Welcome back DFS tennis fans! It’s the last slate of the week, so let’s make it a good one. This week has been plagued with weather problems, as tons of matches have been suspended and postponed throughout the week. However, a few tournaments have been lucky enough to avoid it at times. The final slate of the week has 8 matches with both men and women in action.
The players listed below can be used in any contest, whether it’s for cash or GPP. I personally like to use the same lineup in both, since the goal is to pick players who are going to win their match. If you choose to go down the route of playing the “stars and scrubs” strategy, you might be forced to choose players who are bound to get crushed.
This strategy is risky as upsets happen quite often in tennis, and if one of your most expensive players gets beat you have a very low chance to cash. Let’s get into my top 3 plays for the slate!
Note: Tennis is available on DraftKings ONLY. This slate is best of three set scoring for all players.
Kiki Bertens $10,200
Kiki Bertens has been unstoppable so far this week, winning in straight sets in each match while dropping more than three games in only one set. The world number four is looking to capture another title in her young career, and I don’t see anyone getting in her way if she can keep this level of play up. Bertens is serving aces at an 11% rate while winning 78% of first serve points, which is relatively high for the WTA tour. On the return end, she’s won 13 break points and 60% of all second serve return points. She’ll face off against the world number 134, Elena Rybakina.
Rybakina ran through all five of her previous opponents, not dropping a set while dropping serve only six times. Her double fault rate is a bit high at 7%, but she’s been consistently winning in dominant fashion. However, she is yet to face someone ranked inside of the top 50, and Bertens will certainly be a tough task. Bertens is overall the better, stronger player, and I think she will get this done in straight sets.
Milos Raonic 9,300
Milos Raonic is handing out grass court clinics for free in Stuttgart, but it’s not a fun experience for the opponent. The former world number three is showing why he’s one of the most dangerous players on the grass, as his serve and volley game is almost impossible to beat. The big serving Canadian is firing down aces at a 26% rate while winning 89% of first serve points. He’s had his serve broken just once, and returning that big of a serve has to be frustrating for opponents.
He’ll face off against his fellow countryman, Felix Auger Aliassime. Felix has been the talk of the tour over the last few months, taking down big name players left and right, proving he’s one of the game’s new stars. He hadn’t played a single grass court match on the tour before this week, but he’s made the most of his opportunity.
Over his last two matches, the young Canadian has been serving aces at a 24% rate, but he’s managing to win only 48% on second serves. Felix has the game to compete with the best, but I think Raonic will be too much to handle. Felix has had his serve broken five times in this tournament, and one break for Raonic almost guarantees him a set. I’m going with Raonic in two tight sets.
Borna Coric $9,000
Borna Coric is making a run to try and get a spot in the ATP Finals at the end of the season, and he’s certainly making a case that he deserves it. The world number is playing solid grass court tennis so far in 2019, facing two rising stars but putting them away in the end. Coric is serving aces at a 17% rate this week while managing to get 70% of first serves in-play.
He has dropped serve three times, but he’s backed it up with seven games won on the return end. Coric is 7-1 over his last eight grass court matches including a win against the great Roger Federer, which shows that he is a threat to any opponent. His next match is against Adrian Mannarino, the world number 44 from France. Mannarino thrives on the grass as we’ve seen so far, but he is wildly inconsistent.
Over his last two matches, Mannarino won only 58% of first serve points and got broken nine times. Those kind of stats will not lead to success on grass, and it’s surprising that he’s still in this tournament. Coric will take advantage of that poor serving game and end this match in straight sets, at a somewhat cheap price.
Possible upset/value play: Caroline Garcia $7,400
Caroline Garcia is once again mispriced on DraftKings, so we will have to take advantage of that. Garcia has played outstanding tennis this week, dropping serve just once while firing aces at an 11% rate. On the return end, she’s converted on 11 break points while winning 62% of second serve points. The number one seed is the favorite to win this tournament, and I don’t see her next opponent getting in the way of that. Her next match is against the world number 80, Jennifer Brady.
Brady has had three impressive wins so far this week against top 50 opponents, but all of them have been clay court specialists. Her stats haven’t been great, winning 47% of second serve points while getting broken 11 times. Holding serve on grass is crucial due to the speed of the surface, and if she continues to lose her service games at that rate, Garcia will end this match quickly. Garcia is the favorite to win this match and should be priced at $8,300+, so don’t miss out on this value play.
Best of luck!