no reason for him to be the most expensive player on the slate.
MacLaren ($10,400) leads the line and is in exquisite form this season. He’d be a risky guy to pass up on with such a high total, but there are definitely positives to fading a very highly owned goal-dependent player.
Luna ($7,800) should be back after a one-match absence and will field the ‘attacking midfield’ with Berenguer ($8,400). Both guys have some upside but don’t bring much of a floor. He is also slightly overpriced. Brilliante brings a constant stream of tackles won to the table but really no attacking upside whatsoever. I’d prefer not to use him, but he could be a worthy enough salary saver in some circumstances.
Jameison ($6,800) and Atkinson ($4,400) are at fullback with Glover ($7,700) in net. Both teams to score is -165 so I’ll be writing off Glover personally. Jameison and Atkinson are very similar in terms of production, yet the former is strangely $2,200 more.
Djuric ($9,200) and Clisby ($5,800) split the set pieces down the middle. Both players look intriguing for different reasons, but Clisby’s price especially makes him very appealing. Djuric isn’t afraid to shoot and takes enough of the set pieces to be in consideration in all formats. Murray ($5,600) is goal or bust but cheap enough to take a stab on in tournaments if wanting to go that route. Miller ($5,400) looks like a somewhat reliable salary saver but doesn’t pop off the page by any means.
De Silva ($5,200) and Harold ($7,600) round out the attack but struggle to generate much of a floor and rarely involve themselves in goals. It’s Harold I’d prefer, with at least two shots in all five of his starts this season. Both are actually pretty intriguing in tournaments, as even De Silva, amid recent struggles, has 35 shots through 17 matches.
Craig Noone ($9,800) – He is a lock in all formats. The former Cardiff City player is the set-up man here in Melbourne with over 50 shots assisted and 140 crosses. He makes a great stack with Jamie Maclaren and contributes with over 40 fouls drawn and 25 tackles won.
Markel Susaeta ($10,600) – The former Athletic Bilbao midfielder averages over three crosses per game but has only found the back of the net once through eight games and rarely attempts a shot. His minutes are secure, but he carries a hearty price tag given his lack of goal involvement.
Jamie Maclaren ($10,400) – Another near lock, Maclaren is registering 15 goals through 18 matches. He’s not shy to shoot with 64 shots and over 20 on net. He needs a goal to hit value a lot of times, but Central Coast has a terrible defense, running on an eight-game losing streak. They’ve given up 2.8 goals in the process.
Jack Clisby ($5,800) – With Tommy Oar out, Clisby has taken charge of crosses with an astonishing 110 on the year. He also allows you to pay up for your studs of choice.
Lewis Miller ($5,400) – He contributes in a few different ways with 40 crosses, 25 tackles won and 30 interceptions this season. There is potential for more tackles and interceptions as Central Coast could be pinned down for much of the match.