Aside from the Dzyuba brace, yesterday went as well as it could have, with all the big favorites winning in style. Two of the four core members bagged braces: Depay of Netherlands and Petkovic of Croatia. We move onto Friday, where for some reason, DraftKings decided to include the insanely large favorites of Portugal on the slate against unmatched Luxembourg. Cristiano Ronaldo and his friends will be tough to avoid. We’ve got a bunch of these UEFA Euro 2020 Qualification fantasy soccer slates coming up on DraftKings, so buckle in for a fun and profitable ride!
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England (-190) @ Czech Republic (+500) // Total 2.5 (-130 over)
Luxembourg (+4000) @ Portugal (-2000) // Total 2.5 (-315 over)
Albania (+750) @ Turkey (-245) // Total 2.5 (+120 over)
France (-200) @ Iceland (+600) // Total 2.5 (-110 over)
A particularly straight forward slate, as it’s virtually impossible to get away with fading Portugal. England and France are decently sized favorites but are traveling long distances in tough road environments. Portugal hosts the seventh-smallest country in Europe, likely to bag three or four relatively easily. Turkey and Albania will square off in one that looks to be tight, but should see to the Turks getting the job done.
Expected Set Piece Takers
England: Chilwell, Mount, Alexander-Arnold
Czech Republic: Darida, Jankto
Portugal: Fernandes, Bernardo
Turkey: Calhanoglu, Turuc
Iceland: Sigurdsson, Gudmundsson
Cristiano Ronaldo (Portugal / 11.4)
Any surprise here? Cristiano Ronaldo is sitting on 26 shots through four Euro 2020 qualification matches with five goals. He’s averaging 4.2 shots per game with Juventus this season, and honestly, he may double that tomorrow against a team that stands no chance at holding him down at home. He may be owned by three-fourths of the field tomorrow, but in theory, that’s still too low.
Bruno Fernandes (Portugal / 6.7)
DraftKings priced the Portugese play-maker too low, as Fernandes has been splitting set pieces with Manchester City’s Bernardo Silva (8.5) for Portugal. While he’s only nabbed an assist through two Euro 2020 qualification matches, I have reason to believe that positive goal variance is coming his way. For his club, Sporting CP, he’s sitting on six goals and five assists through eight matches in all competitions, averaging 2.2 shots per game and 3.5 shots assisted. Fernandes’ floor and ceiling combo is neck and neck for the best on the slate, along with Portugese compatriot Ronaldo.
Ricardo Pereira (Portugal / 4.8) Leicester City’s Ricardo Pereira is having a great season, averaging 0.5 shots per game, 0.6 shots assisted, 1.8 interceptions, 4.4 tackles won, along with a few crosses. He is a true jack of all trades. With usual right back Joao Cancelo out of the squad, we could see Pereira pick up a start here in a role he should thrive in. The clean sheet is very likely as well. We could end up seeing Nelson Semedo (4.4) start, and in that case, the pivot is Ben Chilwell (5.5).
With Pereira and Chilwell both out, the pivot is either Kieran Trippier or a punt of the position.
Gylfi Sigurdsson (Iceland / 5.3)
This isn’t a play I’m overly excited about, as it’s never the most fun thing in the world to go against France. But Gyfi Sigurdsson’s role with Iceland is outstanding, regardless of matchup. In the reverse fixture in France, he managed 6.7 DraftKings points, and Iceland didn’t even record a corner. Here at home, they’ll have a little bit more freedom going forward, and my guess is that he tops his previous mark against France. The most appealing part about Gylfi here is the price. $5300 fits in almost any type of build and allows you to get all the Portugal exposure that you need.
Thanks for reading!