We’re into the second week of Wimbledon, and every round of 16 match will be on display on Monday. Wimbledon, arguably the most prestigious and beloved tournament of the year, is back in action in 2019. The seventh slate of Wimbledon has 16 matches with both the ATP and WTA players in action. In case you missed the news, FanDuel announced the launch of their DFS tennis product last week, so this article will have DFS tennis picks on both sites.
The players listed below can be used in any contest, whether it’s for cash or GPP. I personally like to use the same lineup in both, since the goal is to pick players who are going to win their match. If you choose to go down the route of playing the “stars and scrubs” strategy, you might be forced to choose players who are bound to get crushed. This strategy is risky as upsets happen quite often in tennis, and if one of your most expensive players gets beat you have a very low chance to cash. Let’s get into my top plays for the slate!
Novak Djokovic (DraftKings: $10,700; FanDuel: $26)
There is no stopping Novak Djokovic, the man is on a mission to capture his 16th grand slam and I don’t see any other outcome happening. Djokovic is 44-6 over his last 50 hard and grass court matches, with a 17-0 record in grand slam tournaments. The ATP world number one is looking better than ever, and one can only wonder when the “Big Three” will stop their dominance. Djokovic has been known to have some struggles on his serve throughout his career, but the return stats are out of this world. He’s converted on 17 out of his 44 break points opportunities at Wimbledon, and the scoreboard is just running away from the opponents.
His next match is against Ugo Humbert, the world number 66 from France. Humbert was having a poor grass court season before Wimbledon, posting a 3-4 record while losing to two players ranked outside of the top 150. Wimbledon has been a different story, as he defeated both Gael Monfils and the Canadian sensation Felix Auger Aliassime. In his first three matches, Humbert won 74% of first serve points but double faulted 17 times. He’s been solid on the return end by converting on multiple break point chances in each match, but Djokovic is a different task. Humbert has had a good run but that stops here, as I fully expect Novak to win in straight sets.
Karolina Pliskova (DraftKings: $9,800; FanDuel: $20)
Karolina Pliskova is the woman to beat on the WTA tour, and it’ll take a career performance from someone to take her down. The world number three has won 16 out of her last 17 sets on the grass courts, with ten of them being 6-2 or less. Pliskova captured a title in Eastbourne just one week ago as well, taking down two top five players along the way. She’s dropped her service game just six times during this run, while winning 82% of first serve points and a stellar 64% of second serve return points.
Pliskova’s next match is against Karolina Muchova, the WTA world number 68. Muchova has played very well at Wimbledon so far, winning all six sets while taking down a top 25 player in Anett Kontaveit. This is the furthest that Muchova has gotten in a grand slam tournament, and her stats back up this performance. She has been outstanding on the return game converting on 10 of her 37 break point chances, and she’s backing that up with a 75% first serve point win rate. However, she hasn’t played anyone quite like Pliskova so the stats can be a bit deceiving. Muchova is 0-4 against top 10 players in her career, winning only one set against Angelique Kerber. Given Pliskova’s current form, she should have no issue winning in two sets.
Roberto Bautista Agut (DraftKings: $8,900; FanDuel: $17)
Roberto Bautista Agut is flying under the radar at Wimbledon, and I think he has a legitimate chance to make a deep run. Bautista Agut is 5-1 on the grass courts in 2019, with the loss coming in a three set match against the great Roger Federer. He has won all nine sets at Wimbledon, including a straight set victory against Karen Khachanov. His serve has been nothing short of stellar, facing zero break points in his last two matches while winning 81% of first serve points and 70% off of second serves. He has converted on 14 break point chances during this tournament as well, and at this rate it’ll take a top three player to take him down.
His next match is against Benoit Paire, the ATP world number 32 from France. It’s hard to know which side of Paire is going to show up each match, but there’s no denying that he’s had a good tournament so far. He’s dropped his serve just five times while breaking serve seven times, but the wins haven’t been dominant. He’s won just a few more points than his opponent in each match, barely crossing the finish line which won’t be good enough against Bautista Agut. These two have played each other eight times, with Bautista Agut winning all of them. I’m going with the Spaniard, as he is playing some excellent tennis and at a discounted price.
Possible upset/value plays: Matteo Berrettini (DraftKings: $3,200; FanDuel: $9)
This upset pick might be a long shot, but I don’t think it can be ignored in GPP contests. Matteo Berrettini has arguably been the hottest player on the grass in 2019, posting a 12-1 record on the surface while capturing a title in Stuttgart. He is firing down aces at a 16% rate, and he’s managed to lose serve just six times during this run. He has defeated five top 25 players as well while losing just four sets. Berrettini is 3-2 against top 10 players with all three wins coming in 2019, and he now has the chance to get a fourth.
Berrettini’s next match is against the GOAT, Roger Federer. Federer is the only player on the tour that has had a better grass court season than Berrettini, and we finally get the matchup we’ve been waiting for. There’s no denying that Federer is the better player, but he hasn’t been all that impressive so far at Wimbledon. He lost one set against the ATP world number 86 Lloyd Harris, and he’s been pushed to win seven games in three sets. For his standards, he was rather poor in his last match against Lucas Pouille, winning 75% of first serve points while serving only six aces. Federer is 8-0 on the year on grass, but Berrettini has the weapons to take him down. If Berrettini can serve the way he has been, he can push Roger to the edge and possibly steal some sets in the tiebreaks and ultimately win the match. Berrettini is only $3,200 which is relatively cheap given his current form, and while the goal is to have all six players in your lineup win, you can load up the other five with $9k-$10 players.
Best of luck!