Welcome to Bundesliga DFS for June 12 (6/12/20). Here you’ll find our top plays, all things considered. The players who have price-considered floor/ceiling on DraftKings are especially highlighted. Keep in mind that teams are now allowed five substitutions instead of three due to lack of training during the hiatus.
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Bundesliga Odds Report
TSG Hoffenheim (+525) vs. RB Leipzig (-245) O/U 3.5
The Bundesliga Breakdown
In this showdown, we have two teams with still a lot to play for. RB Leipzig looks to increase their three-point lead over Monchengladbach and Leverkusen in the Champions League seeding. Hoffenheim sits just below Wolfsburg for the final Europa League spot and needs points in this game. Goals are expected and it should come from the better-form RB Leipzig side.
These are listed in order of what I believe are the top plays, including median projection, floor and upside.
Note: For players not used in the Captain or MVP spot, the are priority in Flex.
Bundesliga DraftKings and FanDuel Picks: Captain
Christopher Nkunku (DraftKings $15,300, FanDuel $13)
Nkunku disappointed in his last outing and the price has not dropped. He still sits below Timo Werner and offers a safer floor. He currently sits top-three in the Bundesliga in assists and top-15 with crosses. Nkunku also leads RB Leipzig, slightly over Marcel Sabitzer, in passes from corners and free kicks.
Christopher Nkunku 2019-2020 stats: 5 goals, 13 assists, 49 shots, 118 crosses.
Patrik Schick (DraftKings $14,400, FanDuel $14)
Schick has been on a shooting spree since regaining his starting-11 spot. He has a goal in each game since the Yussuf Poulsen injury. Schick’s risk comes with the fact that he needs the goals to hit value. TSG Hoffenheim defense has been the only saving grace keeping the team alive and Schick’s low floor could keep ownership low.
Patrick Schick 2019-2020 stats: 10 goals, 2 assists, 45 shots.
Robert Skov (DraftKings $13,200, FanDuel $13)
When Hoffenheim scores, Skov is usually involved. He is involved in 23% of Hoffenheim’s total goals on the season. His floor is safe with his set piece dominance and he ranks top-12 in crosses in the Bundesliga. With the odds in RB Leipzig’s favor, Skov could prove the winning contrarian captain or MVP. On FanDuel, he is not as viable at the Captain spot due to his low goals and shots on goal, which are weighed heavier.
Robert Skov 2019-2020 stats: 4 goals, 6 assists, 54 shots, 127 crosses.
Other Options: Timo Werner (DraftKings $17,100, FanDuel $16)
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Bundesliga DraftKings and FanDuel picks: Flex
Angelino (DraftKings $8,400, FanDuel $10)
Angelino is the ideal FanDuel play for the defender spot. He will be chalk at the position, but he has become highly involved for Leipzig in a short time. He sets up shots, shares set pieces and contributes in all defensive categories.
Angelino 2019-2020 stats: 15 shots assisted, 58 crosses and 14 interceptions in 9 appearances.
Pavel Kaderabek (DraftKings $6,800, FanDuel $6)
On FanDuel, Kaderabek is a pivot off of Angelino that allows you to pay up on the offense. On DraftKings they both can be played together. Kaderabek serves as a nice compliment in a contrarian stack with Skov or as the one off in a RB Leipzig-heavy stack. He seems to be returning to the starting 11 and, even with a few games missing still ranks top-30 in crosses in the league. His shots assisted and fouls drawn help build his floor and make him a great leverage play.
Pavel Kaderabek 2019-2020 stats: 4 assists, 25 shots, 90 crosses, 28 fouls drawn.
Peter Gulacsi (DraftKings $7,600)
Here comes the goalkeeper. He is priced like a midfielder and can absolutely sink your lineup. The odds expect goals and I am not buying the 3.5-goal total. If Leipzig take this game 2-0 or 3-0, Gulacsi must be in your lineup to win. On FanDuel, we do not have to take the risk. Leipzig’s defense is second overall and Gulacsi has shut out teams on nine occasions this season. Pair that with Hoffenheim’s mid-tier offense and the goalkeeper becomes viable.
Other Options: Dani Olmo (DraftKings $7,800, FanDuel $7), Christoph Baumgartner (DraftKings $7,000, FanDuel $11).