It’s a new week of tennis DFS, and some of the top players in the game will be on court. The second slate of this tennis DFS week has 24 matches with ATP and WTA players in action. We’ve got thoughts on Daniil Medvedev and David Goffin, so let’s dive in.
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Daniil Medvedev (DraftKings $10,600; FanDuel N/A)
Daniil Medvedev has been playing some of the best tennis that the game has ever seen over the last three months. He is 24-3 since Wimbledon while reaching five straight finals. Two of the three losses were against Rafael Nadal, who he pushed to a five-set marathon match at the U.S. Open. Medvedev picked up right where he left off by taking down the title in St. Petersburg two weeks ago, losing zero sets along the way.
Medvedev has a second-round match in Shanghai against Cameron Norrie, the ATP world number 64. Norrie has been solid on the hard courts in 2019 with a 19-12 record on the year. He reached the final in Auckland earlier this year, as well as reaching two more semifinals. Norrie had to go through the qualifiers this week, and he is yet to drop a set. However, he is 0-4 against top-10 players and I don’t see that first win coming today against the hottest player on the ATP tour.
David Goffin (DraftKings $9,300; FanDuel N/A)
David Goffin has played some stellar hard court tennis over the last few months, and I think he can make a deep run this week. Goffin had a rough start to the year in 2019, but he has picked it up with a 10-6 record since Wimbledon. He reached the finals in Cincinnati before falling short to Medvedev, and he made a semifinals run last week in Tokyo. David had a great service game going last week, winning 79% of first serve points while firing down aces at a 14% rate. If he can continue that level of play, he can be a threat in Shanghai.
Goffin will go up against Richard Gasquet, the ATP world number 52 from France. Gasquet has been on a bit of a losing skid since his semifinals run in Cincinnati, losing four out of his last five matches. He fell short to Goffin in Cincinnati, and with the way the David is playing, I’d expect that same result today. Gasquet faced 14 break points in his last two matches while winning only 13% of return points on first serves. If Goffin can keep up the serve that we saw last week, Gasquet could be in for a tough match.
Gael Monfils (DraftKings $8,700; FanDuel N/A)
Gael Monfils has had an exceptional 2019 season with a 25-7 record on the hard courts. He’s reached seven quarterfinals on the year, including the U.S. Open where he fell short in a fifth-set tiebreaker against Matteo Berrettini. Gael had a solid first-round win this week in Shanghai against Lorenzo Sonego, winning 75% of first serve points while dropping zero service games. The Frenchman can make a deep run this week if he’s on his game, and that run starts today.
Monfils has a meeting with Hubert Hurkacz, the ATP world number 34 from Poland. Hurkacz captured his maiden ATP title in Winston Salem in August, but he hasn’t been great since. He’s just 1-3 since that tournament, with the lone win coming yesterday. Hurkacz showed signs of struggle in that match against the ATP world number 179 Zhizhen Zhang, as he faced four break points and had to battle in a tiebreaker. Monfils took down Hurkacz 6-4 6-0 in Cincinnati, and I’d expect a similar result given their current forms.
Possible upset/value plays: Fabio Fognini (DraftKings $7,200; FanDuel N/A)
Fabio Fognini is on a mission to reach the ATP Finals at the end of the season, and he’s playing some excellent tennis at the moment. He is 3-1 in his last four matches, including a straight-set beatdown over Andrey Rublev. It’s hard to back Fognini at times due to his erratic nature, but when he’s on, it’s almost impossible to stop. He was flawless in his first match this week against Sam Querrey, winning 76% of all service points while facing zero break points.
Fognini has a second round meeting against Andy Murray, the former world number one. It’s no surprise to see Murray back in action and playing some solid tennis, but he still isn’t at 100%. He is 4-2 on hard courts over the last few weeks, but only one win came in straight sets. Murray had a tough time taking down Juan Londero last night, as he faced 10 break points while winning just 54% of service points. Fognini is playing too well at the moment and I don’t think Murray will be able to handle it.
Best of luck!