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Corner Kick: EPL DFS Picks for Matchday 15 with Mohamed Salah and Liverpool | 12/4/21

Jovanni Vidal



DraftKings FanDuel EPL DFS Picks FanDuel free expert rankings projections Group Stge Mohamed Salah cheat sheet for daily fantasy soccer lineups optimal optimizer

Welcome to the English Premier League DFS coverage for Saturday, Dec. 4. Below are the top EPL DFS picks on DraftKings and FanDuel for Matchday 15, which consider all aspects of the slate, from Awesemo’s expert projections to pricing to popularity for DFS fantasy soccer. These EPL DFS soccer picks should help with creating highly projected lineups in DraftKings and FanDuel fantasy soccer tournaments and cash games.

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**All Odds from BetMGM**

Newcastle (+125) vs. Burnley (+210), O/U 2.5

Southampton (+145) vs. Brighton (+190), O/U 2.5

Wolverhampton (+625) vs. Liverpool (-250), O/U 2.5

Watford (+1,450) vs. Manchester City (-550), O/U 3.5


Diogo Jota (DraftKings: $9,500, FanDuel: $20)

Mohamed Salah (DraftKings: $12,000, FanDuel: $22)

Liverpool comes into this three-game slate as the clear favorites. The salaries of their skilled players are reaching all-time highs on the season. Liverpool leads the EPL with an expected goals of 2.77 per match. They also have belted teams for 3.57 actual goals per match on the road. Wolverhampton has a solid home defense, allowing 1.07 expected goals per match.

Mohamed Salah leads the club and comes in with a massive price. As seen in his previous outing, he provides brace upside and contributes on 48.8% of the EPL’s leading offense’s scoring. He is atop the EPL in goals scored and shot volume per match. He is a play in all formats across both DraftKings and FanDuel regardless of the salary impact. Diogo Jota continues to find the back of the net, with a goal in three straight matches. in that stretch he has averaged over two shots per match and has no trouble placing the ball on target. One concern will be his salary because one goal might not be enough for the cost of rostering him. He is a GPP play alongside a few more Liverpool men to consider in cash.

Sadio Mane is coming with a big discount for his involvement. He contributes on 19% of the scoring and has the shot volume (3.48) to pay off the $8,200 salary should he find the back of the net. Mane has drawn as many fouls as Jota for over a $1,000 discount. On FanDuel the price is too close between the two, so Jota’s recent form finishing will be a bigger priority. A Liverpool stack can include Jordan Henderson or Thiago Alcantara. The matchup does point to a massive output from Liverpool and the price for the front three is too high, so mixing these midfielders is certainly a way to balance out and get exposure.

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Callum Wilson (DraftKings: $7,900, FanDuel: $19)

Chris Wood (DraftKings: $5,000, FanDuel: $16)

Newcastle will host Burnley. Newcastle has done well on offense, but the defense is still a concern. They allow 2.14 goals per match and 1.75 expected goals on the season. They have yet to record a clean sheet and have allowed two or more goals in three of their most recent five matches. Burnley is not an offensive powerhouse by any means. They come into this match with two three-goal matches in their most recent four games and a notable goal against Chelsea. The matchup should see a few goals total. Callum Wilson is a goal hunter atop the scoring chart for Newcastle. He handles penalties but has no floor. The price will make him a GPP leverage play.

Wood has struggled in recent form. He will not need much to pay off the price on DraftKings. He is also a salary relief option in all formats to fit Liverpool stacks. Wood leads the team in shot volume at 2.16 per match and is second in goals scored. Maxwell Cornell has been in great form and is a consideration in GPP. The price of $6,700 still makes it hard to fit him as a cash option on DraftKings. On FanDuel he is in play in all formats with a plus matchup and the $18 price for goal hunting. He averages 1.68 shots per match but hits target at 80% accuracy clip, giving somewhat of a floor on FanDuel. The set-piece man Dwight McNeil is in play in all formats. He averages 4.61 crosses per match. The majority of which is produced in open play, which provides a floor regardless of the presence of Ashley Westwood. Should Westwood sit out again, McNeil could be the highest-floor play on the slate. McNeil adds to his value with 1.56 drawn fouls and 2.69 chances created per match.

Other Options: Allan Saint-Maximin (DraftKings $8,400, FanDuel $17), Che Adams (DraftKings $6,500, FanDuel $18), James Ward-Prowse (DraftKings $7,700, FanDuel $17), Neal Maupay (DraftKings $7,000, FanDuel $17), Jonjo Shelvey (DraftKings $4,500, FanDuel $11), Riyad Mahrez (FanDuel $17), Bernardo Silva (FanDuel $19), Bernardo Silva (FanDuel $19)

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Matt Ritchie (DraftKings: $5,900, FanDuel: $10)

Matt Ritchie is set to return to the lineup for Newcastle. He looks to resume the set shares and comes with a discount. He does not need goal contribution to produce. Ritchie averages 6.69 crosses per match and will have plenty of opportunities as time of possession looks to be split. He is second on the club with 3.06 scoring chances created and can add to his floor with 2.99 won tackles/interceptions per match. The cash plays are both Liverpool wingbacks. Ritchie can replace one or the other for spend up opportunity. All three would make a floor build with the upside coming from the goal contributions of Trent Alexander-Arnold and Andrew Robertson.

Other Options: Valentino Livramento (DraftKings $5,000, FanDuel $11), Tariq Lamptey (DraftKings $5,200, FanDuel $9), Marc Cucurella (DraftKings $5,100, FanDuel $10), Joao Cancelo (FanDuel $14)


Nick Pope (DraftKings: $4,300, FanDuel: $9)

Alex McCarthy (DraftKings: $4,900, FanDuel: $10)

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Looking for more EPL DFS picks content? We have loads of articles, data, DraftKings and FanDuel cheat sheets and more on the Awesemo EPL DFS home page.

Jovanni Vidal is accountant and finance analyst, with lifetime passion for fantasy sports. He has provided content and player analysis for season-long fantasy sites. He joined Awesemo to help new and current DFS soccer players learn new approaches to the game and how to succeed, with an overall goal to grow the DFS soccer sport and various league content offerings. You can reach him on Twitter @fluff_marsh.

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