Welcome to our EPL DFS coverage for Jan 1. Here you’ll find our top EPL DFS picks for DraftKings and FanDuel, which consider all aspects of the slate from projection to pricing to popularity across soccer DFS.
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EPL Odds Report
Everton (-105) vs. West Ham United (+280), O/U 2.5
Manchester United (-143) vs. Aston Villa (+333), O/U 3.5
EPL DFS Picks DraftKings + FanDuel Lineups | Jan. 1
These are listed in order of what I believe are the top plays, including median projection, floor and upside.
EPL DFS Picks: Forward/Midfield
Gylfi Sigurdsson (DraftKings $8,000 FanDuel $16)
Dominic Calvert-Lewin (DraftKings $7,800 FanDuel $20)
Everton welcomes West Ham United after an extended rest due to a postponed match. Everton will be the fresher squad and could benefit from increased pace of play. West Ham United has an average road defense, while Everton’s offense is slightly above average in the EPL.
Gylfi Sigurdsson continues to be the beneficiary of James Rodriguez being out. He handles the set shares and still controls penalty duties. In full-match runs, Sigurdsson is averaging 5.25 crosses and five shots/assisted shots. His floor alone can surpass the asking price, and with two goals in four previous matches, the upside is there.
Dominic Calvert-Lewin has seen his scoring run slump. The price has come down, and his shot volume is still there at 2.86 per match. I like him in GPPs to find the back of the net given the extra rest period against a West Ham team that has played through the congested schedule. If Richarlison returns for this match, I like him as a pay-up-to-be-contrarian option.
Anwar El Ghazi (DraftKings $8,900 FanDuel $16)
Ollie Watkins (DraftKings $6,400 FanDuel $17)
Manchester United has come alive both offensively and defensively. Their home defense is in the bottom half of the EPL. With just two games on the slate and the ownership going to the favorites in Bruno Fernandes, Anthony Martial and Marcus Rashford, I prefer riding Aston Villa.
Aston Villa has an above-average road offense. Anwar El Ghazi and Bertrand Traore should be unfazed by the short turn around in play time, considering they have not run the minutes of everyone else. El Ghazi is averaging 6.5 crosses, 5.75 shots and a one goal in full game runs. His price is too cheap and is in play in all formats.
Ollie Watkins has come into a scoring slump. His shot volume is there at 2.85 per match and can contribute on the assists side of his team’s offense as well. His price offers upside while providing spend-up for Bruno Fernandes on the other side of the pitch. Jack Grealish is also in play along with Fernandes in cash and could be a pivot off Fernandes in GPP.
Other Options:Â Jack Grealish (DraftKings $9,300, FanDuel $19), Bruno Fernandes (DraftKings $10,800, FanDuel $23), Marcus Rashford (DraftKings $8,300, FanDuel $22), Michail Antonio (DraftKings $7,700, FanDuel $19), Jarrod Bowen (DraftKings $8,500, FanDuel $16), Anthony Martial (DraftKings $7,100, FanDuel $18).
EPL DFS Picks: Defender
Tyrone Mings (DraftKings $2,600 FanDuel $12)
Yerry Mina (DraftKings $4,300 FanDuel $13)
I do not mind punting both defenders on this slate. I like to attack the scoring from the Manchester United – Aston Villa game, and that leaves little salary on the table. The top options for cash at defense would be Alex Telles or Luke Shaw, depending on who starts. After that Aaron Cresswell as a solid floor. The issue is the prices will force you to punt with the midfield.
Tyrone Mings returns to the Aston Villa line after a suspension, which could have him full of energy. He attacks the corner crosses and provides scoring upside, while not costing us a lot. Yerry Mina has the extra rest with his team and could see a boost in corners on a West Ham squad that might fall back in defense to absorb than counter. Both these center backs are capable of connecting on corners, and double punting allows you to fit all the set piece and volume shooters across the slate.
Other Options:Â Alex Telles (DraftKings $5,800, FanDuel $13), Aaron Cresswell (DraftKings $6,300, FanDuel $12).
Goalkeepers
Emiliano Martinez (DraftKings $4,100 FanDuel $9)
Jordan Pickford (DraftKings $5,300 FanDuel $12)
Related EPL Content
- VIDEO: The EPL DFS Strategy Show with Alex ‘Awesemo’ Baker and Jovanni Vidal
- EPL Soccer Projections for DraftKings
- EPL Soccer Projections for FanDuel
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