We’re into Day Four of this tennis DFS week, and we have a ton of top talent to breakdown. The fourth and final slate of this tennis DFS week has 9 matches with ATP and WTA players in action. We have thoughts on Alexander Zverev and Stefanos Tsitsipas, so let’s dive in.
Alexander Zverev (DraftKings $9,300; FanDuel N/A)
Alexander Zverev has certainly found his form once again since the U.S. Open. He is 9-3 since that tournament while reaching the finals in Shanghai three weeks ago. Zverev fired down aces at an outstanding rate in Shanghai, just above 23.5%. He took out both Roger Federer and Matteo Berrettini and I hope to see that level this week. He has been known to be inconsistent as of late, but I think he’s finally starting to get in a groove.
Zverev will go up against Denis Shapovalov, the ATP world number 26. Shapovalov has really improved his level of play as of late and it’s almost time for him to crack the top 20. Shapovalov is 29-14 on hard courts in 2019 while reaching six quarterfinals on the year. The last time he lost to a player who’s currently ranked outside the top 50 was in March, which proves that he is a tough out. However, he has had no success against Zverev. Zverev has won all four sets against Shapovalov, and I expect another straight-set win today.
Stefanos Tsitsipas (DraftKings $8,400; FanDuel N/A)
Stefanos Tsitsipas has played some excellent tennis over the last three weeks with a 12-3 record. During this run, he’s taken out two top-10 players and his only three losses were against top-five players. The young Greek star has had his inconsistent phases throughout the year, but he’s finally starting to play at his best once again. Tsitsipas has the ability to take down anyone at any time and I think he’s bound for a deep run.
Tsitsipas has a meeting with Alex de Minaur, the ATP world number 18 from Australia. Alex has been one of the most consistent hard court players this year with a 31-11 record. He’s captured three titles so far, including one last month in Zhuhai. de Minaur is coming off of a finals run in Basel this past week where he fell short to Federer. His defense is one of the best on the tour, which makes de Minaur a tough out for anyone. However, he lacks power, which may result in a beatdown from Tsitsipas. I expect the Greek to win fairly easily and pay off a hefty Tennis DFS price.
Dominic Thiem (DraftKings $8,100; FanDuel N/A)
Dominic Thiem has played some excellent tennis over the last few weeks with a 13-1 record. He captured the title in both Beijing and Vienna, while taking down two top-10 players along the way. However, Thiem’s serve has been a bit rusty in his last three matches. He had to dig deep to save nine break points against Milos Raonic yesterday in an almost three-hour match. Thiem is almost unstoppable at the moment and these somewhat slower court conditions certainly are in his favor.
Thiem is up against Grigor Dimitrov, the ATP world number 27 from Bulgaria. Dimitrov had a stellar outing at the U.S. Open, but he’s fallen back down to earth a bit. He is just 4-4 since that tournament, losing to two players ranked outside the top 50. Dimitrov has been solid on his first serve points this week, winning 83% of the points. He’s fired down aces at a 12% rate as well, but this will be his biggest test in the last few months. I think Thiem is too strong in all aspects of the game, and he should pull this one out.
Possible upset/value plays: Stan Wawrinka (DraftKings $4,800; FanDuel N/A)
It’s the last slate of the season, why not throw in a curveball? Stan Wawrinka has been playing some outstanding tennis over the last month. Wawrinka reached the finals in Antwerp two weeks ago, and arguably played his best tennis all year. He then backed that up with a quarterfinal appearance in Basel before he withdrew due to injury. The injury was clearly not an issue in his first match this week, as Wawrinka took down Marin Cilic in straight sets.
Wawrinka will face off against Rafael Nadal, the world number two from Spain. Nadal has been the best player on the planet in 2019 with a 48-6 record. He’s lost just one match since early May, which came on a grass court. The world number two captured the U.S. Open title two months ago, but he’s played just one match since. He had to work more than expected to take down Adrian Mannarino, and I think the long layoff could benefit Wawrinka . These two faced each other in August last year on a hard court and Nadal came out on top 7-6, 7-5. Wawrinka’s level of play has increased since that match and you never know. He could pull if off. For a player of his caliber, he has a fairly low price for Tennis DFS.
Best of luck!