Welcome to our EPL DFS coverage for Tuesday, Jan. 19. Here you’ll find our top EPL DFS picks for DraftKings and FanDuel, which consider all aspects of the slate from projection to pricing to popularity across soccer DFS.
EPL Odds Report
West Ham United (-175) vs. West Brom (+500), O/U 2.5
Leicester City (+187) vs. Chelsea (+140), O/U 3.5
EPL DFS Picks DraftKings + FanDuel Lineups | Jan. 19
These are listed in order of what I believe are the top plays, including median projection, floor and upside.
EPL DFS Picks: Forwards/Midfielders
Michail Antonio (DraftKings $8,000 FanDuel $20)
Mason Mount (DraftKings $8,400 FanDuel $16)
West Ham welcome a West Brom club that fields the second-worst road defense in the EPL, with an expected goals against of 16.1. West Ham’s offense is not explosive, but Michail Antonio is. In matches he has started, Antonio has contributed on 66% of the club’s overall scoring, and he has an elite matchup on this slate. He averages 2.2 shots per match with an uptick in full-game runs. Even at this price, Antonio will need a goal, but with two games and the plus matchup he is a core play in all formats.
Chelsea sees an average matchup against a mid-tier defense from Leicester City at home, with an expected goals against of 11.7. Mason Mount comes with a high price tag and the floor matches. Frank Lampard’s golden boy has embraced the free flow and set piece shares. Even with Hakim Ziyech back in the mix, Mount has corner shares and his output will be there even with a more even time of possession split. Mount averages 4.58 shots and assisted shots and 4.82 crosses per match.
James Maddison (DraftKings $8,600 FanDuel $17)
Harvey Barnes (DraftKings $6,900 FanDuel $16)
Chelsea sports the third-best road defense in the EPL, with an expected goals against of 8.9. The total for this game seems high and I will look for floor plays rather than goal hunting. James Maddison posses a solid floor with 3.87 shots and assisted shots and 4.06 crosses per match. Maddison also adds 2.31 drawn fouls per match, which I would expect an uptick considering the aggressive nature of the Chelsea defense, which has them conceding the sixth highest fouls per match in the EPL at 12.38.
Harvey Barnes provides an offensive weapon in GPPs and he comes in discounted. The matchup is not favorable, but Barnes offense can break down any matchup. He averages 2.88 shots and assisted shots per match and has scored in three of his last four full-game runs. Jamie Vardy is also a GPP option who comes in too cheap due to the matchup. He is goal reliant but the volume is there and his 48% on target shot accuracy has him sitting fourth overall in the EPL in goals scored.
Other Options: Jarrod Bowen (DraftKings $8,100, FanDuel $17), Olivier Giroud (DraftKings $7,200, FanDuel $19), Timo Werner (DraftKings $6,700, FanDuel $21), Matheus Pereira (DraftKings $7,500, FanDuel $16).
EPL DFS Picks: Defense
Aaron Cresswell (DraftKings $7,000 FanDuel $11)
The high asking price might have EPL DFS players overlooking Aaron Cresswell. His floor still warrants play in all formats. He averages 5.94 open play crosses to compliment 1.38 assisted shots. The matchup is a plus for the entire West Ham side and Cresswell brings upside in being involved in one of the expected goals being converted.
James Justin (DraftKings $4,200 FanDuel $14)
James Justin provides output on the offense with 3.11 open play crosses and 1.5 drawn fouls per match. What interests me more is the defensive output. He averages 2.5 won tackles and interceptions per match. With a pressing Chelsea offense to face, Justin can see opportunity for an increase in these attributes without the conceded foul downside.
Other Options: Ben Chilwell (DraftKings $6,100, FanDuel $11), Vladimir Coufal (DraftKings $5,900, FanDuel $13), Kurt Zouma (DraftKings $3,400, FanDuel $15).
EPL DFS Picks: Goalkeeper
Lukasz Fabianski (DraftKings $5,700 FanDuel $12)
Kasper Schmeichel (DraftKings $4,700 FanDuel $9)
Related EPL Content
- VIDEO: The EPL DFS Strategy Show with Alex ‘Awesemo’ Baker and Jovanni Vidal
- EPL Soccer Projections for DraftKings
- EPL Soccer Projections for FanDuel
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