We’re into the quarterfinals of the Australian Open and only the best of the best remain. The eighth slate of this tennis DFS week has eight matches with ATP and WTA players in action. We have thoughts on Novak Djokovic and Ashleigh Barty, so let’s dive in.
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Novak Djokovic (DraftKings $10,300; FanDuel $4)
Djokovic has played some excellent tennis this week and we’ve seen why he’s the best player on the planet. He is currently riding a 12-match winning streak, including wins over Daniil Medvedev and Rafael Nadal. Djokovic has broken his opponent’s serve 14 times in the last three matches while facing just three break points. He’s winning 86% of first serve points, and at this rate, they could just hand him the title. He is a massive -150 favorite to win this tournament and I think he will take it down if he avoids his kryptonite Stan Wawrinka.
Djokovic is up against Milos Raonic, the ATP No. 35 from Canada. Raonic is a man on a mission so far this week, winning all 12 sets including wins over Stefanos Tsitsipas and Marin Cilic. He’s fired down 82 aces so far this week while winning 87% of first serve points. However, Raonic has had no success against Djokovic. Djokovic is 8-0 against RAonic, including winning 11 of the 12 sets on hard courts. Djokovic’s return game is unmatched, and I expect him to get through this in straight sets.
Sofia Kenin (DraftKings $8,900; FanDuel $3)
Sofia Kenin was arguably one of the best hard court players in the 2019 season with a 38-16 record on the year. She took down titles in Hobart and Guangzhou, which also playing as an alternate at the WTA Finals. Kenin is 6-2 so far in 2020 and she’s been red hot to start the week. She’s serving aces at a 7% rate while winning 73% of first serve points, but the rallies and her baseline game is what win her matches. I think she’s going to wear her opponent down today while being a popular tennis DFS play.
Kenin has a quarterfinals matchup against Ons Jabeur, the WTA No. 78 from Tunisia. Jabeur has shocked the WTA tour so far, winning her first four matches against top-50 players. She’s served up just as many double faults as aces, yet she’s winning 70% of her first serve points. Jabeur has faced 27 break points so far this week and I think it’s going to catch up to her today. Kenin is 3-1 against Jabeur, including two straight-set wins in 2019.
Ashleigh Barty (DraftKings $8,000; FanDuel $2)
It took me a while to accept the fact that Barty was the real deal, and she showed me up last season. Barty was 57-13 in 2019 while capturing four titles, including the WTA Finals and the French Open. There’s not much that she can’t do, as she lost just three matches on the grass and clay courts combined. 2020 has been just as good for Barty, capturing a title in Adelaide one week ago. She might be on her way to another major title and I’m sure she’d love to get one in her home country.
Barty will face off against Petra Kvitova, the WTA No. 7. Kvitova has been unstoppable this week, winning all six sets. Kvitova is coming off of blowout wins over Ekaterina Alexandrova and Maria Sakkari, winning 77% of first serve points. She is always a threat to take down any tournament she plays in, but this will be a tall task for her. Barty won all three matches against Kvitova in 2019, with all of them coming on hard courts. You can’t pass up on Barty and her tennis DFS price.
Stan Wawrinka (DraftKings $7,000; FanDuel N/A)
I don’t know what it is about Wawrinka, but when it comes to majors, he kicks it into another gear. Warinka is coming off of an exceptional performance against Daniil Medvedev, winning the final two sets to pull off a fifth-set win. His backhand was on display and he was firing on all cylinders. He is serving aces at a 21% rate this week while winning 84% of first serve points. Wawrinka is coming for his fourth major title, and I think he has a legit chance to get it this week.
Wawrinka is up against Alexander Zverev, the ATP No. 7 from Germany. Zverev has been inconsistent as of late and it’s becoming quite frustrating to watch. I’m not sure what got into him this week, but Zverev has played some excellent tennis. He is yet to drop a set while dropping just two service games in his last three matches. Zverez has 44 aces on the week, winning 84% of first serve points as well. He has the 2-0 head-to-head advantage on Wawrinka, but neither were at major tournaments. I’m rolling with Warinka to come out on top.
Best of luck!