We’re getting into the final rounds of this week’s tournaments, and some of the game’s top players will be on display. The fifth slate of this tennis DFS week has eight matches with WTA players in action. We have thoughts on Petra Kvitova and Naomi Osaka, so let’s dive in.
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Petra Kvitova (DraftKings $9,500; FanDuel N/A)
Petra Kvitova had an outstanding 2019 season with a 37-16 record. She captured titles in Sydney and Stuttgart while reaching the finals at the Australian Open and in Dubai. The WTA No. 7 has had a solid start to the week, dropping just one set on her way to the quarterfinals. She’s firing down aces at a 10% rate while winning 68% of all service points and she’s showing a title contender mentality.
Kvitova will face off against Jennifer Brady, the WTA No. 53 from the U.S. Brady had a solid 2019 season on the hard courts with a 25-15 record. She was rather impressive against top-20 players by going 4-4, but one loss came against Kvitova in February. Kvitova took care of business in three sets while converting on three of her 11 break point chances. Brady ran through all of her qualifying matches this week and took down both Maria Sharapova and Ashleigh Barty but I think Kvitova will be too much for the American. For tennis DFS, I’m taking the Czech to win in straight sets.
Naomi Osaka (DraftKings $9,000; FanDuel N/A)
When Naomi Osaka is playing her best tennis, she is by far the best player on the WTA tour. Osaka, currently sitting at the WTA No. 4 ranking, was 29-6 on the hard courts in 2019. Naomi took down the Australian Open title by defeating three top-10 players in a row and she didn’t let her foot off the gas. She’s currently on a 14-game win streak dating back to last season, including a title win in Beijing. I don’t see anyone being able to take her down this week, so we’re going to roll with her the whole way for tennis DFS.
Osaka will face off against Kiki Bertens, the WTA No. 9. While Bertens is a top-10 player, the hard courts are not her favorite surface. She was just 29-18 last season on this hard surfaces while capturing one title in January. Bertens had two tough matches already this week, with three sets wins over Anett Kontaveit and Dayana Yastremska. However, Bertens is getting hammered on her second serves, winning just 39% of those points. The head to head record is tied 1-1 but Osaka is by far the more comfortable player on this surface.
Ekaterina Alexandrova (DraftKings $7,900; FanDuel N/A)
Ekaterina Alexandrova played some lights out tennis in 2019 with a 34-16 record on the hard courts. Sitting at the WTA No. 34 ranking, Alexandrova is looking to take that next step on the WTA tour. Alexandrova took care of business as usual in her first three matches, losing just one set along the way. Her “swinging for the fences” play style has its pros and cons, but when it’s working, it’s hard to stop. She’s winning 71% of first serve points this week while converting on 12 break point chances, so it’ll take a big server to slow her down.
Alexandrova has a meeting with Garbine Muguruza, the WTA No. 34 from Spain. Muguruza did not have a great 2019 season, with a 17-12 record on the hard courts. The former WTA No. 1 has not played at a top level over the last year or two and I don’t see that changing anytime soon. However, this week she has served at an incredible level, firing down aces at a 13% rate while winning 73% of first serve points. The Spaniard is far too inconsistent for me to back though, so I’m rolling with the Russian in this tennis DFS slate.
Possible upset/value plays: Danielle Collins (DraftKings $7,100; FanDuel N/A)
Danielle Collins has to be one of the most inconsistent players on the WTA tour. She reached the semifinals at the Australian Open, taking down three top-20 players in straight sets before she bowed out to Kvitova. But outside of that performance, Collins didn’t make much noise on the tour. However, she started this year out by obliterating the world No. 5 Elina Svitolina 6-1, 6-1 while serving aces at a 10% rate. Then she backed that up with a 6-1, 6-0 win over Yulia Putintseva. She has the game to beat anyone and I hope it continues onto today’s match.
Collins will face off against Madison Keys, the WTA No. 13 from the U.S. Keys had a horrible start to her 2019 season but she finished strong winning 13 of her last 17 matches. The American has had a hot start to this week, winning both matches in straight sets while firing down aces at a 12% rate. Collins owns the head-to-head record 1-0, as she took down Keys in straight sets on a hard court in 2018. With the way Collins is striking the ball right now, I don’t think anyone can stop her.
Best of luck!