Welcome to EPL DFS for Nov. 2. Here you’ll find our top EPL DFS picks, all things considered. EPL teams will resume back to standard three-max substitutes per game, which had been changed to five during the return to play.
EPL Odds Report
Fulham (+140) vs. West Bromwich Albion (+200), O/U 2.5
Leeds United (+155) vs. Leicester City (+160), O/U 2.5
EPL DFS Picks DraftKings + FanDuel Breakdown | Nov. 2
These are listed in order of what I believe are the top plays, including median projection, floor and upside.
EPL DFS Picks: Forward/Midfield
Callum Robinson (DraftKings $6,200 FanDuel $18)
Karlan Grant (DraftKings $7,000 FanDuel $13)
Matheus Pereira (DraftKings $8,800 FanDuel $16)
West Bromwich is taking on a Fulham team that is second worst defensively in the EPL. Sow while West Bromwich is the lowest-scoring offense, the matchup is favorable with Matheus Pereira being a core play in all formats. Pereira controls the sets for his club and averages 1.83 shots, four crosses and 2.83 drawn fouls per game.
Callum Robinson looks set to return, and the lack of offense could see a spark. He is averaging 50% scoring in his starts, and added a created chance off the bench to tie the game in their last outing. He might get paired with Karlan Grant, which makes a dual threat of strikers that can find the back of the net against an inept defense. Grant has a goal in two starts, and another was called back due to offside. I like both has GPP options when the ownership will be drawn to Aleksandar Mitrovic, Patrick Bamford and Jamie Vardy.
Tom Cairney (DraftKings $6,000 FanDuel $7)
Ademola Lookman (DraftKings $7,600 FanDuel $14)
On the comeback to the first match of the slate, Fulham’s matchup is also a plus. West Bromwich has 10.8 expected goals against, ranking them last in the EPL. Tom Cairney comes too cheap for the set-piece share he controls. He adds to his value with 1.8 drawn fouls per game and 2.2 assisted shots per game.
Ademola Lookman is a versatile wing that has yet to get the scoring going. He can contribute with open-play crosses and averages three shots, 1.33 drawn fouls and two assisted shots per game. You can add Mitrovic to the pairing for exposure to the goal-scoring threats in a match that looks to be the highest scoring of the two on the slate.
Jack Harrison (DraftKings $7,500 FanDuel $15)
Jamie Vardy (DraftKings $9,200 FanDuel $21)
The Leeds United – Leicester City match looks to be a tight one. I like choosing one-offs from the match, with Bamford and James Maddison both in play. Jack Harrison has seen his price rise, but the winger is often involved in the offensive pressure. He averages 5.6 crosses, 2.6 assisted shots and 2.2 tackles won/interceptions per game. On the comeback, we have the leagues leading scorer from a year ago.
Jamie Vardy finds ways to score regardless of matchup. He is top 10 in the EPL in overall scoring. The asking price for Leicester City’s striker is high, and he needs a goal and a few shots to pay it off. I still like him to find the back of the net against a Leeds squad sitting below mid tier in the EPL. Vardy is averaging a goal a game and provides brace upside.
Other Options: James Maddison (DraftKings $8,500, FanDuel $16), Aleksander Mitrovic (DraftKings $7,900, FanDuel $17), Patrick Bamford (DraftKings $8,200, FanDuel $20), Ruben Loftus-Cheek (DraftKings $4,000, FanDuel $12).
EPL DFS Picks: Defender
Darnell Furlong (DraftKings $5,400 FanDuel $14)
Darnell Furlong averages 5.5 open-play crosses, drawn fouls and 1.4 shots and assisted shots per game. Furlong has a high ask and contributes on offense and defense. He provides a safe floor, and his volume looks to increase taking on a Fulham squad that ranks in second and third worst in the EPL in on-ball pressure after the attacking third is broken. Furlong should help launch the counter punches and could draw increased fouls with offensive aggression from his opponents.
Other Options: James Justin (DraftKings $5,500, FanDuel $10), Luke Ayling (DraftKings $5,100, FanDuel $14), Ola Aina (DraftKings $4,600, FanDuel $12), Conor Townsend (DraftKings $4,100, FanDuel $11).
Kasper Schmeichel (DraftKings $4,500 FanDuel $9)
Illan Meslier (DraftKings $4,700 FanDuel $10)
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