Corner Kick: Euro 2020 DFS Picks for DraftKings & FanDuel Fantasy Soccer | Tuesday, June 29, 2021

Welcome to the UEFA Euro 2020 Championship DFS coverage for Tuesday, June 29. Here you will find the top Euro DFS picks for DraftKings and FanDuel, which consider all aspects of the slate from Awesemo’s expert projections to pricing to popularity across the DFS fantasy soccer landscape. These Euro 2020 DFS picks should help you create highly projected lineups in DraftKings and FanDuel fantasy soccer tournaments and cash games.

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Euro Odds Report

**All Odds from BetMGM**

England (+140) vs. Germany (+200), O/U 2.5

Sweden (+140) vs. Ukraine (+210), O/U 3.5

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Euro 2020 DFS Picks: Fantasy Soccer | June 29

These are listed in order of what are the top plays, including median projection, floor and upside.

Euro DFS Picks: Forwards/Midfielders

Emil Forsberg (DraftKings: $8,900, FanDuel: $21)

The two-game slate today features two matches of evenly matched teams. Sweden will take on a Ukraine team with a defense that looked shaky in the group stage. They allowed 1.5 expected goals per game across the three matches and conceded 1.66 actual goals. Sweden produced 1.30 expected goals per game and scored 1.33 actual goals. Sweden has had excellent chances against a possession-dominant Spanish team but failed to convert. They have little room for error in this knockout match, and all eyes will be on Emil Forsberg. 

Forsberg is handling the set shares and penalty sets. Aside from the Spain match, which saw Sweden sit back and play for a draw, Forsberg has provided a floor with his crossing volume and open-play offense of created chances and shot volume. He is second on Sweden across all competitions in scoring and averages 2.8 shots per match. On DraftKings he is a core play. On FanDuel he is a top goal-hunting option, but the floor is lower than on DraftKings.

Alongside Forsberg for Sweden is Alexander Isak and Robin Quaison. Both have above-average shot volume, and Quaison hits target at a 50% clip. Should he start, Quaison is coming in at a bargain price on FanDuel at $10. Both need a goal, but the matchup calls for it, and Sweden has done well to set up the chances.

Ruslan Malinovskyi (DraftKings: $7,200, FanDuel: $16)

Ukraine had a terrible performance to end the group stage against Austria. However, the team has performed well getting to this point and also fought back against Netherlands. Neither team is the favorite in this matchup, and goals should be plentiful.

Ruslan Malinovskyi handles the set shares for Ukraine. He also is active on the offense with created chances. The price is a bit too high given that set-piece men like Toni Kroos and Mason Mount are a few hundred more on DraftKings. In GPPs Malinovskyi makes a solid pivot with the second highest goal contribution for the nation across all competitions. He leads the nation in shot volume and creates 5.22 scoring chances per match. This metric will see a downtick, but the upside is there.

Andriy Yarmolenko and Roman Yaremchuk are the scoring threats upfront for Ukraine. They will need better performances from both to advance. They average 2.25 shots per match apiece and Yaremchuk hits target at a 77% clip. The price of $18 for each on FanDuel makes one of them a GPP play. Do not pair them on FanDuel, however, given the high prices.

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Mason Mount (DraftKings: $7,900, FanDuel: $19)
Kai Havertz (DraftKings: $6,200, FanDuel: $20)

The England – Germany match is difficult to predict. Both sides can score in bunches or grind the match out. England has had no help from Harry Kane, and Germany has been disappointed by Serge Gnarby upfront. As such, this seems like a spot to target them in GPP’s given they are priced like brace-upside players.

Mason Mount is the top core play if playing. He is priced too low and controls the set shares. When he is at the helm he does well with accurate deliveries and can set up chances from the midfield. Without goal contributions he sees a floor that pays off the price, and England cannot be trusted to light up the score sheet at this point. Raheem Sterling would be the risk of a zero-floor play from England considering he does not cost an arm and leg.

Kai Havertz has done well to get the shot volume up after a nervous start to the Euros. At his price he is the top goal-hunting option from this match. He does not need to wait for his teammates to get him the ball, and his on-target accuracy is just under 50%. There are no issues with the $20 price on FanDuel. This back line of defenders for England is the same one that Havertz plowed through in the EPL and Champions League to help Chelsea have success this season.

Euro DFS Picks: Defender

Luke Shaw (DraftKings: $5,800, FanDuel: $14)

Like Mount, Luke Shaw suits the narrative of this Germany – England match. He can produce without goal contributions, and chances will be there. His open-play volume and speed will see opportunity to break the German backline. On the other side of the pitch, Joshua Kimmich is aggressive on the wing and builds a floor through crosses and drawn fouls.

One last note: England and Germany have an abundance of talent on the bench. Should this match see extra time or stay close, it would not be shocking to see the subs come in. There might be merit in MME to take 1 or 2% exposure to Leon Goretzka or Jack Grealish if they do not see the starting 11.

Other Options: Robin Gosens (DraftKings $5,700, FanDuel $14), John Stones (DraftKings $3,300, FanDuel $10)

Top Goalkeepers

Robin Olsen (DraftKings: $5,100, FanDuel: $12)
Manuel Neuer (DraftKings: $4,700, FanDuel: $9)

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Author
Jovanni Vidal is accountant and finance analyst, with lifetime passion for fantasy sports. He has provided content and player analysis for season-long fantasy sites. He joined Stokastic to help new and current DFS soccer players learn new approaches to the game and how to succeed, with an overall goal to grow the DFS soccer sport and various league content offerings. You can reach him on Twitter @fluff_marsh.

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