Welcome to the English Premier League DFS coverage for Saturday, Aug. 28. Here you will find the top EPL DFS picks for DraftKings and FanDuel, which consider all aspects of the slate from Awesemo’s expert projections to pricing to popularity for DFS fantasy soccer. These EPL DFS soccer picks should help you create highly projected lineups in DraftKings and FanDuel fantasy soccer tournaments and cash games.
EPL Odds Report
**All Odds from BetMGM**
Aston Villa (-105) vs. Brentford (+275), O/U 2.5
Brighton (+135) vs. Everton (+210), O/U 2.5
Newcastle (+160) vs. Southampton (+160), O/U 2.5
Norwich City (+360) vs. Leicester City (-120), O/U 2.5
West Ham United (-175) vs. Crystal Palace (+500), O/U 2.5
Liverpool (+145) vs. Chelsea (+185), O/U 2.5
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DraftKings & FanDuel EPL DFS Picks Today
Jamie Vardy (DraftKings: $9,500, FanDuel: $22)
Leicester City will have their crack at the defense of Norwich City. Norwich has allowed eight goals in their first two matches. The matchups were difficult against Liverpool and Manchester City. Now Norwich will have to face a Leicester City team that look to bounce back from an embarrassing defeat against West Ham to the tune of 4-1. Jamie Vardy takes the PKs for the visiting team and provides no floor. He will be a goal-hunting option and looks to continue his 34% goal contributions from the past three seasons with the Foxes. He averaged 2.31 shots per match a season ago and has a plus matchup against a Norwich team that is allowing 2.35 expected goals, dead last in the EPL.
The floor plays for Leicester are Youri Tielemans and Harvey Barnes. Both provide salary relief in an advantageous matchup that offers crossing volume with chances created and goal contribution should Leicester run up the score. For the offensive upside, Barnes offers more from a point-per-dollar perspective given the work inside the box. Both are GPP considerations, with Tielemans being the contrarian play given the above-$8,000 price and a number of games to pivot to.
The suspension of Ayoze Perez means Kelechi Iheanacho could be in the starting rotation. He is a pressing attacker that has found his scoring touch with the Foxes. He ranked second in goals for Leicester a season ago and averaged 3.58 shots per match, leading the club. His 43.1% on-target accuracy ranks highest on the club and makes him a standout option on both DraftKings and FanDuel should he get the nod.
Richarlison (DraftKings: $7,800, FanDuel: $18)
Everton come into this slate as one of the bigger underdogs, at +210 (BetMGM). This feels like place to target, as their offense has no shortage of firepower. Richarlison leads the attacking force alongside Dominic Calvert-Lewin. They have 3.5 shots per match between the two on the young season. Brighton is a tough team to post a runaway score, and one or the other would be the go-to. In cash neither forward is necessary, but in GPP the spread exposure to either can prove the difference, as they are often called on for Everton to tie or pull away.
Richarlison stands as the preferred option on DraftKings, as he can draw fouls and create his own chances in open space. Calvert-Lewin is a more accurate shooter, and his higher price on FanDuel should keep his ownership low enough to provide leverage.
The target for the floor and upside, should he start, is Andros Townsend. His rest in the previous match would suggest he is available, and Townsend creates his own volume by way of drawn fouls and crosses in open play. The sample is small for Townsend on his new club, but he posted six crosses and three created chances in his first outing. These metrics came against a Southampton team that plays a similar defense first like Brighton. Brighton is no question a tougher test, as they ranked first in the EPL a season ago with 0.76 expected goals allowed at home. The Everton attack is reserved for GPP.
Callum Wilson (DraftKings: $7,200, FanDuel: $18)
James Ward-Prowse (DraftKings: $8,300, FanDuel: $16)
Newcastle cannot play defense, so they have to score to stay in matches. Callum Wilson is a goal-hunting option, with PK sets and the shot volume to get there. He contributed on 38% of the club’s scoring a season ago. That is hardly saying much considering the club posted just 44 goals on the year. Southampton has done well to keep clubs to limited scores in the early part of this season, but dating back to a season ago they allowed the fifth-most expected goals in the EPL.
On the other team of the field is James Ward-Prowse. He has set-piece monopoly for the Saints and offers the highest floor. He averages 1.03 shots and 5.74 crosses per match. Ward-Prowse does well at the defensive midfield role and leads the Saints with 3.37 won tackles/interceptions. The game flow offers a floor given his involvement on both offense and defense, and his upside comes from PK sets and 2.21 scoring chances created. The matchup is there, and the price seems low for Ward-Prowse. The attacking pair of either Che Adams or Adam Armstrong pair well with Ward-Prowse at sub-$7,000 given the overexposed Newcastle defense.
Danny Ings (DraftKings: $7,700, FanDuel: $20)
Anwar El Ghazi (DraftKings: $7,600, FanDuel: $16)
The highest-exposed matchup looks to be West Ham against a sit-back defense of Crystal Palace. The price of the West Ham attack is tough to get to on DraftKings but is very much in play on FanDuel. Then there is Aston Villa. The matchup does the home team no favors, as Brentford has not conceded a goal. A scoring one-off provides leverage, but a stack is not the best play. Danny Ings has scored in each of his first two matches with the new club. Anwar El Ghazi handles the PKs, and his open-play creation sees volume. Last week the pairing of the two worked out, with both finding the scoresheet.
Like with Calvert-Lewin and Richarlison, unless the matchup calls for it, stick to one or the other in the lineup. Both clubs have tough matchups, so a one-off would prevent a complete collapse in case Brentford continues to deny a scoresheet breakthrough. El Ghazi’s creation from open play makes him the preferred option, with 3.35 shots per match. The floor option is Emiliano Buendia in a match that realistically could finish 0-0.
Other Options: Michail Antonio (DraftKings $11,700, FanDuel $21), Said Benrahma (DraftKings $10,300, FanDuel $18), Teemu Pukki (DraftKings $4,500, FanDuel $16). Ivan Toney (DraftKings $6,100, FanDuel $16)
Matt Ritchie (DraftKings: $6,700, FanDuel: $14)
Matt Ritchie is overlooked with the options below at defense. The injury to Jonjo Shelvey gives the Newcastle defender control of the set shares. If Ryan Frasier sees the starting rotation, then Ritchie’s price is hard to get to. As the club stands currently, Ritchie has the set shares and open-play volume to hit 1.5x upside. His open-play crossing volume of 3.93 will be in full affect after Newcastle concedes and pushes to find some goals. He averages 6.4 crosses per match, which will see a drastic jump should Frasier join Shelvey on the bench. Ritchie was second behind Allan Saint-Maximin in chances created a season ago and adds to his metrics with 2.67 won tackles/interceptions.
Other Options: Trent Alexander-Arnold (FanDuel $15). Matthew Cash (DraftKings $4,700, FanDuel $12), Lucas Digne (DraftKings $6,000, FanDuel $12). Sergi Canos (DraftKings $6,200, FanDuel $16). Aaron Cresswell (DraftKings $7,000, FanDuel $13)
Emiliano Martinez (DraftKings: $5,300, FanDuel: $11)
David Raya (DraftKings: $4,300, FanDuel: $9)
Jordan Pickford (DraftKings: $4,500, FanDuel: $9)
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