Friday’s lone match of the week takes to Berlin in what’s regarded as one of the most prominent derbies in Germany. Union put in a decent yet expected performance against Bayern on Sunday, losing to the tune of 2-0 on home turf. Hertha defeated Hoffenheim on Saturday, but that result could be regarded as fluky. They scored three, but ended up with 1.65 expected goals whilst their rivals were held scoreless with 2.65 expected goals. It’s clear to see some negative regression against the Hertha defense.
The most important team news comes from Hertha and Vladimir Darida returning from suspension. The Czech midfielder should regain the set piece share he had in grasp prior to the two-month break. For Union, Christopher Lenz seems to have picked up a knock in training. It will be important to keep tabs on his status once lineups are released.
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Matheus Cunha ($11,800) picked up where he left off on Saturday with a goal on four shots. His floor is sneakily strong and will be one of the most owned players on the slate. I like either fading him completely or using him in the captain spot, even with the extremely high price. Marvin Plattenhardt ($10,200) and Maximilian Mittelstadt ($11,000) both started last weekend, and Plattenhardt took corners. Mittelstadt started in an attacking position, though, which keeps him viable despite the price hike. Vladimir Darida’s ($8,400) insertion back into the lineup could hurt Plattenhardt’s value. Even if not a full monopoly, Darida is one of the best plays per dollar in Friday’s derby. Dodi Lukebakio ($7,800) has a low floor but a high ceiling for the price. He’s crafty from the right wing and goal involvement is attainable for the Belgian. Rounding out the attack is striker Vedad Ibisevic ($6,400). He has a low floor of course, but the price-considered ceiling is strong. Fullback Peter Pekarik ($5,200) is the last noteworthy name. The Slovak is talented and absolutely deserves consideration in the value tier.
Union’s most important player is hands down Christopher Trimmel ($9,400). He takes all the set pieces and has the strongest floor on the slate. The attack should consist of Sebastian Andersson ($6,000), Marius Bulter ($8,600) and Marcus Ingvarsten ($5,000). Andersson has the highest expected goal total per 90 by quite a margin and would be the first name of the group I use. Bulter is almost certainly overpriced, yet remains a fair option in one game DFS slates. Christopher Lenz ($5,400) is questionable as far as I can tell, but if he starts, he’d be a great value. Same goes for Grischa Promel ($3,800) at his price, but he’s not projected to start at the moment.
High Tier Rankings ($9,000+)
Mid Tier Rankings ($6,000 – $8,900)
Value Tier Rankings ($3,000 – $5,900)