It’s Day Two of this tennis DFS week, and we have some important tournaments to breakdown. The second slate of this tennis DFS week has 12 matches with ATP and WTA players in action. We have thoughts on Daniil Medvedev and Denis Shapovalov, so let’s dive in.
Daniil Medvedev (DraftKings $10,300; FanDuel N/A)
Daniil Medvedev has been playing some of the best tennis that the game has ever seen over the last three months. He is 29-3 since Wimbledon while reaching six straight finals. Two of the three losses were against Rafael Nadal, who he pushed to a five-set marathon match at the U.S. Open. Medvedev picked up right where he left off by taking down the title in St. Petersburg and Shanghai, losing zero sets in both tournaments.
Medvedev will go up against Jeremy Chardy, the ATP world number 65 from France. Chardy has been somewhat inconsistent on the hard courts in 2019, with a 15-13 record. He had an impressive first-round match today against Sam Querrey, winning 80% of first serve points. However, at this rate it doesn’t matter who Medvedev goes up against. I don’t see anyone other than Nadal or Novak Djokovic stopping him this week.
Denis Shapovalov (DraftKings $9,400; FanDuel N/A)
Denis Shapovalov has really improved his level of play as of late, and it’s almost time for him to crack the top 20. Shapovalov is 27-14 on hard courts in 2019 while reaching six quarterfinals on the year. The last time he lost to a player who’s currently ranked outside the top 50 was in March, which proves that he is a tough out. The young Canadian captured his first title two weeks ago, and I expect that momentum to carry into this one.
Shapovalov has a meeting with Gilles Simon, the ATP world number 50 from France. Simon has not had a great year, posting a 14-16 record on hard courts. He is yet to take down a top-30 player this year, and I don’t see that changing today. Simon hasn’t shown any sort of consistency as of late, and while it is in France, Shapovalov is the better player. Shapovalov won first serve points at a 94% rate in Stockholm, and if he replicates that, he can make a deep run and be a great Tennis DFS play.
Naomi Osaka (DraftKings $8,000; FanDuel N/A)
Naomi Osaka has looked unstoppable since the US Open, winning 11 straight matches. The world number three had an impressive win over Petra Kvitova yesterday, firing down aces at a 10% rate. We’ve seen what Osaka can do when she’s at her best, and the two-time grand slam champion is looking to capture another title this week. Osaka is 29-7 on the hard courts in 2019, and I think win number 30 is in her sights.
Osaka will go up against Ashleigh Barty, the WTA world number one from Australia. Barty has been solid since Wimbledon, with a 14-5 record on the hard courts. She’s reached three finals during that span, but she finds herself going home early against top players. Her last four matches have been against top-10 players with each one going to three sets. She won three of them, but the lone loss came against Osaka. Osaka broke the Barty serve three times, and I expect that same result today.
Possible upset/value plays: Ricardas Berankis (DraftKings $7,500; FanDuel N/A)
Ricardas Berankis has had a solid year on the hard courts, with a 38-17 record in both ATP and Challenger matches. He was on a four-match losing streak prior to Paris, but he’s come alive a bit. Berankis took down both John Millman and Damir Dzumhur in the qualifiers, winning 63% of all service points. His serve has not been firing as of late, but once he gets it going, he could be a threat.
Berankis faces off against Kyle Edmund, the ATP world number 75. Edmund has been absolutely terrible recently, losing nine straight matches. Two losses came against players ranked outside the top 125, and at this rate, I don’t trust him against anyone. When he’s on, he is is by far the better player in this matchup. But as of now, I can’t tout Edmund in Tennis DFS until I see him change something and finally get a win.
Best of luck!