We’re into day three of this week’s tennis action and we have a ton of top talent to breakdown. The third slate of this tennis DFS week has 18 matches with ATP and WTA players in action. We have thoughts on Jan-Lennard Struff and Denis Shapovalov, so let’s dive in.
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Jan-Lennard Struff (DraftKings $9,600; FanDuel N/A)
Jan-Lennard Struff is starting to make a name for himself on the tour, climbing to the ATP No.34 ranking. He was just 18-20 on hard courts in 2019, but only two losses came against players ranked outside the top 60. The German is one of the top servers in the game, firing down aces at a 15% rate while winning 80% of first serve points. Struff was 2-1 at the ATP Cup last week, falling only to Nick Kyrgios in a tight two-set battle. He has the weapons to compete against the best and I hope to see that in today’s match.
Struff will face off against Alex Bolt, the ATP No. 157 from Australia. Bolt played only seven matches on the ATP tour in 2019, with a 3-4 record on hard courts. Similar to Struff, Bolt has a big serve but it isn’t quite as effective. In his first match this week, Bolt fired down 11 aces while having to save four out of the seven break points he faced. He doesn’t have the experience to be able to take down the top players yet, which is why I’m rolling with Struff for tennis DFS.
Denis Shapovalov (DraftKings $9,000; FanDuel N/A)
Denis Shapovalov is a man on a mission at the moment and I think he’s going to crack the top 10 soon. Shapovalov is 36-19 on the hard courts since the start of the 2019 season and his serve is giving players all sorts of trouble. He fired down aces at a 15% rate at the ATP Cup and he managed to take down both Stefanos Tsitsipas and Alexander Zverev. Shapovalov hasn’t lost a hard court match against a player ranked outside the top 50 since March and I don’t see that ending anytime soon.
Shapovalov has a meeting with Vasek Pospisil, the ATP No. 146 from Canada. Pospisil played quite a few challenger level matches in 2019, but he found success on the ATP tour as well. He was 6-5, including three wins over top-15 players, which proves he has the game to compete at this level. Pospisil has a big serve, as he fired down aces at a 15% rate while holding serve 89% of the time in 2019. However, Shapovalov is on another level at the moment and it’ll take an almost flawless game from Pospisil to keep up. I’m taking Shapovalov for tennis DFS in this all-Canadian matchup.
Elena Rybakina (DraftKings $8,300; FanDuel N/A)
Elena Rybakina had an outstanding 2019 season, as she absolutely skyrocketed up the WTA rankings. Rybakina started the season as the world No. 192, and now she’s sitting in the 36th spot. She was 37-14 on the year in WTA tour matches, including seven wins against top-60 players. Rybakina’s play style fits best on the clay courts but she’s shown that it can work on the hard courts as well. She’s taken down three top-50 players so far in 2020, while reaching the final in Shenzhen.
Rybakina has a second-round matchup against Alize Cornet, the WTA No. 60 from France. Cornet was solid on the hard courts in 2019 with a 16-14 record. She managed to get back-to-back wins only five times and won only three matches against top-50 players. Cornet is 3-1 in 2020, but she has not been dominant especially on the service end. She faced 43 break points in those four matches, losing 18 of them. I think Rybakina is by far the better player at the moment, and she should win in straight sets at a cheap price for tennis DFS.
Possible upset/value plays: Danielle Collins (DraftKings $7,400; FanDuel N/A)
Danielle Collins has to be one of the most inconsistent players on the WTA tour. With a 14-11 record on hard courts last year, you never know where her head is going to be. She reached the semifinals at the Australian Open, taking down three top-20 players in straight sets before she bowed out to Petra Kvitova. However, she has started this 2020 season with a bang, posting a 3-1 record while winning all three matches in dominant fashion. She could have a tough match today, but it’s worth a shot at the price.
Collins will go up against Sofia Kenin, the WTA No. 15 from the U.S. Kenin had an outstanding 2019 season, with a 49-23 record. She captured three titles on the year, two of which came on the hard courts. Kenin was 5-10 against top-10 players. However. all of the matches could have gone either way in the end. Her first match this week was a 6-0 6-4 beatdown over Viktorija Golubic, winning 85% of first serve points. Collins has the 2-0 head to head record in this matchup, with both wins coming in 2017. Kenin will probably be one of the most popular plays, but when Collins is hot, she’s hard to stop.
Best of luck!