The Corner Kick: EPL Game Week 19 Betting Picks | Southampton to Pull Another Upset? 1/14

The following are EPL betting picks for Game Week 19 where I agree with the results driven by my betting model. I feel comfortable placing at least a unit. These are selected after careful review of the best available soccer betting lines and English Premier League odds, which can be found via OddsShopper.

[GRETZKY]

[SportsbookAffiliates]

Favorite EPL Odds & Betting Picks | Game Week 19

Leicester City vs. Southampton: Southampton Win/Draw Double (+115)

Southampton will head on the road after an upset win against Liverpool. Southampton has been less impressive on the road, with an expected goals differential of -2.3, around EPL average. Leicester City is equally as bad at home, sitting sixth worst in the EPL. Leicester City has kept just one clean sheet in their last five games, while Southampton has held four in their last six games. Of note was holding off the reigning champions Liverpool.

It is hard to keep Leicester City off the scoresheet, but I like Southampton to match the pace. In what should be a close game, Southampton will have the benefit of an extra rest, with their FA Cup match postponed. Dany Ings and company should be able to break down Leicester enough to walk away with at least a point.

If Leicester City where to rest Jamie Vardy or James Maddison, given the congested schedule, I would consider a smaller play on the Southampton money line, but by the time Lineups are announced, the value will likely have dropped. I think Southampton will do enough to see out a victory, but I like the plus money on the hedge against a 1-1 draw.

Join STOKASTIC+ today!
Use accurate data and advanced tools crafted by the #1 DFS player.

Aston Villa vs. Everton: Aston Villa Win/Draw Double (-105)

Aston Villa will host Everton this weekend. Assuming the Villa starters are back and ready to go, they have had an extended rest period. Villa sports the fourth-best home offense in the EPL, while Everton’s road offense is middle of the pack. Everton could still be missing Richarlison or Dominic Calvert-Lewin for this match.

I expect there will be goals scored on both sides. Everton might not come out as explosive without the two front men. I do not think the odds will shift much from this number. The right move is to wait to see confirmation if Jack Grealish, Anwar El Ghazi and the rest of the team are starting. I would suggest a small play on Villa to win the game as well due to the rest and the possible injuries for Everton. The bigger play is the hedge against the draw given we do not know the effect of the Aston Villa players that where effected by the COVID outbreak.

Bonus EPL Betting Picks/Soccer Wagers

EPL: Manchester United vs. Liverpool: Manchester United Win Draw Double (-115)


Follow us on all of our social channels! Check out our Twitter, Facebook, Instagram and YouTube for more great Awesemo content.

Looking for more EPL picks content? We’ve got loads of English Premier League articles, data, cheat sheets and more on the Awesemo EPL home page, just click HERE.

Author
Jovanni Vidal is accountant and finance analyst, with lifetime passion for fantasy sports. He has provided content and player analysis for season-long fantasy sites. He joined Stokastic to help new and current DFS soccer players learn new approaches to the game and how to succeed, with an overall goal to grow the DFS soccer sport and various league content offerings. You can reach him on Twitter @fluff_marsh.

Stokastic +

Premium Data and Tools
PREMIUM TOOLS
Lineup Generator
Stokastic Sims MLB
PREMIUM DATA
Projections
Top Stack %s
MLB Data Central
FREE DATA
SoRare MLB Rankings
DraftKings Night Owl
FANTASY CRUNCHER (ADD-ON)
MLB Lineup Study
COMMUNITY
MLB Discord Server
PREMIUM DATA
Projections
Ownership Projections
PREMIUM TOOLS
Fantasy Cruncher (ADD-ON)
NHL Lineup Study
COMMUNITY
NHL Discord Server
PREMIUM TOOLS
Lineup Generator
Stokastic Sims PGA
PREMIUM DATA
Ownership Projections
Top Golfers Tool
PGA Tournament Models
FANTASY CRUNCHER (ADD-ON)
PGA Lineup Study
COMMUNITY
PGA Discord Server
Ownership Projections
Top Drivers Tool
NASCAR Discord Server
NASCAR Fantasy Cruncher
USFL Projections
USFL Discord Server
Ownership Projections
Top Fighters Tool
MMA Discord Server
MMA Fantasy Cruncher
NFL Betting Tools
Stokastic Discord Server
Best Ball
Best Ball Rankings
Best Ball Stat Projections
Stokastic Discord Server
Season Long Fantasy (Coming Soon)

DFS Winners from the Stokastic Community

Subscribe to the Stokastic newsletter

DFS advice, exciting promos, and the best bets straight to your inbox

Stokastic.com - Daily Fantasy Sports and Sports Betting Data, Tools, & Analytics

Please play responsibly. Only customers 21 and over are permitted to play. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.