Premier League DFS daily fantasy (EPL) is back in action this Saturday, Matchday 14. It’s a very interesting slate with a mixture of high flying attacks in great spots and dull slug fests. Christian Pulisic is one name to keep an eye on in your tournament lineups. Here you’ll find a break down of each position, as well as an overall analysis of the slate ahead for both cash and tournament builds for DraftKings and FanDuel. We have great soccer content each and every week here at Awesemo, so stay up to date on it all by following @Awesemo_Com and @tristanhoh on Twitter!
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EPL DFS Odds Report
Crystal Palace (+245) @ Burnley (+115) // OU 2.5 (+125 over)
West Ham (+900) @ Chelsea (-350) // OU 3.5 (EVEN over)
Brighton (+1300) @ Liverpool (-500) // OU 3.5 (+110 over)
Bournemouth (+650) @ Tottenham (-265) // OU 3.0 (-125 over)
Watford (+250) @ Southampton (+115) // OU 2.5 (-115 over)
Considering Liverpool are largest favorites on the slate, we’ll start with them. While the deadly front three are all viable, it’s tough to get behind any with confidence in a main build as all three carry low floors. That said, the ceilings are high so I wouldn’t be opposed to using Mo Salah, Sadio Mane, and/or Roberto Firmino in any format. Pound for pound, my favorite here is probably Firmino given how he’s looked of late, his consistent stream of shot volume, and most of all, his price.
Next up is Chelsea, where the up-and-coming striker Tammy Abraham is expected to miss. That should thrust Michy Batshuayi into the starting lineup. I’m personally a sucker for the Belgian and will probably be heavily exposed to ‘Batman’. Willian is another great play, who’s taken on a much larger role of set pieces of late, giving him one of the highest projectable floors on the slate. USA’s own Christian Pulisic is great as always, with five goals in his last four starts.
Mourinho led Tottenham are yet another sizable favorite, but how do we find exposure there with Liverpool and Chelsea in such great spots? Harry Kane and Heung Min Son are priced more than fairly, and while it’s a good spot at home against Bournemouth, I rate Liverpool and Chelsea higher here. Both Kane and Son are very viable though, especially in GPP. If multi-entering, I’d recommend taking a stand on the duo, either going heavy overweight, or heavy underweight. I expect them to hover around 20%.
Dwight McNeil may be a somewhat popular option at forward, and while the floor is secure there, the optimal route at forward seems to be spending up for the three favored sides. Palace @ Burnley has the lowest OU on the slate though, and 8K is a hefty fee for McNeil.
Honorable Mentions: Gerard Deulofeu, Lucas Moura, Nathan Redmond, Sebastien Haller
Whether or not Mourinho starts Christian Eriksen will be a major component of how this slate turns out. If we see Eriksen in the starting lineup, he becomes a fantastic play, and likely kills most of Harry Winks newly found set piece value. Winks is solid either way at his price for cash, but without Eriksen he’d undoubtedly be the best punt on the board. The upside will always be limited with a player in a holding midfield role.
Along with the heap of midfield eligible forwards, we have a few one-offs on the favorites such as Mason Mount, Dele Alli, and Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain. None of these guys are cash viable, but do have paths to ceiling and thus deserve some GPP consideration.
Robbie Brady is another Burnley man who may garner some ownership. The Irishman was long a staple of safety, but faded out of the lineup with injuries. Ashley Westwood’s suspension could see to him starting, and he’d likely take set pieces given his fantastic delivery on crosses. He’d be a fine value.
Honorable Mentions: James Ward-Prowse, Ryan Fraser, Luka Milivojevich
Surprise, surprise, Trent Alexander-Arnold is yet again a core option and the top defender on the board. Liverpool are the largest favorites on the slate, which credits toward his odds at a clean sheet bonus. No need to overthink it – if you’re playing cash games you should play TAA. He’s obviously a fantastic play in tournaments as well, but not a must. Fading him hypothetically leads to roster construction with higher upside.
I’d be remiss to keep Serge Aurier out of the conversation, who’s been pretty great under Mourinho thus far on the attacking side of things. He’s got a goal and an assist through two matches with five key passes.
Jose Holebas still has a strong role on set pieces despite Deulofeu cutting into them at times. For sub 5K on DraftKings, he remains a fair play. It’s not thrilling by any means and he’s a shoo-in for a yellow card, but the floor should remain intact.
Honorable Mentions: Andrew Robertson, Charlie Taylor
The top options are clear, in Alisson and Paulo Gazzaniga. If you don’t have money to blow on goalkeeper though – which you probably will not – both keepers in the Burnley/Palace affair seem solid bets in an ugly game, as does Ben Foster on the road in a match where Southampton shouldn’t struggle to put some shots on target.
Honorable Mentions: Aaron Ramsdale
Thanks for reading!