Welcome to the 2020 UEFA Euro Championship coverage for Sunday, June 13. Here you will find the top Euro DFS picks for DraftKings and FanDuel, which consider all aspects of the slate, from Awesemo’s expert projections to pricing to popularity across the soccer DFS landscape. These picks should help you create highly projected lineups in DraftKings and FanDuel tournaments and cash games.
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Euro Odds Report
Austria (-133) vs. North Macedonia (+450), O/U 2.5
Netherlands (-175) vs. Ukraine (+500), O/U 3.5
England (-167) vs. Croatia (+500), O/U 2.5
Euro DFS Picks: DraftKings + FanDuel Lineups | June 13
These are listed in order of what I believe are the top plays, including median projection, floor and upside.
Euro DFS Picks: Forwards/Midfielders
Phil Foden (DraftKings $10,200, FanDuel $18)
Harry Kane (DraftKings $10,600, FanDuel $23)
Group D kicks off with England taking on Croatia. The expectations are high for England, and the aging Croatia side finds themselves as +500 underdogs in this match-up. On this slate, the prices are heavy with the likes of Memphis Depay, Phil Foden and Harry Kane. Although Depay is the do it all for the Netherlands, I am more interested in the Foden Kane combo. Foden looks to handle the corner and indirect free kicks for England. England comes in averaging two-plus goals in six consecutive competitive matches. In that stretch, they controlled possession 63+% of the time, with the exception of one match (55%). The open play volume and set shares help Foden built a strong floor. Foden has averaged five crosses in his short stint starting for England with just shy of three shots per match and 60% on-target accuracy.
Kane leads England in overall scoring and handles both PK and direct set-pieces. He is posting 4.13 shots per match for England and is averaging over two-goal contributions per match. Croatia has mixed results coming into this tournament and allows an average of 3.67 shots on target per match. The combo of Kane and Foden are core plays when considering possession and volume that will run through them as they look to start the tournament off strong.
For added exposure to the three lions attack, Raheem Sterling on the wing is not shy to shoot and looks to find himself a few open chances with focus drawn to his teammates. Sterling has five goals and six assists in eight starts for his nation and comes in at a discounted ask of 8.3K. He is averaging 2.9 shots per match in that run, but the low floor keeps him as a GPP option.
David Alaba (DraftKings $6,400, FanDuel $16)
Ezgjan Alioski (DraftKings $6,100, FanDuel $15)
The battle between Austria and North Macedonia looks to be the value spot in this slate. David Alaba handles the set shares for Austria. He finds himself with a scoring shortage, but the chances are there with 3.25 shots per match. I prefer him on DraftKings, where his 30% on-target accuracy is not as much a concern as FanDuel. For a few dollars more on the ask, Marko Arnautovic makes a solid play with some set shares on the direct attempts and PK sets. He averages 4.55 shots per match and sees a more favorable floor for the club on FanDuel with an on-target rate of 55%. North Macedonia does not possess a threatening defense with clean sheets coming to Lichtenstein in competitive recent form. The upside for Arnautovic is in the scoring, and he has the pedigree to do so among the Austria bunch.
From the North Macedonia side, Ezgjan Alioski handles the PK and set shares. The other set-piece man for the club, Enis Bardhi, is a GPP option but comes with concern about recovering from COVID. With Bardhi and Alioski coming in around the same ask, the fitness confidence stays with Alioski. He averages five crosses a match, with an uptick available should Bardhi leave the match before the 90-minute run. Alioski averages just shy of two drawn fouls per match and leads his club in won tackles. For a punt GPP play, Eljif Elmas leads the club in shot volume and comes in sub 5K on the ask. He also draws two fouls per match and can mix in interceptions, and won tackles in the midfield.
Ruslan Malinovskiy (DraftKings $6,600, FanDuel $16)
The Netherlands will draw ownership as they are the group favorites and a powerful offense. I think Ukraine is being underrated overall and can keep this match flowing both ways. They have kept France to a solo goal and come in with confidence, unbeaten in their last six matches. Ruslan Malinovskiy handles the set shares both direct and indirect for the Ukraine side. He tails Roman Yaremchuk for the team lead in scoring and leads in overall goal contribution. The 2.59 shots per match and 53% on target accuracy make him a solid play across DraftKings and FanDuel, with a floor build on over two average interceptions, won tackles and crosses each.
The Netherlands option is the mentioned above Depay. With control of everything the nation does, he averages 4.29 shots per match and 5.71 crosses per match. The pivot in GPP is Georginio Wijnaldum. The former Liverpool midfielder mirrors Depay in shot volume per match. He could see a few more shots with Depay consuming more shot volume, but the confidence will be there to try his luck, and he hits target at a 66.7% accuracy clip.
Other Options: Mason Mount (DraftKings $8,600, FanDuel $17), Marcel Sabitzer (DraftKings $8,100, FanDuel $15), Wout Weghorst (DraftKings $8,500, FanDuel $15), Luka Modric (DraftKings $7,100, FanDuel $16), Ivan Perisic (DraftKings $5,500, FanDuel $15).
Euro DFS Picks: Defender
Tyrone Mings (DraftKings $3,600, FanDuel $13)
The defender position comes in a little weak on this slate. Two teams run three-set backline formations, which makes it hard to roster them with any confidence. The options below are the reasonable options to expect some offensive push up the wings. punting the defender spot here makes sense considering the high-priced options upfront. Tyrone Mings looks to center the backline with John Stones. Both English backs can attack the corner kicks with precision on target. The time of possession will be in their favor, and Foden’s deliveries are accurate enough for a connection. Either Stones or Mings are hopeful in GPP for a goal, but the clean sheet bonus and a few outlying metrics should cover the cost.
Other Options: Luke Shaw (DraftKings $6,000, FanDuel $15), Andreas Ulmer (DraftKings $4,500, FanDuel $10), Kyle Walker (DraftKings $4,300, FanDuel $9).
Jordan Pickford (DraftKings $5,500, FanDuel $11)
Georgi Bushchan (DraftKings $4,200, FanDuel $8)
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