The Corner Kick: EPL DFS Picks DraftKings + FanDuel | Manchester United Onslaught? 1/27

Welcome to our EPL DFS coverage for Wednesday, Jan. 27. Here you’ll find our top EPL DFS picks for DraftKings and FanDuel, which consider all aspects of the slate, from projections to pricing to popularity across soccer DFS. These picks should help you create highly projected lineups in DraftKings EPL and FanDuel EPL tournaments and cash games.

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EPL Odds Report

Burnley (+290) vs. Aston Villa (-110), O/U 2.5

Chelsea (-175) vs. Wolverhampton (+475), O/U 3.5

Brighton (+110) vs. Fulham (+260), O/U 2.5

Manchester United (-400) vs. Sheffield United (+1,000), O/U 3.5

Everton (+180) vs. Leicester City (+155), O/U 3.5

EPL DFS Picks DraftKings + FanDuel Lineups | Jan. 27

These are listed in order of what I believe are the top plays, including median projection, floor and upside.

EPL DFS Picks: Forwards/ Midfielders

James Maddison (DraftKings $9,500 FanDuel $18)

Bruno Fernandez (DraftKings $10,200 FanDuel $23)

Leicester City has the best road matchup on the slate. Everton sports a mid-tier home defense in the EPL, with an expected goals allowed of 11.7. Leicester will be without Jamie Vardy, so James Maddison looks to carry the load. He averages 3.82 shots and assisted shots, 4.11 crosses and 2.35 drawn fouls per match. Without Vardy his shot volume sees a slight uptick and he has contributed on 22% of his club’s overall scoring, despite missing two matches. Alongside him, Youri Tielemans offers value at less than $6,000. Tielemans pushes more in the offense when Vardy is out, and offers 1.73 shots and assisted shots along with 2.52 open play crosses per match. Harvey Barnes should get plenty of attack volume as well, and is a GPP option for goal hunting.

Bruno Fernandez comes with a high asking price, as usual. He does it all for the first place Manchester United. He gets a plus match up against a Sheffield United team that ranks mid tier in road defense, with an expected goals against of 13.3. Fernandez averages 5.63 shots and assisted shots along with 6.26 crosses per match. Sheffield United ranks first in the EPL in fouls, at 12.84 per match. Manchester United should have their way in this match and Fernandes is a core play in all formats. If Marcus Rashford is fit to play he is a solid pairing with shot volume and goal contribution 33% of his club’s overall scoring. Without Rashford, value opens with Anthony Martial, Edison Cavani, and Mason Greenwood. I would try to fit as much of the United players as possible, including GPP flyers on Paul Pogba. 

Timo Werner (DraftKings $6,600 FanDuel $19)

Hakim Ziyech (DraftKings $8,000 FanDuel $14)

Chelsea have a new manager and the lineup could be mixed around. Timo Werner looks to return to the starting rotation and comes in too cheap for a goal hunting option. The free style offense Tuchel brings helped Paris Saint-Germain and the talent is there for Chelsea. They also have a plus matchup against a Wolverhampton club that sits below mid tier in the EPL, allowing an expected goals against of 12.8. I expect Chelsea will play with a fire under their new manager. Werner sees an uptick in shot volume in full game runs to 2.8 shots per match and handles the PK for his club. He has contributed on 24.2% of Chelsea’s overall scoring on the year and allows salary relief to fit in Manchester United’s attack without going full punt. His goal dependency makes him a GPP option.

Hakim Ziyech also should benefit from a free flow attack by the wingers. He averages 3.9 crosses per match to compliment 2.9 shots and assisted shots. Depending on who starts, Tammy Abraham and Olivier Giroud offer goal hunting options as the number nine’s. The toughest player to pinpoint is Mason Mount. It is yet to be determined if he remains with set piece shares now that Lampard is gone. At the asking price of $8,800, I will not be getting to Mount with this uncertainty. Christian Pulisic is an option in GPP to pivot off Ziyech, Werner, or Mount.

Neal Maupay (DraftKings $6,300 FanDuel $17)

Ademola Lookman (DraftKings $7,200 FanDuel $15)

Brighton welcome a Fulham squad with an expected goals allowed on the road of 13.1. Fulham is much improved in recent form, but so is Brighton’s offense. Fulham drew against Tottenham and kept Chelsea and Manchester United to 1.5 expected goals a piece. Brighton broke through the defense of West Ham, Wolverhampton and Leeds United. They failed to score against Manchester City and Arsenal in recent form but those are two of the top defenses in the EPL. Neal Maupay comes in at a discount and makes a solid GPP goal hunting option. He averages 2.29 shots per match and has accounted for 36.3% of his club’s overall scoring. Alongside Maupay Solly March provides a floor with set piece shares and offensive contributions.

On the other side of the pitch, Ademola Lookman provides a quality EPL DFS pivot on the goal hunting. He contributes on 40% of his club’s overall scoring and provides a floor with 2.4 shots per match and 1.93 drawn fouls. Brighton ranks fourth overall in the EPL in fouls, at 12.15 per match. Lookman sees an uptick in drawn fouls against similar opponents to 3.5 per match. Ivan Cavaleiro offers salary relief GPP option to pair with Lookman. Cavaleiro averages 2.75 shots and assisted shots and 3.25 crosses per match.

Ollie Watkins (DraftKings $7,500 FanDuel $17)

Burney is the third overall home defense in the EPL, with an expected goals against of 8.8. Aston Villa sports the fifth overall road offense, at 13.2 expected goals. With much attention to Manchester United and Chelsea, Aston Villa should go under owned given match up and price. I still have a lot of interest in them. Ollie Watkins is a goal hunting option, with 29% goal contribution for his club and 2.7 shots per match. Jack Grealish is in a pay up pivot spot at $9,100. Grealish Leads the EPL with 4.7 drawn fouls per match. He offers a floor build on 3.5 crosses per match and 6 shots and assisted shots. His numbers are on an uptick with goal contribution upside since the insertion of Anwar El Ghazi and Bertrand Traore into the lineup. Both of them are upside plays to pair with an Aston Villa stack.

Other Options: Pedro Neto (DraftKings $7,900, FanDuel $18), James Rodriguez (DraftKings $8,600, FanDuel $16), Richarlison (DraftKings $8,200, FanDuel $19), Ashley Barnes (DraftKings $5,500, FanDuel $13).

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EPL DFS Picks: Defenders

Alex Telles (DraftKings $5,700 FanDuel $9)

The top defenders are priced accordingly, Ben Chilwell, Lucas Digne, and Reece James sit in the $5,800-6,700 price range. They are solid options but my pay up preference will be Alex Telles. If Luke Shaw starts over Telles, he fits the same role. Telles handles corner sets and open play crossing volume sees 6.5 crosses per match. He averages 1.83 shots and assisted shots and would see an uptick with goal contribution upside against Sheffield.

One thing to note is the Chelsea wing backs might be shuffled around. If they are I would have more interest in Chilwell or James if the other sits. To make room for the midfielders and attack I want, I would play one top tier defender and punt the other in EPL DFS lineups.

Other Options: Matthew Cash (DraftKings $5,400, FanDuel $14), Timothy Castagne (DraftKings $4,000, FanDuel $9).

EPL DFS Picks: Goalkeepers

Alphonse Areola (DraftKings $4,200 FanDuel $8)

Kasper Schmeichel (DraftKings $4,800 FanDuel $10)

Emiliano Martinez (DraftKings $5,300 FanDuel $12)


Related EPL Content


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Author
Jovanni Vidal is accountant and finance analyst, with lifetime passion for fantasy sports. He has provided content and player analysis for season-long fantasy sites. He joined Stokastic to help new and current DFS soccer players learn new approaches to the game and how to succeed, with an overall goal to grow the DFS soccer sport and various league content offerings. You can reach him on Twitter @fluff_marsh.

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