Welcome to our EPL DFS coverage for Tuesday, Jan. 13. Here you’ll find our top EPL DFS picks for DraftKings and FanDuel, which consider all aspects of the slate from projection to pricing to popularity across soccer DFS.
EPL Odds Report
Manchester City (-714) vs. Brighton & Hove Albion (+1,500), O/U 2.5
Tottenham (-250) vs. Fulham (+650), O/U 2.5
EPL DFS Picks DraftKings + FanDuel Lineups | Jan. 13
These are listed in order of what I believe are the top plays, including median projection, floor and upside.
Harry Kane (DraftKings $9,800 FanDuel $23)
Kevin De Bruyne (DraftKings $10,800 FanDuel $22)
Fulham sports a below average road defense, with an expected goals against of 10.8. Tottenham has an above average offense when at home in the EPL, with an expected goals of 11.1. Harry Kaneis the second-scorer for the club, taking on some direct set pieces. He falls behind Son Hueng-Min but comes at a discount and handles the PK duties. Kane ranks second overall in the EPL in shot volume, with a 35% on-target accuracy. The safer floor lies with Son, but I will take the salary relief and scoring upside that Kane brings. Pairing the two could pay off but will leave you strapped for punts.
Kevin De Bruyneis in play in all formats and today is no different. He ranks fourth overall in the EPL in crossing volume, which comes from corner kicks. He averages 6.41 shots and assisted shots per game. Manchester City gets a plus match up against a Brighton team with a mid tier defense on the road, allowing an expected goals against of 10. De Buryne handles the PK duties and depending on the starting rotation, makes a solid pairing with a discounted Gabriel Jesus or Phil Foden on the wing.
Solly March (DraftKings $6,700 FanDuel $10)
Tom Cairney (DraftKings $5,900 FanDuel $10)
Solly March provides a solid floor, taking set piece shares for the club. The 6.18 crosses per match are around what we can expect with a downtick in the 2.43 shots and assisted shots per match. The matchup is far from ideal, coming against the first ranked home defense in the EPL. A GPP pivot would be pairing him with a discounted Leandro Trossard or Neal Maupay.
Tom Cairney sees the more favorable match up against the seventh overall home defense in the EPL, and provides corner set shares for Fulham. Cairney’s 3.7 crosses per game see near double that total when he starts and runs the length of the match. If he starts he is one of the better cash values. His 2.7 shots and assisted shots also increase if he starts and make him interesting as a GPP one off.
Ilkay Gundogan (DraftKings $6,200 FanDuel $13)
The Manchester City offense ranks sixth overall at home in the EPL. In their recent four matches across all competitions they have improved the expected goals average to 2.32 per match. I would want as much exposure to the offensive scoring, but not at the expense of Kane or Son. Ilkay Gundogan has become more involved and looks to continue. In his most recent stretch he has produced the shot volume and assisted shot volume, while converting a goal in three of four matches. With the high asking prices on Foden, Jesus, Riyad Mahrez and even Raheem Sterling, I like slotting in Gundogan for salary relief.
Other Options: Phil Foden (DraftKings $8,000, FanDuel $16), Gabriel Jesus (DraftKings $7,500, FanDuel $19), Ivan Cavaleiro (DraftKings $5,200, FanDuel $14), Tanguy Ndombele (DraftKings $5,500, FanDuel $11), Son Hueng-Min (DraftKings $10,500, FanDuel $21).
EPL DFS Picks: Defenders
Ruben Dias (DraftKings $2,800 FanDuel $13)
John Stones (DraftKings $3,200 FanDuel $14)
Ruben Dias and John Stones are pure punts that follow the theme of stacking as much Manchester City and Tottenham as possible. You won’t expect much from them, but the center backs all around are priced too high. The price point value lies in Antonee Robinson and Ola Aina and Joel Vetman on FandDuel. If Ben Davis is starting he is free on FanDuel as well.
Other Options: Ben Davis (DraftKings $5,000, FanDuel $6), Lewis Dunk (DraftKings $2,900, FanDuel $14), Joao Cancelo (DraftKings $5,700, FanDuel $15).
EPL DFS Picks: Goalkeeper
Ederson (DraftKings $5,800 FanDuel $14)
Alphonse Areola (DraftKings $4,100 FanDuel $9)
Related EPL Content
- VIDEO: The EPL DFS Strategy Show with Alex ‘Awesemo’ Baker and Jovanni Vidal
- EPL Soccer Projections for DraftKings
- EPL Soccer Projections for FanDuel
Looking for more EPL DFS picks content? We have loads of articles, data, cheat sheets and more on the Awesemo EPL home page. Just click HERE.