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Milivojevic or McNeil: EPL DFS | DraftKings $25K to First Showdown | June 29

Jovanni Vidal



Please enjoy these FREE Bundesliga DFS Picks: Cheatsheets for June 13 on FanDuel, based off Alex 'Awesemo' Baker's projections.

Welcome to EPL DFS for June 29 (6/29/20). Here you’ll find our top picks, all things considered. The players who have price-considered floor/ceiling on DraftKings are especially highlighted. Keep in mind that teams are now allowed five substitutions instead of three due to lack of training during the hiatus.

EPL is BACK! Get your first week of Awesemo+ Soccer for only $1 when you use promo code AWESEMOEPL. This give you access to all of the Awesemo+ Soccer projections and our premium expert chat. There’s never been a better time to give EPL DFS a shot! This is offer is valid through June 28.

Other English Premier League DFS content this week:

EPL Odds Report

Crystal Palace (+128) vs. Burnley (+270), O/U 2

The EPL DFS Breakdown

We have a showdown of two closely matched teams in the EPL. Crystal Palace has an expected goals against of 41.1%, Burnley 39.4%. Burnley has the slight edge in offense with an expected goals of 34.6%, compared to Crystal Palace’s 29%. Chris Wood is still out for Burnley, and he accounted for 33% of their overall scoring.

Both squads rank bottom-three in the EPL in overall shot volume. They both get above-average shots per game (Burnley 14, Crystal Palace 13.8), but do not quite have the players to capitalize on all those chances. I expect a low-scoring affair with Crystal Palace edging out Burnley 1-0.

These picks are listed in order of what I believe are the top plays, including median projection, floor and upside.

Note: For players not used in the Captain or MVP spot, they are priority in Flex.

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Captain Picks

Luka Milivojevic (DraftKings $12,600, FanDuel $13)

In what is expected a tight defensive game, Milivojevic provides a floor with upside at a discounted price. He ranks 16th in the EPL in crossing volume and controls the set piece shares. I expect him to play but if he does not, I would slot Patrick van Aanholt (DraftKings $12,000, FanDuel $10) as a top Captain play for DraftKings. Milivojevic contributes with shots and shot assists. He also allows you to pay up for a few other floor plays to round the lineup without punting.

Luka Miliovjevic 2019-2020 stats: 3 goals, 26 shots, 128 crosses.

Dwight McNeil (DraftKings $15,900, FanDuel $15)

The alternative floor play is McNeil. On FanDuel where the MVP spot does not cost more salary, McNeil has the advantage over Milivojevic. McNeil is sixth in the EPL in crossing volume and splits the set pieces with Ashley Westwood. Both are expected to be in the game, but the absence of one would increase the value of the other. McNeil is involved in 23% of Burnley’s overall scoring and provides shots and assisted shots in volume.

Dwight McNeil 2019-2020 stats: 2 goals, 6 assists, 45 shots assisted, 202 crosses.

Other Options: Ashley Westwood (DraftKings $11,400, FanDuel $9), Patrick van Aanholt (DraftKings $12,000, FanDuel $10) (Not MVP able on FanDuel).

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Flex Picks

Jordan Ayew (DraftKings $10,00, FanDuel $15)

Goals win GPPs and Ayew is the scorer for Crystal Palace. You can choose to slot him as the captain or MVP, but with two solid defenses in action, you are hunting for a brace. He is top-40 in the EPL in shot volume and hits the target at an accuracy clip of 47.8%. Ayew contributes on 36% of Crystal Palace’s overall scoring and draws 2.77 fouls per game.

Jordan Ayew 2019-2020 stats: 9 goals, 47 shots, 83 fouls drawn..

Andros Townsend (DraftKings $5,000, FanDuel $8)

With Wilfried Zaha expected out, Townsend should get plenty of volume usage. He creates crosses from open play and mixes in drawn fouls and assisted shots. He is less of a sub risk with Zaha out, and would be in line for corner piece shares late in game if van Aanholt or Milivojevic were to sub out.

Andros Townsend 2019-2020 stats: 8 shots assisted, 38 crosses, 17 appearances.

Wayne Hennessey (DraftKings $6,800)/ Nick Pope (DraftKings $5,600)

These two goalkeepers come in dangerous spots. The win equity is not in any of Hennessey nor Nick Pope‘s favor, and a goal in a low-scoring affair would sink the value of one or both. Choosing one is hunting for the shutout win and it comes down to which team you favor. If you favor Crystal Palace to get the win, Hennessey pairs well with Ayew or Milivojevic as the scorer. Pope pairs well with Matej Vydra, Jay Rodriguez or McNeil as the scorer. To their individual skills, Pope averages 3.04 saves a game, while Hennessey averages 5.34 saves a game but has a small sample size in place of injured Vicente Guaita. Going back to last season, Hennessey averaged 2.34 saves a game.

Other Options: Matej Vydra (DraftKings $6,400, FanDuel $12), Jay Rodriguez (DraftKings $8,800, FanDuel $14), Joel Ward (DraftKings $6,000, FanDuel $5), James Tarkowski (DraftKings $4,400, FanDuel $10), Charlie Taylor (DraftKings $7,200, FanDuel $6).

Related EPL Content

Jovanni Vidal is accountant and finance analyst, with lifetime passion for fantasy sports. He has provided content and player analysis for season-long fantasy sites. He joined Awesemo to help new and current DFS soccer players learn new approaches to the game and how to succeed, with an overall goal to grow the DFS soccer sport and various league content offerings. You can reach him on Twitter @fluff_marsh.

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