We’re into the quarterfinals of Wimbledon, and with that comes the last slate of the week. Wimbledon, arguably the most prestigious and beloved tournament of the year, is back in action in 2019. The final slate of Wimbledon has eight matches with both the ATP and WTA players in action. In case you missed the news, FanDuel announced the launch of their DFS tennis product last week, so this article will have DFS tennis picks on both sites.
The players listed below can be used in any contest, whether it’s for cash or GPP. I personally like to use the same lineup in both, since the goal is to pick players who are going to win their match. If you choose to go down the route of playing the “stars and scrubs” strategy, you might be forced to choose players who are bound to get crushed. This strategy is risky as upsets happen quite often in tennis, and if one of your most expensive players gets beat you have a very low chance to cash. Let’s get into my top plays for the slate!
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Novak Djokovic (DraftKings: $10,000; FanDuel: $24)
Novak Djokovic is showing why he’s the best player on the planet, as he is on a mission to capture his 16th grand slam while reclaiming his Wimbledon title, and I don’t see anyone taking him down. Djokovic is 45-5 over his last 50 hard and grass court matches, with an 18-0 record in grand slam tournaments. The ATP world number one is looking better than ever, and one can only wonder when the “Big Three” will stop their dominance. Djokovic has been known to have some struggles on his serve throughout his career, but the return stats are out of this world at Wimbledon. He’s converted on 22 out of his 49 break points opportunities at Wimbledon, and the scoreboard is just running away from the opponents.
Djokovic’s next match is against David Goffin, the ATP world number 23 from Belgium. Goffin has been nothing short is outstanding on the grass this season, with a 10-2 record while making a finals run in Halle. His toughest test at Wimbledon was against Daniil Medvedev, the world number 13. In that match, Goffin lost his serve five times in an epic five set match, but managed to get a crucial seventh break of serve in the final set. He’s won just 75% of first serve points on the grass this season, and his one match against a top three player was a straight set loss to Roger Federer. Goffin is 8-27 against top three players throughout his career, including a 1-5 record against Djokovic. Goffin has been playing well, but every player that runs into the big three get shut down real quick. I expect Novak to win in straight sets.
Rafael Nadal (DraftKings: $9,800; FanDuel: $22)
Rafael Nadal has been playing out of his mind over the last 12 months, posting a 46-6 record while riding a 16 match win streak. The ATP world number two is by far the best clay court player of all time, but he’s showing that his game extends to all surfaces. Nadal has lost just one set at Wimbledon to Nick Kyrgios, but other than that he has been flawless. In his last two matches after the Kyrgiois affair, he is yet to face a single break point and he’s won all six sets with a 6-3 or 6-2 scoreline. The potential Nadal/Federer semifinals game could be one for the ages, but let’s not get ahead of ourselves just yet.
Nadal’s next match is against Sam Querrey, the big serving American. Querrey has always been successful on the grass courts, and he’s showing why in 2019. He is 8-1 so far on the season, and he’s been broken just once at Wimbledon. He’s fired down 100 aces while winning 86% of first serve points, and it’ll take an excellent returner to take him down. Nadal has a 4-1 record against Querrey, with Sam’s lone win coming on a hard court. Querrey is 3-3 when he faces top three opponent’s on the grass, but Nadal’s current form is way too good to stop. I’m going with Rafa to win in three sets.
Roberto Bautista Agut (DraftKings: $8,300; FanDuel: $18)
Roberto Bautista Agut has been an absolute monster on the grass in 2019, and I think he has a legitimate chance to make it to the finals. Bautista Agut is 6-1 on the grass courts in 2019, with the loss coming in a three set match against the great Roger Federer. He has won all 12 sets at Wimbledon, including a straight set victory against Karen Khachanov and Benoit Paire. His serve has been nothing short of stellar, losing just one service game in his last three matches while winning 80% of first serve points and 65% off of second serves. He has converted on 19 break point chances during this tournament as well, and at this rate it’ll take a top three player to take him down.
His nest match is against Guido Pella, the world number 26 from Argentina. Pella shocked the world in back to back rounds, taking down the grass court giants Kevin Anderson and Milos Raonic consecutively. Pella was quite lucky to escape and defeat Raonic after losing the first two sets as the Canadian had a chance to serve out the match, but Pella showed a lot of fight. He’s won just 73% of first serve points at Wimbledon while breaking opponent’s serves 16 times. He hasn’t been known to have a good grass court game as he is a clay specialist, but he has been impressive nonetheless. However, Bautista Agut has a better all-around game compared to Anderson and Raonic, and I think he can get this match over with rather easily. Bautista Agut is 2-0 over Pella in his career, and I expect that to be 3-0 at the end of this match.
Possible upset/value plays: Alison Riske (DraftKings: $6,300; FanDuel: $10)
Alison Riske has been flying under the radar at Wimbledon, but her grass court game in 2019 has been unstoppable. She is 14-1 on grass this season, capturing a title in the Netherlands while taking down two top five players. Riske’s last two matches have been against some of the hottest names on the WTA tour, in Belinda Bencic and the world number one Ashleigh Barty. Every match at Wimbledon has gone to three sets for Riske, the fatigue may start to get to her but at this time she looks outstanding.
Her next match is against the GOAT, Serena Williams. Serena is playing some outstanding tennis at Wimbledon, dropping just one set while taking down a tough Julia Goerges. She has been rather inconsistent however since her meltdown at the Australian Open, with a 9-5 record. The 23 time grand slam champion is working on getting to number 24, but it won’t come easily. She’s winning 75% of first serve points at Wimbledon while serving 23 aces. Serena is by far the best server to ever play in the WTA circuit, but she’ll have to be even better to get another title at Wimbledon. It’s hard to know which Serena is going to show up, and this is a fresh new opponent for her. Riske is on an absolute roll right now, I can’t see myself betting against her as she’s shown she can beat anyone. I’m going with Alison to win in three sets.
Best of luck!